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Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-88
0-0 38-41 0-0 41-47
Position#143
Record16-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#325
Record9-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game79.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bowling Green v Western Michigan
05 Dec 2026
BOWL v WEST
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
BOWL79
WEST88
07 Mar 2025
BOWL63
WEST64
20 Jan 2024
BOWL84
WEST79
26 Feb 2022
BOWL67
WEST78
06 Feb 2021
BOWL v WEST
upcoming
03 Feb 2021
BOWL70
WEST76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-23
0-0
40-31
0-0
38-39
0-0
34-34
0-0
32-39
0-0
46-50
0-0
32-20
0-0
27-42
0-0
40-27
0-0
37-25
0-0
14-40
0-0
40-51
0-0
38-19
0-0
30-33
0-0
37-35
0-0
43-35
0-0
25-30
0-0
46-48
0-0
30-45
0-0
47-46
142.0Avg total
70.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.871.2153.0+10.557%
Season at home (17)85.668.2153.9+17.465%
Season away (11)75.775.8151.5-0.145%
Last 10 (10)70.871.2142.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)70.076.4146.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.589.2162.8-15.80%
vs Similar (3)62.779.0141.7-16.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.168.6150.7+13.568%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A17/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H21/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
51-52
0-0
38-52
0-0
23-32
0-0
31-40
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-34
0-0
30-35
0-0
35-50
0-0
28-44
0-0
43-47
0-0
25-36
0-0
36-41
0-0
41-50
0-0
38-40
0-0
28-33
0-0
48-29
0-0
34-53
0-0
39-37
0-0
33-40
0-0
37-43
153.4Avg total
71.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.679.9154.4-5.333%
Season at home (13)78.574.6153.1+3.854%
Season away (14)71.084.7155.7-13.714%
Last 10 (10)71.581.9153.4-10.420%
Last 5 (5)71.880.4152.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.283.3155.5-11.116%
vs Similar (9)74.871.7146.4+3.167%
vs Weaker (1)94.057.0151.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Bowling GreenWestern Michigan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A21/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.8Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.433.971.3+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.933.472.3+5.561%-
Last 30 away (12)35.234.769.8+0.542%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.763.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.833.862.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.846.074.8-17.20%-
vs Similar (3)25.737.062.7-11.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.031.670.7+7.468%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H12/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/02
NCAA
73.4Avg total
32.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.238.771.8-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.837.873.6-2.029%-
Last 30 away (16)30.939.470.3-8.619%-
Last 10 (10)32.840.673.4-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)32.242.474.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.940.672.5-8.711%-
vs Similar (9)33.634.768.2-1.144%-
vs Weaker (1)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AMiami (Ohio)77-91
18/02/26HKent State71-78
14/02/26HToledo80-70
12/02/26ANorthern Illinois68-52
07/02/26AArkansas State54-91
04/02/26HBall State77-52
01/02/26ACentral Michigan59-62
28/01/26HBuffalo78-89
24/01/26AToledo72-73
21/01/26AWestern Michigan72-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ACentral Michigan70-83
18/02/26HAkron73-90
14/02/26AEastern Michigan76-62
12/02/26HToledo79-90
07/02/26ATexas State61-77
04/02/26AOhio71-91
28/01/26ANorthern Illinois65-85
24/01/26HCentral Michigan77-65
21/01/26HBowling Green54-72
17/01/26AAkron89-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayLLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %57%65%45%
Points / game81.885.675.7
Allowed / game71.268.275.8
Point differential+10.5+17.4-0.1
Avg total153.0153.9151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL54%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%54%14%
Points / game74.678.571.0
Allowed / game79.974.684.7
Point differential-5.3+3.8-13.7
Avg total154.4153.1155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)28280100%91.674.1+17.5
2 Akron2722581%89.474.5+15.0
3 Kent State2719870%85.479.9+5.5
4 Buffalo27161159%78.675.0+3.6
5 Bowling Green28161257%81.871.2+10.5
6 UMass28151354%80.977.3+3.6
7 Ohio28151354%77.176.6+0.5
8 Toledo27141352%81.377.5+3.8
9 Northern Illinois2691735%70.976.2-5.3
10 Eastern Michigan29101934%70.973.4-2.6
11 Central Michigan2791833%73.676.6-3.1
12 Western Michigan2791833%74.679.9-5.3
13 Ball State2781930%66.070.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bowling Green03804179
Western Michigan04104788
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