Paulistano vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 May 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 68-77

18-24 8-11 24-21 18-21

Position#5

Record24-13

FormLWWLW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game73.6

Paulistano

Minas 🏆

Position#4

Record23-11

FormWLWWL

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game79.0

NBBNBB - Quarter-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Paulistano v Minas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

#10

77-71

A23/03

NBB

Minas

70-105

105

-35

A03/04

NBB

Flamengo

70-83

-13

A05/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

99-57

+42

H11/04

NBB

Brasilia

#15

113-71

113

+42

H13/04

NBB

Pato

#12

70-82

-12

A18/04

NBB

Pato

#12

90-57

+33

H21/04

NBB

Pato

#12

92-78

+14

H23/04

NBB

Minas

82-85

-3

A27/04

NBB

Minas

80-76

H30/04

NBB

18-13

23-28

22-16

14-14

18-22

19-20

17-30

16-33

20-26

16-21

19-25

15-11

33-7

23-19

19-13

24-18

27-14

28-14

23-25

35-18

11-14

13-24

25-18

21-26

19-18

17-13

28-19

26-7

16-14

34-22

17-21

25-21

21-29

20-13

18-17

23-26

13-25

23-14

23-18

21-19

160.8Avg total

84.3Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	79.0	73.6	152.6	+5.4	65%
Season at home (19)	82.7	71.4	154.1	+11.3	79%
Season away (18)	75.1	76.0	151.1	-0.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	76.5	160.8	+7.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	75.6	158.4	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	81.0	153.7	-8.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	80.4	78.0	158.4	+2.4	56%
vs Weaker (17)	83.2	71.4	154.5	+11.8	88%

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

97-79

+18

A23/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

88-86

H28/03

NBB

Pato

#12

82-90

-8

H31/03

NBB

Paulistano

105-70

105

+35

H03/04

NBB

Unifacisa

69-79

-10

A06/04

NBB

Cearense

#14

94-85

A08/04

NBB

Flamengo

75-80

-5

H14/04

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

94-81

+13

H15/04

Champions League Americas

Paulistano

85-82

H27/04

NBB

Paulistano

76-80

-4

A30/04

NBB

18-20

31-18

22-24

26-17

20-26

23-18

19-21

26-21

18-20

30-19

15-26

19-25

22-18

20-19

30-17

33-16

16-24

23-17

16-20

14-18

15-20

21-26

31-13

27-26

22-15

18-26

20-22

15-17

25-23

24-16

16-23

29-19

29-21

13-20

17-18

26-23

25-13

14-23

18-23

19-21

167.7Avg total

86.5Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	86.2	79.0	165.2	+7.2	68%
Season at home (17)	87.5	75.6	163.1	+11.9	82%
Season away (17)	84.9	82.4	167.3	+2.5	53%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	81.2	167.7	+5.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	81.6	166.4	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	81.0	84.3	165.3	-3.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	81.9	76.1	158.0	+5.7	71%
vs Weaker (19)	88.8	80.1	168.9	+8.7	74%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	20.9	43.4	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.5	16.5	36.1	+3.0	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.6	41.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.1	19.4	39.6	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.7	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	17.8	39.8	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.9	38.4	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.8	42.0	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	20.9	43.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	24.7	42.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (19)	24.3	19.6	43.9	+4.7	74%	-

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

#10

41-41

A23/03

NBB

Minas

37-42

-5

A03/04

NBB

Flamengo

36-47

-11

A05/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

56-26

+30

H11/04

NBB

Brasilia

#15

55-28

+27

H13/04

NBB

Pato

#12

24-38

-14

A18/04

NBB

Pato

#12

36-31

H21/04

NBB

Pato

#12

50-36

+14

H23/04

NBB

Minas

41-42

-1

A27/04

NBB

Minas

36-39

-3

H30/04

NBB

78.2Avg total

41.2Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	37.6	78.1	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	35.6	78.4	+7.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	39.9	77.8	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.2	74.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.1	40.2	83.3	+2.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.9	35.8	75.6	+4.1	65%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

49-38

+11

A23/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

43-44

-1

H28/03

NBB

Pato

#12

48-39

H31/03

NBB

Paulistano

42-37

H03/04

NBB

Unifacisa

39-41

-2

A06/04

NBB

Cearense

#14

36-46

-10

A08/04

NBB

Flamengo

40-41

-1

H14/04

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

49-39

+10

H15/04

Champions League Americas

Paulistano

42-41

H27/04

NBB

Paulistano

39-36

A30/04

NBB

82.9Avg total

42.7Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	39.5	83.4	+4.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	38.2	82.5	+6.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	40.9	84.5	+2.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	40.2	82.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	45.3	86.0	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.0	37.1	76.1	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (19)	46.4	38.9	85.3	+7.5	63%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.0	38.3	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.5	38.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.4	40.4	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	37%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.1	18.2	39.2	+2.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.8	43.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.7	76.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	35.8	78.2	+6.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	37.6	75.4	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	38.4	83.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	39.0	72.7	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.3	37.8	75.1	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.3	35.6	78.9	+7.7	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	41.0	83.5	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	41.8	83.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	41.0	84.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.0	84.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	39.0	79.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.9	39.0	81.9	+3.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (19)	42.5	41.2	83.7	+1.3	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
30/04/23	Paulistano v Minas	80-76
27/04/23	Minas v Paulistano	85-82
03/04/23	Minas v Paulistano	105-70
03/12/22	Paulistano v Minas	90-73
15/02/22	Minas v Paulistano	104-67
13/11/21	Paulistano v Minas	67-96
01/03/21	Paulistano v Minas	76-74
07/01/21	Minas v Paulistano	70-63
13/02/20	Minas v Paulistano	66-71
04/11/19	Paulistano v Minas	80-76

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/23	H	Minas	80-76
27/04/23	A	Minas	82-85
23/04/23	H	Pato	92-78
21/04/23	H	Pato	90-57
18/04/23	A	Pato	70-82
13/04/23	H	Brasilia	113-71
11/04/23	H	Sao Paulo	99-57
05/04/23	A	Flamengo	70-83
03/04/23	A	Minas	70-105
23/03/23	A	Sao Jose	77-71

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/23	A	Paulistano	76-80
27/04/23	H	Paulistano	85-82
15/04/23	H	Quimsa	94-81
14/04/23	H	Flamengo	75-80
08/04/23	A	Cearense	94-85
06/04/23	A	Unifacisa	69-79
03/04/23	H	Paulistano	105-70
31/03/23	H	Pato	82-90
28/03/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-86
23/03/23	A	Rio Claro	97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	65%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	WLLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	65%	79%	50%
Points / game	79.0	82.7	75.1
Allowed / game	73.6	71.4	76.0
Point differential	+5.4	+11.3	-0.9
Avg total	152.6	154.1	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	53%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	80% (5)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

Minas

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	68%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LWLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	68%	82%	53%
Points / game	86.2	87.5	84.9
Allowed / game	79.0	75.6	82.4
Point differential	+7.2	+11.9	+2.5
Avg total	165.2	163.1	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	35%	35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	80% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	34	33	1	97%	90.4	77.6	+12.8
2	Flamengo	34	30	4	88%	84.8	68.9	+15.9
3	Minas	34	23	11	68%	86.2	79.0	+7.2
4	Sao Paulo	34	23	11	68%	86.4	80.6	+5.8
5	Paulistano	37	24	13	65%	79.0	73.6	+5.4
6	Pinheiros	36	23	13	64%	81.8	78.0	+3.7
7	Bauru	37	21	16	57%	77.8	72.3	+5.5
8	Unifacisa	36	19	17	53%	78.8	79.6	-0.9
9	Corinthians Paulista	34	17	17	50%	80.7	79.5	+1.2
10	Sao Jose	35	16	19	46%	80.7	82.5	-1.8
11	Caxias do Sul	34	12	22	35%	72.5	76.4	-3.9
12	Pato	35	11	24	31%	77.4	84.3	-7.0
13	Uniao Corinthians	32	10	22	31%	78.6	82.4	-3.9
14	Cearense	32	9	23	28%	73.8	83.8	-10.0
15	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	77.7	87.8	-10.2
16	Rio Claro	32	7	25	22%	75.9	88.4	-12.5
17	Cerrado	32	5	27	16%	81.3	92.4	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	18	8	24	18	68
Minas	24	11	21	21	77

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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