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Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-76
23-20 19-27 12-23 16-6
Position#12
Record11-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#2
Record25-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game77.4
GermanyBBLRound 12
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Chemnitz v Alba Berlin
18 Apr 2027
CHE v ABE
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
CHE85
ABE89
27 Apr 2025
CHE81
ABE103
04 Jun 2024
CHE85
ABE96
02 Jun 2024
CHE84
ABE72
24 Mar 2024
CHE79
ABE84
11 Apr 2023
CHE70
ABE76
27 Mar 2022
CHE81
ABE64
09 May 2021
CHE81
ABE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#25
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
58-79
58
79
-21
52avg 78
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
87avg 78
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
67avg 78
H04/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 78
A11/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 78
A19/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
67avg 78
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 78
H26/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
58avg 78
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
77avg 78
A08/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-19
15-16
18-23
7-23
21-19
18-21
12-16
23-24
25-24
18-20
20-19
26-20
9-28
14-15
24-20
29-25
20-25
19-18
23-33
25-21
21-21
17-24
21-23
21-20
22-23
19-28
21-24
24-20
22-22
24-22
9-17
12-15
23-20
14-16
20-20
17-23
27-13
20-24
12-12
162.1Avg total
78.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.283.3166.5-0.242%
Season at home (13)82.682.2164.8+0.446%
Season away (13)83.784.4168.1-0.738%
Last 10 (10)78.483.7162.1-5.320%
Last 5 (5)78.281.6159.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.285.2160.5-10.00%
vs Similar (13)81.283.2164.4-2.131%
vs Weaker (13)89.677.5167.1+12.277%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
76avg 83
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
97avg 83
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 83
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
53avg 83
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 83
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
76-47
76
47
+29
84avg 83
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 83
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 83
H09/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
18-23
18-21
20-17
22-18
19-20
20-20
22-19
24-21
25-19
19-27
27-26
13-16
15-18
31-11
25-22
24-25
24-19
19-24
20-25
21-19
14-15
7-16
14-22
17-9
25-24
23-12
14-16
19-9
22-9
15-14
20-15
25-17
24-25
17-26
22-16
29-23
18-23
24-15
20-17
156.2Avg total
81.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.077.4166.4+11.693%
Season at home (14)87.674.9162.6+12.793%
Season away (13)90.580.1170.5+10.492%
Last 10 (10)81.574.7156.2+6.880%
Last 5 (5)78.068.4146.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.488.4165.7-11.018%
vs Similar (7)78.180.4158.6-2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.875.2163.1+12.6100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
ChemnitzAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H04/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A19/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/04
BBL
83.8Avg total
41.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.086.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.787.3+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)43.441.484.8+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.043.281.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (13)42.544.386.8-1.823%-
vs Weaker (13)47.539.486.8+8.185%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
BBL
78.4Avg total
41.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.182.0-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.341.883.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.380.9+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.678.4+5.290%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.677.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.343.784.0-3.545%-
vs Similar (7)39.442.682.0-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.537.880.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.7
51.9%
54.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.2
30.5%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
75.8%16.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
53.0%
54.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.0
39.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.2
82.5%
75.8%13.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLLLLLLLLW
Alba Berlin
WWWWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-7.6
Net rating
+8.8
105.2
Offensive rating
112.3
112.8
Defensive rating
103.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.5%
3-point %
39.5%
71.8%
Assist %
69.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 112.3Defence112.8 · 103.5Shooting48.9% · 55.6%3-point %30.5% · 39.5%Ball care17.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Alba Berlin v Chemnitz101-91
27/03/22Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-64
19/02/22Alba Berlin v Chemnitz91-81
05/12/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-62
09/05/21Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-91
07/02/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-65
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ASyntainics MBC76-72
02/04/23HRostock69-71
26/03/23HBonn79-81
22/03/23ABamberg83-95
19/03/23AFrankfurt84-89
11/03/23AAlba Berlin91-101
04/03/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-83
15/02/23HGottingen86-87
12/02/23HBayern58-79
08/02/23ASCM Craiova85-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HGottingen91-78
07/04/23APanathinaikos88-84
05/04/23HWurzburg76-47
02/04/23AFrankfurt79-61
30/03/23ABarcelona56-72
28/03/23ABaskonia87-93
26/03/23HBamberg84-67
23/03/23HAnadolu Efes95-93
19/03/23ALudwigsburg83-77
17/03/23ABayern76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLLLLL46%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game83.282.683.7
Allowed / game83.382.284.4
Point differential-0.2+0.4-0.7
Avg total166.5164.8168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %93%93%92%
Points / game89.087.690.5
Allowed / game77.474.980.1
Point differential+11.6+12.7+10.4
Avg total166.4162.6170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2725293%89.373.6+15.6
2 Alba Berlin2725293%89.077.4+11.6
3 Bayern2721678%81.474.0+7.5
4 Oldenburg26161062%84.581.9+2.6
5 Ludwigsburg27161159%87.685.4+2.3
6 Gottingen25141156%86.486.8-0.4
7 Ulm27151256%87.984.6+3.3
8 Wurzburg28141450%81.683.4-1.8
9 Rostock27131448%83.687.9-4.3
10 Bamberg28131546%87.987.9-0.0
11 Chemnitz26111542%83.283.3-0.2
12 Heidelberg27111641%87.690.5-3.0
13 Crailsheim Merlins28101836%85.989.6-3.8
14 Hamburg28101836%81.585.4-3.9
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2772026%78.986.6-7.7
18 Bayreuth2752219%82.289.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2319121670
Alba Berlin202723676
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