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Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#67
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game76.0
Bowling Green
USA
vs
Western Michigan
USA
Position#106
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bowling Green v Western Michigan
05 Dec 2026
BOWL v WEST
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
BOWL79
WEST88
07 Mar 2025
BOWL63
WEST64
20 Jan 2024
BOWL84
WEST79
26 Feb 2022
BOWL67
WEST78
06 Feb 2021
BOWL v WEST
upcoming
03 Feb 2021
BOWL70
WEST76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H25/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#256
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A02/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#184
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Niagara
#385
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
43-35
25-30
46-48
30-45
47-46
38-41
41-47
28-37
53-25
28-31
49-38
38-37
38-40
34-34
42-39
44-37
51-42
44-31
44-45
156.3Avg total
80.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.376.0162.3+10.3100%
Season at home (2)91.577.5169.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.076.3156.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)82.474.8157.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.787.0162.7-11.30%
vs Similar (3)67.082.0149.0-15.033%
vs Weaker (23)80.770.2150.9+10.470%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#53
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Kalamazoo
#478
W
99-52
99
52
+47
H06/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H08/11
NCAA
IPFW
#215
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-53
39-37
33-40
37-43
41-38
47-41
30-26
37-43
22-25
39-36
37-46
41-40
24-30
25-31
45-19
54-33
41-35
46-36
35-28
46-31
148.7Avg total
76.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.060.8139.8+18.275%
Season at home (2)93.061.5154.5+31.5100%
Season away (2)65.060.0125.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)76.372.4148.7+3.940%
Last 5 (5)78.865.8144.6+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.584.4155.9-12.912%
vs Similar (10)72.971.7144.6+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.362.3149.7+25.0100%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +4.0+4.0
Bowling GreenWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#256
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#184
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/11
NCAA
Niagara
#385
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H13/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.570.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.033.872.8+5.259%-
Last 30 away (13)34.933.268.1+1.846%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.071.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.347.375.7-19.00%-
vs Similar (3)26.337.363.7-11.00%-
vs Weaker (23)38.331.569.9+6.865%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#53
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Kalamazoo
#478
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H06/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/11
NCAA
IPFW
#215
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.569.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.534.169.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)31.338.770.0-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.068.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.668.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.140.472.6-8.325%-
vs Similar (10)31.533.565.0-2.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.331.773.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bowling Green wins
5
Western Michigan wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Bowling Green v Western Michigan79-88
21/01/26Western Michigan v Bowling Green54-72
08/03/25Bowling Green v Western Michigan63-64
08/01/25Western Michigan v Bowling Green79-83
06/03/24Western Michigan v Bowling Green65-73
20/01/24Bowling Green v Western Michigan84-79
14/01/23Western Michigan v Bowling Green108-92
26/02/22Bowling Green v Western Michigan67-78
22/01/22Western Michigan v Bowling Green75-82
04/02/21Bowling Green v Western Michigan70-76
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNiagara88-76
10/11/26HCleveland State95-79
02/11/26AGeorgia State76-73
12/03/26AToledo76-77
06/03/26AEastern Michigan77-69
28/02/26HUMass81-62
25/02/26HWestern Michigan79-88
21/02/26AMiami (Ohio)77-91
18/02/26HKent State71-78
14/02/26HToledo80-70
Western Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AIPFW81-59
08/11/26HCampbell87-71
06/11/26HKalamazoo99-52
03/11/26AOld Dominion49-61
07/03/26AKent State78-86
04/03/26HBall State71-74 OT
27/02/26HMiami (Ohio)67-69
25/02/26ABowling Green88-79
21/02/26ACentral Michigan70-83
18/02/26HAkron73-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.391.576.0
Allowed / game76.077.573.0
Point differential+10.3+14.0+3.0
Avg total162.3169.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.093.065.0
Allowed / game60.861.560.0
Point differential+18.2+31.5+5.0
Avg total139.8154.5125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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