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Bradley vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-54
37-26 27-28
Position#45
Record19-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game61.9
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Position#177
Record14-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Bradley v Missouri State
04 Jan 2025
BRAD69
MISS60
06 Jan 2024
BRAD86
MISS60
15 Feb 2023
BRAD64
MISS54
05 Jan 2022
BRAD69
MISS71
19 Feb 2020
BRAD83
MISS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
91-46
91
46
+45
H12/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A15/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A19/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A09/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-30
45-16
23-45
38-41
34-39
44-28
40-37
36-41
36-40
33-29
36-28
47-48
26-25
36-27
37-27
40-42
41-21
38-40
30-21
53-27
142.7Avg total
76.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.461.9134.3+10.470%
Season at home (15)78.758.3137.0+20.587%
Season away (12)64.466.5130.9-2.150%
Last 10 (10)76.965.8142.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)76.861.2138.0+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.768.0121.7-14.30%
vs Similar (6)66.075.5141.5-9.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)75.058.0133.0+17.085%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
32-36
21-37
35-33
26-26
30-27
36-33
129.5Avg total
64.2Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)65.563.3128.8+2.254%
Season at home (12)66.258.2124.4+8.175%
Season away (14)64.967.7132.6-2.936%
Last 10 (10)64.265.3129.5-1.160%
Last 5 (5)65.466.6132.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)57.362.8120.2-5.550%
vs Similar (11)63.665.9129.5-2.327%
vs Weaker (11)74.163.7137.8+10.491%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
BradleyMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A15/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A19/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A09/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H11/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
34.9Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.229.864.0+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.826.564.2+11.281%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.663.7-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.931.366.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.024.458.4+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.736.762.3-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)30.338.368.7-8.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.026.462.4+9.780%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
62.7Avg total
30.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.264.7+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.228.662.9+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)32.833.566.2-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.362.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.665.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)26.230.857.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (11)33.932.266.1+1.736%-
vs Weaker (11)34.629.664.3+5.073%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bradley wins
4
Missouri State wins
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HMurray State83-48
09/02/23AIllinois State79-61
04/02/23ANorthern Iowa77-69
02/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-52
29/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)83-76
26/01/23HIllinois State79-75 OT
21/01/23HBelmont76-78
19/01/23AIndiana State78-67
15/01/23ADrake61-86
12/01/23HEvansville91-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AEvansville66-60
09/02/23HBelmont61-59
05/02/23ASouthern Illinois53-73
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %70%87%50%
Points / game72.478.764.4
Allowed / game61.958.366.5
Point differential+10.4+20.5-2.1
Avg total134.3137.0130.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%80%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %54%75%36%
Points / game65.566.264.9
Allowed / game63.358.267.7
Point differential+2.2+8.1-2.9
Avg total128.8124.4132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %12%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2721678%75.965.0+11.0
2 Southern Illinois2820871%66.561.9+4.6
3 Bradley2719870%72.461.9+10.4
4 Belmont2819968%76.070.4+5.6
5 Indiana State2718967%78.968.8+10.1
6 Murray State26131350%69.972.6-2.7
7 Northern Iowa26121446%70.168.7+1.3
8 Valparaiso28111739%69.373.2-3.9
9 Illinois State27101737%66.870.0-3.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)27101737%67.171.2-4.1
11 Evansville2852318%62.675.3-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2721678%74.759.0+15.7
2 Sam Houston St.2519676%75.359.2+16.0
3 Kennesaw State2720774%75.268.7+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.26151158%71.668.7+2.9
5 Western Kentucky25141156%73.970.6+3.4
6 Missouri State26141254%65.563.3+2.2
7 Louisiana Tech25131252%74.569.3+5.2
8 Florida International26131350%71.873.5-1.8
9 Delaware27131448%69.369.9-0.6
10 UTEP25121348%68.266.6+1.6
11 Jacksonville State27101737%68.269.5-1.3
12 New Mexico State2591636%70.869.6+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bradley372764
Missouri State262854
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