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Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record5-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game115.0
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Cleveland Cavaliers
26 Feb 2027
BOS v CLE
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
BOS v CLE
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
BOS125
CLE105
28 Feb 2025
BOS116
CLE123
19 Nov 2024
BOS120
CLE117
15 May 2024
BOS113
CLE98
09 May 2024
BOS94
CLE118
07 May 2024
BOS120
CLE95
14 Dec 2023
BOS116
CLE107
12 Dec 2023
BOS120
CLE113
01 Mar 2023
BOS117
CLE113
28 Oct 2022
BOS123
CLE132
22 Dec 2021
BOS111
CLE101
24 Jan 2021
BOS141
CLE103
27 Dec 2019
BOS129
CLE117
09 Dec 2019
BOS110
CLE88
23 Jan 2019
BOS123
CLE103
30 Nov 2018
BOS128
CLE95
27 May 2018
BOS79
CLE87
23 May 2018
BOS96
CLE83
15 May 2018
BOS107
CLE94
13 May 2018
BOS108
CLE83
11 Feb 2018
BOS99
CLE121
03 Jan 2018
BOS102
CLE88
25 May 2017
BOS102
CLE135
19 May 2017
BOS86
CLE130
17 May 2017
BOS104
CLE117
05 Apr 2017
BOS91
CLE114
01 Mar 2017
BOS103
CLE99
15 Dec 2015
BOS77
CLE89
26 Apr 2015
BOS93
CLE101
23 Apr 2015
BOS95
CLE103
12 Apr 2015
BOS117
CLE78
14 Nov 2014
BOS121
CLE122
28 Dec 2013
BOS103
CLE100
29 Nov 2013
BOS103
CLE86
05 Apr 2013
BOS91
CLE97
19 Dec 2012
BOS103
CLE91
29 Jan 2012
BOS87
CLE88
25 Jan 2011
BOS112
CLE95
13 May 2010
BOS94
CLE85
09 May 2010
BOS97
CLE87
07 May 2010
BOS95
CLE124
04 Apr 2010
BOS117
CLE113
25 Feb 2010
BOS88
CLE108
06 Mar 2009
BOS105
CLE94
28 Oct 2008
BOS90
CLE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
218.3Avg total
116.0Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.7104.0219.7+11.782%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (6)112.2100.8213.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)116.0102.3218.3+13.790%
Last 5 (5)112.297.8210.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)109.3107.9217.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)115.7104.8220.5+10.974%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-121
125
121
+4
117avg 108
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
103avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
121-111
121
111
+10
101avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
119-95
119
95
+24
91avg 108
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
112-124
112
124
-12
83avg 108
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
33-22
29-32
29-20
28-21
27-26
26-37
17-25
27-21
28-29
25-40
27-38
32-17
232.7Avg total
117.6Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)116.5115.0231.5+1.545%
Season at home (6)116.8113.0229.8+3.867%
Season away (5)116.2117.4233.6-1.220%
Last 10 (10)117.6115.1232.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)111.2113.8225.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)106.5112.4218.8-5.938%
vs Similar (12)112.2111.2223.5+1.042%
vs Weaker (5)124.8116.8241.6+8.080%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
Boston CelticsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
60.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.5110.3+7.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.052.9110.9+5.150%-
Last 30 away (14)59.849.9109.7+9.971%-
Last 10 (10)60.749.6110.3+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)60.446.6107.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.052.6106.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.351.2111.5+9.165%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/11
NBA
113.3Avg total
55.3Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.455.4109.8-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.657.8114.4-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)51.852.7104.5-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)55.358.0113.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)52.061.0113.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)51.956.0107.9-4.123%-
vs Similar (12)53.253.5106.8-0.233%-
vs Weaker (5)63.458.6122.0+4.860%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.8%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
35.0%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
76.8%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
LLWLLWLWWW
#2
League position
#17
+4.5
Net rating
-6.4
111.2
Offensive rating
104.8
106.7
Defensive rating
111.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
33.2%
64.0%
Assist %
61.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 104.8Defence106.7 · 111.2Shooting53.3% · 52.2%3-point %35.5% · 33.2%Ball care13.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 19.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ACharlotte Hornets112-124
08/11/26HNew York Knicks97-109
07/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-95
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game115.7120.0112.2
Allowed / game104.0107.8100.8
Point differential+11.7+12.2+11.3
Avg total219.7227.8213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game116.5116.8116.2
Allowed / game115.0113.0117.4
Point differential+1.5+3.8-1.2
Avg total231.5229.8233.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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