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Botafogo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-79
15-23 17-17 22-25 17-14
Position#15
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game96.0
Botafogo
Brazil
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#12
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game84.0
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Pato
07 Nov 2025
BOTA82
PATO75
16 Feb 2025
BOTA91
PATO76
24 Oct 2023
BOTA71
PATO79
15 Nov 2019
BOTA85
PATO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H28/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H30/01
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H01/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H07/02
NBB
Pato
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A12/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
A15/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
no box
H29/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A06/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
76-96
76
96
-20
59avg 59
H21/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-22
22-23
20-21
25-17
12-23
22-21
17-20
27-20
21-17
13-21
25-14
16-29
18-9
23-16
27-24
8-23
19-18
26-11
22-17
14-21
29-27
21-16
26-25
17-17
15-22
19-16
26-22
20-18
17-13
27-28
23-22
16-26
14-22
12-16
19-25
25-33
12-21
10-21
29-21
163.4Avg total
80.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.096.0172.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)76.096.0172.0-20.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.782.7163.4-2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.488.2168.6-7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.281.5154.8-8.323%
vs Similar (13)80.977.8158.8+3.177%
vs Weaker (4)80.873.8154.5+7.0100%
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A09/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 66
A15/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
11-15
16-15
23-23
24-19
11-16
13-23
7-16
14-18
20-19
18-9
14-22
20-18
19-30
26-15
25-19
20-16
29-19
22-12
20-17
28-26
19-21
23-23
28-21
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
154.8Avg total
75.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.084.0155.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.084.0155.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)75.779.1154.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)77.285.4162.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.485.8161.2-10.421%
vs Similar (8)78.877.0155.8+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)100.3100.0200.3+0.367%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
BotafogoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/01
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/02
NBB
Pato
#16
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A12/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/10
NBB
78.5Avg total
36.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.176.2-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.241.279.3-3.038%-
Last 30 away (17)36.437.573.8-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.878.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.844.079.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.540.677.1-4.231%-
vs Similar (13)38.537.876.3+0.854%-
vs Weaker (4)34.838.273.0-3.550%-
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
76.6Avg total
37.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.680.8-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.538.279.7+3.246%-
Last 30 away (17)37.444.281.6-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.876.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.840.178.8-1.332%-
vs Similar (8)37.441.078.4-3.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.353.099.3-6.70%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀32%
🏀🏀🏀55%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.012.0
38.7%
51.8%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.0
35.9%
33.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws16.010.0
62.5%
72.6%10.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws2.0 pts a game · 3% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.0
50.0%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.0
34.4%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws4.02.0
50.0%
72.6%2.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWWWWWWLL
Pato
LLLWWWWLLL
#15
League position
#12
-26.8
Net rating
-21.4
102.0
Offensive rating
98.3
128.8
Defensive rating
119.7
47.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
61.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
10.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.06
35.9%
3-point %
34.4%
53.8%
Assist %
71.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 98.3Defence128.8 · 119.7Shooting47.1% · 50.8%3-point %35.9% · 34.4%Ball care10.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds23.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.06Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Botafogo   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
0
Pato wins
DateGameScore
12/02/20Pato v Botafogo69-75
15/11/19Botafogo v Pato85-79
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HMinas76-96
06/03/20AMogi61-89
02/03/20ASao Jose87-81
29/02/20HPinheiros88-86 OT
15/02/20ARio Claro90-89
12/02/20APato75-69
07/02/20HBrasilia84-78
01/02/20HCearense86-72
30/01/20HUnifacisa76-81
28/01/20HMinas84-86
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
10/04/23HCerrado98-91
07/04/23HBrasilia91-64
31/03/23AMinas90-82
22/03/23HUniao Corinthians66-68
11/03/23ABauru55-74
09/03/23APinheiros69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game96.096.0-
Point differential-20.0-20.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
3 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
4 Brasilia21150%83.080.0+3.0
5 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
6 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
7 Cerrado2020%60.068.0-8.0
8 Sao Paulo1010%92.0100.0-8.0
9 Vasco1010%60.072.0-12.0
10 Pato1010%71.084.0-13.0
11 Botafogo1010%76.096.0-20.0
12 Paulistano1010%50.089.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1517221771
Pato2317251479
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