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Belmont vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-78
46-38 47-40
Position#128
Record16-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.1
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#198
Record15-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Missouri State
08 Feb 2025
BELM85
MISS68
24 Feb 2024
BELM93
MISS78
07 Jan 2023
BELM74
MISS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-44
38-51
30-41
37-36
22-25
52-40
45-37
27-41
37-36
43-51
34-33
35-31
54-27
42-51
37-31
45-37
46-32
29-28
36-46
33-38
151.2Avg total
75.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.277.1154.4+0.157%
Season at home (13)77.569.8147.2+7.785%
Season away (15)77.183.5160.6-6.533%
Last 10 (10)75.675.6151.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)78.270.8149.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.088.6165.6-11.612%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.175.4151.5+0.862%
vs Weaker (5)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
27-27
29-42
36-23
40-37
41-33
31-42
32-21
36-37
51-43
32-30
33-42
36-35
35-38
37-35
35-47
38-41
44-33
27-33
35-53
150.0Avg total
73.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.872.0143.8-0.154%
Season at home (15)74.570.8145.3+3.767%
Season away (13)68.873.3142.1-4.538%
Last 10 (10)73.976.1150.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)70.477.4147.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.078.2146.2-10.238%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.168.3138.4+1.953%
vs Weaker (7)77.168.0145.1+9.171%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +0.9+0.9
BelmontMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
37.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.275.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.234.875.0+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.376.1-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.272.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.875.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.044.182.1-6.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.435.972.2+0.556%-
vs Weaker (5)42.231.073.2+11.2100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
33.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.567.1+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.432.967.4+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)32.634.266.8-1.657%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.471.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.868.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.638.267.9-8.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.932.567.4+2.373%-
vs Weaker (7)35.330.365.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belmont wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Missouri State v Belmont87-80
09/02/23Missouri State v Belmont61-59
07/01/23Belmont v Missouri State74-61
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ADrake69-84
18/02/24AIllinois (Chi.)75-60
15/02/24HSouthern Illinois82-68
10/02/24AValparaiso96-78
08/02/24HMurray State69-64
03/02/24AMissouri State80-87
01/02/24HIndiana State72-78
27/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)74-65
24/01/24AIllinois State67-77
20/01/24ABradley72-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HBradley62-86
17/02/24HValparaiso82-74
15/02/24AMurray State72-82
10/02/24HIndiana State71-73
08/02/24ANorthern Iowa65-72
03/02/24HBelmont87-80
01/02/24ASouthern Illinois76-75 OT
27/01/24AValparaiso81-70
25/01/24HDrake83-80 OT
20/01/24HIllinois State60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWLWW85%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %57%85%33%
Points / game77.277.577.1
Allowed / game77.169.883.5
Point differential+0.1+7.7-6.5
Avg total154.4147.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%67%38%
Points / game71.874.568.8
Allowed / game72.070.873.3
Point differential-0.1+3.7-4.5
Avg total143.8145.3142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2823582%84.272.0+12.2
2 Drake2823582%80.168.9+11.2
3 Bradley2819968%75.768.1+7.6
4 Southern Illinois28181064%72.967.1+5.8
5 Belmont28161257%77.277.1+0.1
6 Northern Iowa28151354%72.871.0+1.7
7 Evansville28151354%73.573.7-0.2
8 Illinois State28141450%67.268.2-0.9
9 Murray State29121741%71.069.1+1.9
10 Illinois (Chi.)28111739%69.769.3+0.4
11 Valparaiso2962321%68.075.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky2619773%80.373.8+6.5
2 Louisiana Tech2719870%74.763.4+11.4
3 Delaware28171161%74.670.0+4.6
4 Liberty27161159%75.165.1+10.0
5 Sam Houston St.27161159%71.970.4+1.5
6 Missouri State28151354%71.872.0-0.1
7 Kennesaw State29151452%82.880.0+2.7
8 Jacksonville State27131448%70.165.0+5.1
9 UTEP27131448%73.870.1+3.7
10 Middle Tenn. St.27111641%65.469.2-3.8
11 New Mexico State27111641%68.172.0-4.0
12 Florida International2791833%73.676.3-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont464793
Missouri State384078
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