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Virginia vs Boston College Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 66-60 (OT)
29-35 28-22 9-3
Position#66
Record22-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game59.1
vs
Position#169
Record19-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia v Boston College
13 Jan 2027
VIRG v BOST
upcoming
21 Jan 2025
VIRG74
BOST56
14 Mar 2024
VIRG66
BOST60
28 Jan 2023
VIRG76
BOST57
01 Feb 2022
VIRG67
BOST55
19 Feb 2020
VIRG78
BOST65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
41-75
41
75
-34
A20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-26
32-39
29-17
31-21
34-30
46-46
31-35
32-39
21-22
28-25
16-36
25-39
16-26
28-28
27-23
45-45
18-40
30-33
38-24
34-33
122.2Avg total
59.5Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)63.559.1122.6+4.371%
Season at home (19)66.352.5118.8+13.889%
Season away (12)58.969.6128.5-10.742%
Last 10 (10)59.562.7122.2-3.260%
Last 5 (5)55.465.4120.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.760.2114.8-5.533%
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.661.6124.1+1.071%
vs Weaker (10)68.356.0124.3+12.390%
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A21/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A24/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H29/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A09/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-47
50-30
41-41
44-36
43-43
33-41
26-38
44-43
23-27
45-45
32-47
33-43
28-32
39-25
41-31
26-30
47-32
34-33
40-28
36-27
146.3Avg total
74.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.072.3147.3+2.758%
Season at home (19)76.972.1148.9+4.863%
Season away (14)72.472.6145.0-0.150%
Last 10 (10)74.471.9146.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)71.265.6136.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.382.7155.0-10.317%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.171.7145.8+2.447%
vs Weaker (7)78.666.9145.4+11.7100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
VirginiaBoston College
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H10/03
NCAA
54.3Avg total
26.4Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.025.755.7+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.922.654.4+9.378%-
Last 30 away (12)27.230.557.7-3.342%-
Last 10 (10)26.427.954.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)23.029.852.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)24.727.852.5-3.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)28.526.154.6+2.471%-
vs Weaker (10)35.324.059.3+11.380%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A24/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H29/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A14/03
NCAA
72.6Avg total
36.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.570.6-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.934.870.7+1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.370.4-2.223%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.672.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.071.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.239.374.5-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.034.569.5+0.529%-
vs Weaker (7)35.334.669.9+0.743%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virginia wins
2
Boston College wins
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HGeorgia Tech72-57
02/03/24ADuke48-73
29/02/24ABoston College72-68
24/02/24HNorth Carolina44-54
20/02/24AVirginia Tech41-75
17/02/24HWake Forest49-47
14/02/24HPittsburgh63-74
11/02/24AFlorida State80-76
06/02/24HMiami (FL)60-38
03/02/24AClemson66-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AClemson76-55
12/03/24HMiami (FL)81-65
09/03/24ALouisville67-61
07/03/24AMiami (FL)67-57
02/03/24HPittsburgh65-90
29/02/24HVirginia68-72
24/02/24ANC State70-81
21/02/24AFlorida State76-84
17/02/24HMiami (FL)85-77
14/02/24HLouisville89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW71%
HomeWLWLW89%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %71%89%42%
Points / game63.566.358.9
Allowed / game59.152.569.6
Point differential+4.3+13.8-10.7
Avg total122.6118.8128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Boston College
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWWLLW63%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %58%63%50%
Points / game75.076.972.4
Allowed / game72.372.172.6
Point differential+2.7+4.8-0.1
Avg total147.3148.9145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%32%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3226681%81.970.0+12.0
2 Duke3224875%79.867.4+12.4
3 Virginia3122971%63.559.1+4.3
4 Pittsburgh32221069%75.967.5+8.4
5 Clemson32211166%77.471.3+6.1
6 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
7 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
8 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
9 NC State34201459%76.272.8+3.4
10 Boston College33191458%75.072.3+2.7
11 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Virginia2928966
Boston College3522360
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