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Indiana State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-59
34-31 41-28
Position#13
Record26-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#198
Record17-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana State v Missouri State
29 Jan 2025
INDI72
MISS67
08 Mar 2024
INDI75
MISS59
16 Jan 2024
INDI88
MISS66
26 Feb 2023
INDI62
MISS66
25 Jan 2022
INDI76
MISS72
06 Mar 2020
INDI51
MISS78
16 Feb 2020
INDI58
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A29/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
50-36
51-25
35-36
38-35
29-35
38-45
37-31
32-43
45-37
38-27
45-29
43-44
40-31
45-36
51-39
38-38
151.4Avg total
80.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.572.0156.6+12.584%
Season at home (15)87.967.1155.0+20.793%
Season away (16)81.476.6158.1+4.875%
Last 10 (10)80.870.6151.4+10.280%
Last 5 (5)82.871.0153.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)77.786.0163.7-8.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.170.9156.0+14.289%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
51-43
32-30
33-42
36-35
35-38
37-35
35-47
38-41
44-33
27-33
35-53
38-46
40-47
36-33
38-42
36-31
33-28
27-14
33-21
144.9Avg total
72.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.671.2142.8+0.553%
Season at home (16)74.170.1144.2+4.169%
Season away (16)69.172.2141.4-3.138%
Last 10 (10)72.072.9144.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)68.669.6138.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.078.2146.2-10.238%
vs Similar (17)70.568.4138.9+2.153%
vs Weaker (5)81.470.4151.8+11.080%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
Indiana StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A29/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H03/03
NCAA
76.1Avg total
40.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.075.7+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.231.174.4+12.193%-
Last 30 away (16)40.536.476.9+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.576.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.477.0+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.133.075.1+9.078%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A07/03
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.167.8-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.333.467.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)33.134.968.0-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.567.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.464.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.638.267.9-8.612%-
vs Similar (17)34.832.967.7+1.871%-
vs Weaker (5)36.631.668.2+5.060%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana State wins
7
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HMurray State89-77
29/02/24AEvansville85-67
25/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)88-73
22/02/24AValparaiso83-64
18/02/24ASouthern Illinois69-74
14/02/24HIllinois State67-80
10/02/24AMissouri State73-71
08/02/24HValparaiso101-61
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AMurray State60-35
03/03/24HIllinois (Chi.)69-59
29/02/24AIllinois State74-75
24/02/24ABelmont78-93
22/02/24HBradley62-86
17/02/24HValparaiso82-74
15/02/24AMurray State72-82
10/02/24HIndiana State71-73
08/02/24ANorthern Iowa65-72
03/02/24HBelmont87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW84%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %84%93%75%
Points / game84.587.981.4
Allowed / game72.067.176.6
Point differential+12.5+20.7+4.8
Avg total156.6155.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%69%38%
Points / game71.674.169.1
Allowed / game71.270.172.2
Point differential+0.5+4.1-3.1
Avg total142.8144.2141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State3126584%84.572.0+12.5
2 Drake3125681%80.770.7+10.0
3 Bradley31211068%74.867.5+7.3
4 Belmont32201262%78.475.8+2.6
5 Southern Illinois32191359%72.768.2+4.4
6 Northern Iowa31181358%73.570.6+2.8
7 Evansville32161650%71.973.4-1.5
8 Illinois State32151747%66.567.7-1.2
9 Murray State32122038%69.869.9-0.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)32122038%71.071.5-0.5
11 Valparaiso3272522%67.675.5-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech3021970%74.764.2+10.5
2 Western Kentucky29191066%80.374.8+5.5
3 Sam Houston St.30191163%72.069.5+2.5
4 Delaware31181358%73.570.2+3.3
5 Liberty30171357%74.165.0+9.1
6 Missouri State32171553%71.671.2+0.5
7 UTEP31161552%73.269.4+3.8
8 Kennesaw State31151648%82.880.8+2.1
9 Jacksonville State30141647%70.065.6+4.4
10 Middle Tenn. St.30131743%65.869.4-3.7
11 New Mexico State30121840%67.372.0-4.6
12 Florida International30102033%74.176.8-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State344175
Missouri State312859
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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