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Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 115-106
Projected total 221.1
Scheduled
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game103.1
Boston Celtics
USA
Vs
76%
24%
■ BOS 76%■ ORL 24%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Orlando Magic
USA
Position#20
Record5-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic
18 Mar 2027
BOS v ORL
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
BOS v ORL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
BOS113
ORL108
23 Nov 2025
BOS138
ORL129
29 Apr 2025
BOS120
ORL89
23 Apr 2025
BOS109
ORL100
20 Apr 2025
BOS103
ORL86
17 Jan 2025
BOS121
ORL94
17 Dec 2023
BOS114
ORL97
15 Dec 2023
BOS128
ORL111
18 Dec 2022
BOS92
ORL95
16 Dec 2022
BOS109
ORL117
02 Jan 2022
BOS116
ORL111
21 Mar 2021
BOS112
ORL96
15 Jan 2021
BOS124
ORL97
09 Aug 2020
BOS122
ORL119
05 Feb 2020
BOS116
ORL100
07 Apr 2019
BOS108
ORL116
22 Oct 2018
BOS90
ORL93
21 Jan 2018
BOS95
ORL103
24 Nov 2017
BOS118
ORL103
31 Mar 2017
BOS117
ORL116
27 Jan 2017
BOS128
ORL98
21 Mar 2016
BOS107
ORL96
29 Jan 2016
BOS113
ORL94
13 Mar 2015
BOS95
ORL88
17 Dec 2014
BOS109
ORL92
02 Feb 2014
BOS96
ORL89
11 Nov 2013
BOS120
ORL105
01 Feb 2013
BOS97
ORL84
18 Apr 2012
BOS102
ORL98
23 Jan 2012
BOS87
ORL56
06 Feb 2011
BOS91
ORL80
17 Jan 2011
BOS109
ORL106
28 May 2010
BOS96
ORL84
24 May 2010
BOS92
ORL96
22 May 2010
BOS94
ORL71
07 Feb 2010
BOS89
ORL96
20 Nov 2009
BOS78
ORL83
17 May 2009
BOS82
ORL101
12 May 2009
BOS92
ORL88
06 May 2009
BOS112
ORL94
04 May 2009
BOS90
ORL95
08 Mar 2009
BOS79
ORL86
01 Dec 2008
BOS107
ORL88
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Boston Celtics host Orlando Magic on 16 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Celtics the clear favourite as the model rates them 76% to win, a reflection of their 9-2 season record, 115.7 points per game and only 104.0 allowed, placing them second in the league, while the Magic struggle at 3-7, 107.0 points scored and 114.6 allowed, ranked 23rd. At home the Celtics are undefeated 5-0, averaging 120.0 points and 107.8 allowed, and have won four of their last five games, including a 123-101 victory over the 76ers, a 117-97 win over the Bucks and a 119-80 win over the Hornets. The Magic's road form is 3-3, with 110.2 points scored and 114.7 allowed, and they have won only one of their last five outings, a 107-100 win over the Kings, after losses to the Warriors and Suns. Historically the Celtics have dominated the series 8-2, most recently defeating the Magic 108-97 on 1 November. Pythia projects a 115-106 score, 221.1 total points, and a 76% probability that the Celtics cover the spread, with a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
76.5%fair 1.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic win
23.5%fair 4.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:43 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 107
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
29-38
25-23
21-19
23-13
216.4Avg total
115.1Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.2103.1217.3+11.283%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (7)110.199.7209.9+10.471%
Last 10 (10)115.1101.3216.4+13.890%
Last 5 (5)113.294.6207.8+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)109.0106.2215.2+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)115.5105.0220.5+10.576%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#16
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 106
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 106
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 106
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 106
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
116avg 106
A12/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
107-99
107
99
+8
104avg 106
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
23-15
29-22
32-35
23-27
218.8Avg total
108.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)108.3112.8221.1-4.442%
Season at home (5)103.2111.4214.6-8.220%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)108.2110.6218.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)112.0110.0222.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)119.0107.5226.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%1%1751%1802%1853%1905%1956%2008%2059%21011%21511%22011%2259%2307%2355%2404%2453%2502%2551%2601%2650%270
1%1752%1855%1958%20511%21511%2257%2354%2452%2551%265
Pythia expects about 221 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 215-219 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
51.6%
Under 220
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
40.6%
Under 225
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
30.4%
Under 230
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Boston Celtics total 109.5
Over 109.5
69.7%
Under 109.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boston Celtics total 113.5
Over 113.5
56.6%
Under 113.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boston Celtics total 117.5
Over 117.5
42.7%
Under 117.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlando Magic total 108
Over 108
41.3%
Under 108
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlando Magic total 112
Over 112
28.7%
Under 112
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlando Magic total 116
Over 116
18.6%
Under 116
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-271%-241%-211%-182%-153%-125%-96%-66%-35%+08%+39%+69%+98%+128%+157%+186%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+420%+45
1%-241%-183%-126%-65%+09%+68%+127%+185%+243%+301%+361%+42
Margin from Boston Celtics's side (positive = Boston Celtics win). Pythia's expected margin is +9.6; Boston Celtics win by 1+ in 70% of simulations.
Spread Boston Celtics -3
BOS -3
71.8%
ORL +3
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
BOS
No market prices yet.
ORL
No market prices yet.
Spread Boston Celtics 0
BOS 0
76.5%
ORL 0
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
BOS
No market prices yet.
ORL
No market prices yet.
Spread Boston Celtics +3
BOS +3
81.3%
ORL -3
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
BOS
No market prices yet.
ORL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Boston CelticsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A12/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
61.1Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.0111.1+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.953.3112.2+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)59.450.7110.1+8.767%-
Last 10 (10)61.150.8111.9+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.4108.6+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)54.054.8108.8-0.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)60.251.4111.6+8.868%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#16
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H14/11
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.856.0112.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.053.7112.7+5.362%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)54.155.9110.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.6107.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)60.353.2113.5+7.283%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.0
34.7%
35.1%45.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
77.2%18.1
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.6%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.313.2
32.8%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
77.2%17.1
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLWWWW
Orlando Magic
WWWLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#20
+4.2
Net rating
-8.1
109.8
Offensive rating
104.5
105.6
Defensive rating
112.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.7%
3-point %
32.8%
65.3%
Assist %
67.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 104.5Defence105.6 · 112.6Shooting52.8% · 50.9%3-point %34.7% · 32.8%Ball care13.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics97-108
12/04/26Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic113-108
23/11/25Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic138-129
09/11/25Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics107-111
08/11/25Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics123-110
30/04/25Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic120-89
27/04/25Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics98-107
25/04/25Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics95-93
23/04/25Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic109-100
20/04/25Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic103-86
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AToronto Raptors98-93
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
Orlando Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-99
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game114.2120.0110.1
Allowed / game103.1107.899.7
Point differential+11.2+12.2+10.4
Avg total217.3227.8209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%20%57%
Points / game108.3103.2112.0
Allowed / game112.8111.4113.7
Point differential-4.4-8.2-1.7
Avg total221.1214.6225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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