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FC Porto vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-79
25-21 30-17 26-18 17-23
Position#2
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#7
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game81.8
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · FC Porto v Braga
08 Nov 2026
POR81
BRAG76
03 Jan 2026
POR98
BRAG79
10 Dec 2023
POR86
BRAG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Rostock
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 80
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#6
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 80
A01/11
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 80
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
105-85
105
85
+20
102avg 80
H08/11
LPB
Tartu Ulikool
#31
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 80
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
80-109
80
109
-29
74avg 80
A15/11
LPB
Rostock
#10
L
68-96
68
96
-28
no box
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
99avg 80
A06/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-91
65
91
-26
47avg 80
A21/12
Super Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 80
A27/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-21
28-19
18-15
29-24
23-13
22-27
19-28
16-22
22-17
20-17
14-25
29-26
27-16
14-16
35-27
15-21
18-25
29-22
9-22
19-32
13-36
22-25
26-16
14-23
23-26
20-20
11-27
32-18
23-26
23-26
25-27
18-31
18-15
12-22
17-23
31-16
26-22
18-18
28-22
174.1Avg total
84.7Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.590.0183.5+3.562%
Season at home (3)92.080.0172.0+12.067%
Season away (5)94.496.0190.4-1.660%
Last 10 (10)84.789.4174.1-4.750%
Last 5 (5)83.894.2178.0-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.489.2168.6-9.830%
vs Similar (8)82.482.9165.2-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)96.183.6179.7+12.590%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
63-74
63
74
-11
56avg 74
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 74
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-103
79
103
-24
69avg 74
H18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-93
102
93
+9
102avg 74
A26/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 74
A01/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
74avg 74
H09/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 74
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 74
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 74
A20/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 74
H28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
12-20
20-13
19-21
9-21
14-23
16-10
19-12
24-19
20-23
19-35
16-26
22-16
22-27
31-26
27-24
19-22
25-12
19-17
21-23
13-22
24-11
13-19
16-11
18-27
24-18
16-24
16-19
22-21
11-26
23-15
27-18
16-25
15-19
18-17
23-21
10-17
18-26
14-30
21-14
155.4Avg total
74.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.781.8157.4-6.144%
Season at home (5)69.879.8149.6-10.040%
Season away (4)83.084.2167.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)74.481.0155.4-6.640%
Last 5 (5)71.680.0151.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.779.3147.0-11.733%
vs Similar (4)73.082.8155.8-9.825%
vs Weaker (23)83.273.2156.4+10.074%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
FC PortoBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#6
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A01/11
LPB
Antwerp Giants
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H08/11
LPB
Tartu Ulikool
#31
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
32-68
32
68
-36
A15/11
LPB
Rostock
#10
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A06/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A21/12
Super Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A27/12
LPB
88.7Avg total
43.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.884.4-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.079.0+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.246.989.2-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.088.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.092.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.344.482.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (8)38.243.081.2-4.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)49.240.189.3+9.190%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A01/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A20/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H28/12
LPB
76.5Avg total
35.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.176.6+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.038.775.7-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)40.137.577.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.576.5-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.476.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.740.376.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (4)32.844.277.0-11.525%-
vs Weaker (23)39.836.876.6+3.061%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.0
53.4%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.5
34.3%
32.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.616.5
73.0%
70.4%16.5
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.0
49.7%
52.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.38.2
26.2%
32.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
70.4%15.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWLLLWLWW
Braga
LLWLWWWLLL
#2
League position
#7
-5.6
Net rating
-8.1
106.2
Offensive rating
95.8
111.8
Defensive rating
103.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
44.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.3%
3-point %
26.2%
63.0%
Assist %
71.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 95.8Defence111.8 · 103.9Shooting52.6% · 44.7%3-point %34.3% · 26.2%Ball care17.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FC Porto wins
0
Braga wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23FC Porto v Braga86-72
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AGalitos Barreiro103-78
21/12/25ABenfica65-91
06/12/25ACA Queluz103-97
19/11/25ARostock68-96
15/11/25ABenfica80-109
12/11/25HTartu Ulikool71-90
08/11/25HVitoria105-85
05/11/25AAntwerp Giants72-81
01/11/25AImortal93-92
28/10/25HRostock87-75
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HBenfica63-87
20/12/25AVitoria72-82
06/12/25HImortal83-80
15/11/25ASporting CP74-88
09/11/25HOliveirense66-63
01/11/25AVasco Da Gama84-74
26/10/25AGalitos Barreiro102-93
18/10/25HEsgueira79-103
11/10/25HCA Queluz58-66
18/05/25HCB Queluz63-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game93.592.094.4
Allowed / game90.080.096.0
Point differential+3.5+12.0-1.6
Avg total183.5172.0190.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game75.769.883.0
Allowed / game81.879.884.2
Point differential-6.1-10.0-1.2
Avg total157.4149.6167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica990100%94.671.1+23.4
2 Sporting CP108280%89.177.9+11.2
3 Ovarense97278%80.377.8+2.6
4 FC Porto85362%93.590.0+3.5
5 Oliveirense106460%86.681.7+4.9
6 Braga94544%75.781.8-6.1
7 Imortal104640%87.184.8+2.3
8 CA Queluz104640%82.183.9-1.8
9 Esgueira104640%88.792.9-4.2
10 Vitoria93633%82.388.4-6.1
11 Vasco Da Gama91811%81.093.6-12.6
12 Galitos Barreiro91811%83.9102.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2530261798
Braga2117182379
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