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Botafogo vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-73
14-17 24-28 16-12 20-16
Position#15
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game76.0
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A06/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
76-96
76
96
-20
59avg 54
H21/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
11avg 54
H24/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 54
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-74
67
74
-7
64avg 54
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
47avg 54
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 54
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 54
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-13
27-28
23-22
16-26
14-22
12-16
19-25
25-33
12-21
10-21
29-21
15-23
17-17
22-25
17-14
15-23
20-17
17-18
26-24
21-13
18-16
11-20
17-25
14-17
19-19
16-24
13-19
9-18
24-22
12-28
24-24
20-21
32-26
14-25
13-14
21-15
32-23
15-24
21-16
157.5Avg total
73.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.983.2157.1-9.412%
Season at home (5)75.483.6159.0-8.220%
Season away (3)71.382.7154.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)73.983.6157.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)73.281.8155.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.581.2153.7-8.721%
vs Similar (13)81.579.6161.1+1.862%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 57
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 57
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 57
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 57
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 57
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 57
A15/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
21-19
23-23
21-28
15-14
11-23
17-19
23-22
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
16-21
13-16
23-20
19-32
18-22
16-17
14-15
23-20
152.2Avg total
71.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.176.0147.1-4.914%
Season at home (4)72.871.5144.2+1.225%
Season away (3)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)71.980.3152.2-8.410%
Last 5 (5)75.679.2154.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)77.592.6170.1-15.19%
vs Similar (6)79.880.5160.3-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.575.0160.5+10.550%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
BotafogoCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H14/11
NBB
78.4Avg total
38.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.477.5-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.842.181.9-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)36.637.173.6-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.140.077.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (13)39.138.978.0+0.254%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/11
NBB
72.4Avg total
33.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.982.7-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.983.4-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)35.846.282.0-10.414%-
Last 10 (10)33.439.072.4-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.545.684.0-7.132%-
vs Similar (6)37.742.580.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.030.076.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.0
51.8%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.6
29.1%
33.9%25.9
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
66.2%
72.6%11.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.017.5
42.7%
51.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.2
28.1%
33.9%21.5
🏀 Free throws21.812.7
58.0%
72.6%12.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLLLLLLLLW
Cerrado
LLLWLLLLLL
#15
League position
#17
-11.9
Net rating
-6.8
95.7
Offensive rating
94.3
107.7
Defensive rating
101.1
48.1%
Effective FG%
42.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.1%
3-point %
28.1%
56.3%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 94.3Defence107.7 · 101.1Shooting48.1% · 42.5%3-point %29.1% · 28.1%Ball care19.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.2% · 33.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Botafogo   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Botafogo wins
0
Cerrado wins
No previous meetings.
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HBrasilia89-78
10/11/23HFranca79-86
07/11/23AFlamengo69-92
04/11/23HVasco62-79
30/10/23ACaxias do Sul67-74
28/10/23AUniao Corinthians78-82
24/10/23HPato71-79
21/10/23HMinas76-96
06/03/20AMogi61-89
02/03/20ASao Jose87-81
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AVasco71-74
13/11/23AFlamengo71-89
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
13/04/23ACorinthians Paulista66-78
10/04/23APato91-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game73.975.471.3
Allowed / game83.283.682.7
Point differential-9.4-8.2-11.3
Avg total157.1159.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game71.172.869.0
Allowed / game76.071.582.0
Point differential-4.9+1.2-13.0
Avg total147.1144.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas660100%85.070.5+14.5
2 Flamengo65183%82.569.7+12.8
3 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
4 Vasco75271%70.166.1+4.0
5 Paulistano75271%70.069.0+1.0
6 Franca64267%89.380.7+8.7
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%76.676.9-0.3
8 Caxias do Sul74357%75.175.7-0.6
9 Pato95456%76.677.1-0.6
10 Sao Jose63350%79.275.3+3.8
11 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista63350%77.576.7+0.8
13 Bauru84450%75.177.8-2.6
14 Pinheiros62433%74.378.0-3.7
15 Sao Paulo72529%76.183.7-7.6
16 Brasilia72529%75.784.0-8.3
17 Cerrado71614%71.176.0-4.9
18 Botafogo81712%73.983.2-9.4
19 Mogi6060%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1424162074
Cerrado1728121673
← all games of the day
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