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Bradley vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-63
46-33 40-30
Position#71
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game68.5
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Position#42
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A23/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H05/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#4
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#77
W
73-71 OT
73
71
+2
A07/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
72-66 OT
72
66
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-26
0-0
27-28
0-0
26-24
0-0
24-24
0-0
42-30
0-0
34-36
0-0
37-34
0-0
36-27
0-0
34-28
0-0
38-38
0-0
35-34
0-0
36-36
0-0
21-41
0-0
30-36
0-0
35-40
0-0
27-41
0-0
40-24
0-0
24-40
0-0
28-30
0-0
34-32
132.4Avg total
66.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.568.5141.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)73.071.0144.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)66.466.0132.4+0.480%
Last 5 (5)65.873.0138.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.169.8136.9-2.662%
vs Weaker (21)72.059.4131.4+12.586%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#35
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-20
0-0
42-38
0-0
40-38
0-0
43-45
0-0
46-20
0-0
64-25
–
–
–
–
0-0
31-28
0-0
43-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
31-38
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-31
0-0
19-43
0-0
31-37
0-0
44-38
0-0
38-27
0-0
49-32
0-0
44-20
134.2Avg total
72.9Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.065.7140.7+9.367%
Season at home (1)93.052.0145.0+41.0100%
Season away (2)66.072.5138.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)72.961.3134.2+11.660%
Last 5 (5)70.668.2138.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)65.072.2137.2-7.238%
vs Weaker (9)77.654.3131.9+23.289%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +6.7+6.7
BradleyTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H05/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#77
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A07/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H12/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.929.663.5+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.228.463.6+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)32.531.063.5+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)33.531.164.6+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.865.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)29.934.964.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (21)35.427.162.5+8.381%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#35
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
36.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.730.564.2+3.259%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.727.064.7+10.786%-
Last 30 away (15)30.033.863.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (9)36.431.868.2+4.778%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.071.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.731.262.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)40.127.567.6+12.688%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bradley wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HUtah State72-66 OT
07/11/23AUAB73-71 OT
15/03/23AWisconsin62-81
05/03/23HDrake51-77
04/03/23HIndiana State71-70
03/03/23HNorthern Iowa72-66
26/02/23HDrake73-61
23/02/23AValparaiso76-66
19/02/23ASouthern Illinois50-48
16/02/23HMissouri State64-54
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65
07/11/23AVirginia50-80
19/03/23HRadford70-72 OT
10/03/23AUtah Valley State58-72
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
04/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0
01/03/23HDallas Christian110-45
26/02/23AUTRGV95-99 OT
24/02/23HUtah Valley State77-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.572.073.0
Allowed / game68.566.071.0
Point differential+4.0+6.0+2.0
Avg total141.0138.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%100%100%
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game75.093.066.0
Allowed / game65.752.072.5
Point differential+9.3+41.0-6.5
Avg total140.7145.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville220100%94.055.0+39.0
2 Southern Illinois220100%89.562.5+27.0
3 Murray State220100%84.565.0+19.5
4 Drake110100%85.070.0+15.0
5 Bradley220100%72.568.5+4.0
6 Indiana State32167%88.773.0+15.7
7 Belmont32167%86.081.7+4.3
8 Valparaiso21150%78.063.5+14.5
9 Illinois State21150%73.068.0+5.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)21150%72.070.0+2.0
11 Northern Iowa1010%77.083.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Arlington220100%85.067.5+17.5
2 California Baptist220100%77.061.5+15.5
3 Utah Valley State220100%80.073.0+7.0
4 Tarleton32167%75.065.7+9.3
5 Southern Utah21150%90.073.0+17.0
6 Utah Tech21150%75.078.0-3.0
7 Abilene Christian21150%64.071.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bradley464086
Tarleton333063
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