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Valparaiso vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-76
30-42 36-34
Position#306
Record11-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Bradley 🏆
USA
Position#45
Record21-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game61.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Valparaiso v Bradley
18 Feb 2026
VALP79
BRAD72
26 Feb 2025
VALP65
BRAD76
03 Jan 2024
VALP61
BRAD86
22 Feb 2023
VALP66
BRAD76
26 Jan 2022
VALP56
BRAD71
10 Feb 2021
VALP52
BRAD76
28 Jan 2021
VALP91
BRAD85
29 Dec 2020
VALP v BRAD
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
VALP90
BRAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
71-51
71
51
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
67-76 OT
67
76
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
40-33
33-24
38-27
28-45
38-32
43-28
38-41
35-28
30-37
35-31
31-35
39-46
23-38
42-38
39-38
19-27
43-39
36-41
37-33
144.5Avg total
72.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.473.2142.7-3.838%
Season at home (16)72.069.5141.5+2.556%
Season away (13)66.377.8144.2-11.515%
Last 10 (10)72.172.4144.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)72.077.0149.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.575.1138.6-11.66%
vs Similar (11)73.071.9144.9+1.164%
vs Weaker (3)84.366.0150.3+18.3100%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A19/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A09/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
44-28
40-37
36-41
36-40
33-29
36-28
47-48
26-25
36-27
37-27
40-42
41-21
38-40
30-21
53-27
37-26
27-28
26-24
24-24
135.9Avg total
73.1Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.361.2132.5+10.172%
Season at home (16)77.858.0135.8+19.888%
Season away (13)63.365.1128.4-1.854%
Last 10 (10)73.162.8135.9+10.390%
Last 5 (5)70.656.0126.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.060.5107.5-13.50%
vs Similar (6)66.075.5141.5-9.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)73.157.5130.6+15.686%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +4.4+4.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +4.4+4.4
ValparaisoBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
34.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.235.467.6-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.631.566.1+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)29.439.969.4-10.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.168.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.837.366.1-8.619%-
vs Similar (11)34.434.468.7+0.073%-
vs Weaker (3)42.329.371.7+13.0100%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A19/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A09/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A19/02
NCAA
63.1Avg total
34.3Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.029.663.7+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.927.365.2+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)29.632.361.9-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)34.328.863.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)34.223.858.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.033.555.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (6)30.338.368.7-8.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.726.962.6+8.981%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
5
Bradley wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
11/02/21Valparaiso v Bradley52-76
29/01/21Valparaiso v Bradley91-85 OT
23/02/20Valparaiso v Bradley90-78
30/01/20Bradley v Valparaiso80-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)73-74
15/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-66
12/02/23HIllinois State81-76
09/02/23AIndiana State62-84
05/02/23HDrake82-85 OT
02/02/23AMissouri State67-76 OT
29/01/23HEvansville81-69
26/01/23ANorthern Iowa66-77
22/01/23AIllinois State71-51
18/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-66
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23ASouthern Illinois50-48
16/02/23HMissouri State64-54
11/02/23HMurray State83-48
09/02/23AIllinois State79-61
04/02/23ANorthern Iowa77-69
02/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-52
29/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)83-76
26/01/23HIllinois State79-75 OT
21/01/23HBelmont76-78
19/01/23AIndiana State78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %38%56%15%
Points / game69.472.066.3
Allowed / game73.269.577.8
Point differential-3.8+2.5-11.5
Avg total142.7141.5144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %14%19%8%
Bradley
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %72%88%54%
Points / game71.377.863.3
Allowed / game61.258.065.1
Point differential+10.1+19.8-1.8
Avg total132.5135.8128.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%81%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2923679%75.965.0+11.0
2 Bradley2921872%71.361.2+10.1
3 Indiana State2920969%78.968.3+10.6
4 Southern Illinois2920969%65.861.4+4.4
5 Belmont29191066%75.370.4+4.9
6 Murray State29151452%70.272.6-2.3
7 Northern Iowa28131546%70.269.1+1.1
8 Valparaiso29111838%69.473.2-3.8
9 Illinois (Chi.)29111838%67.171.5-4.4
10 Illinois State29101934%67.070.5-3.6
11 Evansville2952417%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso303666
Bradley423476
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