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Lyon W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-60
18-13 26-19 20-13 18-15
Position#3
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lyon W 🏆
France
vs
Toulouse W
France
Position#25
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceFrench Cup Women· Gymnase Mado Bonnet
Women2025-26
Meetings · Lyon W v Toulouse W
27 Feb 2027
LYON v TOUL
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
LYON81
TOUL48
22 Oct 2025
LYON82
TOUL60
10 Oct 2025
LYON76
TOUL72
11 Dec 2022
LYON89
TOUL72
13 Apr 2016
LYON83
TOUL73
25 Mar 2015
LYON53
TOUL62
24 Apr 2014
LYON76
TOUL72
06 Apr 2014
LYON48
TOUL55
07 Dec 2012
LYON63
TOUL41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
57avg 69
H16/03
LFB W
Angers W
#6
L
53-59
53
59
-6
40avg 69
A22/03
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
62avg 69
H30/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
90avg 69
H06/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 69
H18/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
52avg 69
A23/04
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
64-69
64
69
-5
48avg 69
H01/10
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 69
A04/10
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
76-72
76
72
+4
66avg 69
H10/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
54avg 69
A19/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
15-31
17-12
18-20
17-12
11-14
10-20
15-13
15-16
14-20
12-17
25-18
20-19
19-20
26-20
21-19
15-14
21-5
16-25
16-25
19-14
14-17
14-22
14-16
16-17
9-18
20-17
19-17
16-16
10-25
15-12
19-9
17-18
21-13
20-16
18-25
19-20
21-14
9-22
15-17
136.7Avg total
66.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.770.0136.7-3.320%
Last 5 (5)65.069.0134.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.475.9142.3-9.40%
vs Similar (11)73.569.5142.9+4.064%
vs Weaker (11)73.469.2142.5+4.245%
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 65
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
57avg 65
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
27avg 65
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
81avg 65
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
73avg 65
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 65
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 65
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
56avg 65
H04/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
67avg 65
A10/10
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 65
H18/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
16-13
9-7
22-7
13-20
10-17
14-20
12-10
24-11
17-18
14-10
20-18
22-16
18-16
15-18
22-12
19-15
15-15
22-13
15-15
9-14
18-19
23-18
17-16
15-17
18-14
15-14
18-21
15-16
18-17
13-21
16-20
25-18
21-19
23-27
24-26
15-16
134.7Avg total
69.5Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.565.2134.7+4.380%
Last 5 (5)71.071.2142.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
vs Similar (2)74.576.5151.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (27)69.360.1129.4+9.285%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
Lyon WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H16/03
LFB W
Angers W
#6
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/03
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H30/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H18/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H01/10
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A04/10
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
LFB W
66.6Avg total
32.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.571.9+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.533.369.8+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.337.874.1-1.560%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.866.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.466.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.636.470.0-2.943%-
vs Similar (11)37.434.571.8+2.982%-
vs Weaker (11)36.736.072.7+0.755%-
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/10
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
LFB W
66.3Avg total
33.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.765.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.128.364.5+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)33.933.066.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.866.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.472.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.038.069.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (2)38.537.075.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (27)34.929.964.9+5.070%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 65.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.2
48.3%
49.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.35.7
23.5%
31.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
70.1%14.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.2
50.4%
49.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.45.2
28.3%
31.2%15.6
🏀 Free throws13.810.6
76.8%
70.1%10.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon W
LWLLLLWLLL
Toulouse W
LLWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#25
-4.0
Net rating
+6.0
90.6
Offensive rating
94.0
94.6
Defensive rating
87.9
43.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
21.9%
Turnover %
21.8%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
23.5%
3-point %
28.3%
70.3%
Assist %
70.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 94.0Defence94.6 · 87.9Shooting43.0% · 47.9%3-point %23.5% · 28.3%Ball care21.9% · 21.8%Off. rebounds30.8% · 27.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Lyon W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lyon W wins
3
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
18/03/23Toulouse W v Lyon W70-83
11/12/22Lyon W v Toulouse W89-72
13/04/16Lyon W v Toulouse W83-73
19/12/15Toulouse W v Lyon W53-68
25/03/15Lyon W v Toulouse W53-62
14/12/14Toulouse W v Lyon W87-81
24/04/14Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
22/04/14Toulouse W v Lyon W68-88
06/04/14Lyon W v Toulouse W48-55
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25ALattes Montpellier W64-73
10/10/25HToulouse W76-72
04/10/25AAngers W60-62
01/10/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W64-69
23/04/25ALandes W61-69
18/04/25HLandes W68-69
06/04/25HFlammes Carolo W86-78
30/03/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W66-71
22/03/25AAngers W53-59
16/03/25HBourges W69-78
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HChartres W83-88
10/10/25ALyon W72-76
04/10/25HLa Roche W66-65
17/05/25AMontbrison W73-70
11/05/25HMontbrison W61-57
30/04/25AMondeville W74-61
27/04/25HMondeville W73-62
16/04/25ANice W60-58
12/04/25HNice W60-47
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon W
French Cup Women 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Toulouse W
French Cup Women 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aulnoye AS W220100%88.073.5+14.5
2 Mondeville W110100%74.061.0+13.0
3 Pays Voironnais W220100%65.561.5+4.0
4 Tronche Meylan W110100%74.073.0+1.0
5 Union Hainaut W21150%82.579.0+3.5
6 Monaco W21150%68.065.5+2.5
7 Nice W1010%73.074.0-1.0
8 Montbrison W1010%63.069.0-6.0
9 Feytiat W1010%69.076.0-7.0
10 Rouen W1010%61.074.0-13.0
11 Champagne W1010%65.081.0-16.0
12 Le Havre W1010%63.083.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lyon W1826201882
Toulouse W1319131560
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