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Miami (Ohio) vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 91-77
45-30 46-47
Position#5
Record26-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game74.4
Miami (Ohio) 🏆
USA
vs
Bowling Green
USA
Position#143
Record16-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Bowling Green
20 Feb 2026
MIAM91
BOWL77
21 Jan 2025
MIAM84
BOWL76
16 Jan 2024
MIAM73
BOWL78
12 Feb 2022
MIAM94
BOWL78
21 Jan 2021
MIAM96
BOWL77
29 Feb 2020
MIAM73
BOWL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H14/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
56-36
31-37
49-35
51-26
46-48
42-40
48-34
44-58
43-47
43-37
40-38
45-23
38-35
35-36
49-31
41-43
43-35
47-39
41-36
45-41
168.7Avg total
90.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)92.374.4166.7+18.0100%
Season at home (15)96.772.3169.1+24.4100%
Season away (11)86.477.2163.5+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.977.8168.7+13.1100%
Last 5 (5)84.871.4156.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)74.071.0145.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.074.1166.2+17.9100%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-36
39-43
32-23
40-31
38-39
34-34
32-39
46-50
32-20
27-42
40-27
37-25
14-40
40-51
38-19
30-33
37-35
43-35
25-30
46-48
141.6Avg total
71.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.970.5152.4+11.459%
Season at home (17)85.668.2153.9+17.465%
Season away (10)75.674.3149.9+1.350%
Last 10 (10)71.670.0141.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)70.068.6138.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.388.7161.0-16.30%
vs Similar (3)62.779.0141.7-16.30%
vs Weaker (23)81.668.2149.8+13.470%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -1.0-1.0
Miami (Ohio)Bowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#156
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A07/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/02
NCAA
82.8Avg total
45.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.033.777.8+10.377%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.734.678.3+9.261%-
Last 30 away (12)44.532.577.0+12.0100%-
Last 10 (10)45.337.582.8+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.077.2+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.034.371.3+2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.833.778.5+11.181%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.4Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.471.0+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.933.472.3+5.561%-
Last 30 away (12)35.733.569.2+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.430.864.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.830.261.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.346.374.7-18.00%-
vs Similar (3)25.737.062.7-11.30%-
vs Weaker (23)38.931.670.5+7.370%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami (Ohio) wins
3
Bowling Green wins
DateGameScore
31/12/25Bowling Green v Miami (Ohio)83-93
22/01/25Miami (Ohio) v Bowling Green84-76
28/02/24Bowling Green v Miami (Ohio)58-66
17/01/24Miami (Ohio) v Bowling Green73-78
12/02/22Miami (Ohio) v Bowling Green94-78
08/01/22Bowling Green v Miami (Ohio)87-83 OT
03/03/21Bowling Green v Miami (Ohio)79-84 OT
21/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Bowling Green96-77
29/02/20Miami (Ohio) v Bowling Green73-55
08/01/20Bowling Green v Miami (Ohio)78-76
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AUMass86-77
14/02/26HOhio90-74
07/02/26AMarshall90-74
03/02/26ABuffalo73-71
31/01/26HNorthern Illinois85-61
28/01/26HUMass86-84
21/01/26AKent State107-101 OT
17/01/26HBuffalo105-102 OT
14/01/26HCentral Michigan100-61
09/01/26AToledo87-73
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HKent State71-78
14/02/26HToledo80-70
12/02/26ANorthern Illinois68-52
07/02/26AArkansas State54-91
04/02/26HBall State77-52
01/02/26ACentral Michigan59-62
28/01/26HBuffalo78-89
24/01/26AToledo72-73
21/01/26AWestern Michigan72-54
17/01/26HEastern Michigan85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.396.786.4
Allowed / game74.472.377.2
Point differential+18.0+24.4+9.2
Avg total166.7169.1163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%73%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %12%7%18%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %59%65%50%
Points / game81.985.675.6
Allowed / game70.568.274.3
Point differential+11.4+17.4+1.3
Avg total152.4153.9149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)26260100%92.374.4+18.0
2 Akron2722581%89.474.5+15.0
3 Kent State2719870%85.479.9+5.5
4 Bowling Green27161159%81.970.5+11.4
5 Buffalo26151158%78.374.7+3.6
6 UMass27151256%80.977.0+3.9
7 Ohio27141352%77.377.0+0.2
8 Toledo26131350%80.877.6+3.2
9 Eastern Michigan27101737%71.072.7-1.7
10 Northern Illinois2591636%71.176.2-5.2
11 Western Michigan2691735%74.879.7-5.0
12 Central Michigan2681831%73.276.9-3.7
13 Ball State2781930%66.070.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)454691
Bowling Green304777
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