PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brasilia vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 69-68
14-27 16-23 14-11 25-7
Position#19
Record4-31
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#8
Record19-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.4
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Cearense
04 Dec 2025
BRAS105
CEAR90
05 Nov 2024
BRAS73
CEAR72
11 Apr 2024
BRAS69
CEAR68
09 Jan 2023
BRAS80
CEAR82
11 Jan 2022
BRAS82
CEAR75
09 Feb 2021
BRAS87
CEAR67
25 Mar 2020
BRAS v CEAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2019
BRAS80
CEAR87
03 Feb 2017
BRAS88
CEAR52
12 Feb 2016
BRAS82
CEAR95
22 Dec 2014
BRAS81
CEAR68
21 Nov 2013
BRAS88
CEAR75
15 Jan 2013
BRAS92
CEAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
73-95
73
95
-22
58avg 59
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 59
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
no box
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-104
61
104
-43
44avg 59
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 59
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-103
84
103
-19
66avg 59
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
50-95
50
95
-45
29avg 59
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 59
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 59
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 59
H08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-28
21-25
18-20
19-26
27-22
13-23
25-18
23-27
24-21
18-21
31-27
16-24
11-27
16-23
18-30
16-30
28-14
24-34
17-25
19-29
27-20
10-32
28-22
11-27
13-21
8-23
18-24
29-23
11-27
22-20
22-23
20-26
26-36
27-20
27-23
27-24
13-22
18-29
25-27
180.7Avg total
81.0Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)73.789.5163.2-15.911%
Season at home (17)78.490.6169.0-12.212%
Season away (18)69.288.5157.7-19.311%
Last 10 (10)81.099.7180.7-18.70%
Last 5 (5)80.299.6179.8-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.790.9163.6-18.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
46avg 73
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 73
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 73
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 73
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
93avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 73
H06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
17-14
13-8
10-18
16-15
20-16
30-23
18-21
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
25-12
28-24
18-18
20-15
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
154.1Avg total
77.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.177.4156.4+1.756%
Season at home (18)78.674.9153.4+3.767%
Season away (16)79.780.1159.8-0.444%
Last 10 (10)77.476.7154.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)81.277.0158.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.881.7158.5-4.817%
vs Similar (12)78.477.7156.1+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.976.4158.3+5.564%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
BrasiliaCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBB
89.0Avg total
39.4Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.445.581.9-9.110%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.745.284.9-5.515%-
Last 30 away (17)33.945.879.6-11.96%-
Last 10 (10)39.449.689.0-10.20%-
Last 5 (5)39.251.090.2-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.445.581.9-9.110%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
74.8Avg total
36.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.776.2-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.736.873.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.641.279.8-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.274.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.742.579.2-5.850%-
vs Similar (12)35.537.172.6-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.537.678.1+2.864%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.515.6
46.6%
51.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.2
35.0%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
72.6%12.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.6
55.4%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.9
76.3%
72.6%11.9
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLLLLLLLL
Cearense
WLWWWLLWWL
#19
League position
#8
-25.5
Net rating
+1.2
101.8
Offensive rating
105.5
127.3
Defensive rating
104.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
63.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
36.6%
55.6%
Assist %
61.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 105.5Defence127.3 · 104.3Shooting49.5% · 55.2%3-point %35.0% · 36.6%Ball care14.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds19.6% · 23.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Brasilia   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brasilia wins
7
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Cearense v Brasilia83-73
09/01/23Brasilia v Cearense80-82
19/10/22Cearense v Brasilia62-75
15/04/22Cearense v Brasilia77-65
11/01/22Brasilia v Cearense82-75
09/02/21Brasilia v Cearense87-67
06/12/20Cearense v Brasilia71-63
06/12/19Cearense v Brasilia91-56
05/02/19Brasilia v Cearense80-87
05/12/18Cearense v Brasilia76-63
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24HUnifacisa83-102
06/04/24HFranca100-105
02/04/24ASao Paulo84-93
31/03/24APaulistano50-95
28/03/24HBauru84-103
22/03/24ASao Jose85-103
20/03/24AMogi61-104
10/03/24HBotafogo106-108 OT
08/03/24HVasco84-89
01/03/24HCerrado73-95
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
25/03/24ACaxias do Sul91-69
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69
14/02/24HBotafogo84-75
10/02/24HPaulistano51-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %11%12%11%
Points / game73.778.469.2
Allowed / game89.590.688.5
Point differential-15.9-12.2-19.3
Avg total163.2169.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game79.178.679.7
Allowed / game77.474.980.1
Point differential+1.7+3.7-0.4
Avg total156.4153.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)57% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3631586%85.073.1+12.0
2 Franca3631586%88.476.7+11.7
3 Minas3527877%86.073.7+12.3
4 Vasco35241169%76.173.1+2.9
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Unifacisa36231364%84.479.5+4.9
7 Paulistano35211460%75.270.5+4.6
8 Cearense34191556%79.177.4+1.7
9 Sao Jose35191654%79.777.6+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista36191753%81.780.0+1.7
11 Sao Paulo36181850%78.479.1-0.7
12 Pato35161946%78.079.7-1.7
13 Pinheiros35142140%74.478.0-3.7
14 Mogi35102529%73.779.3-5.6
15 Uniao Corinthians35102529%74.783.8-9.1
16 Botafogo36102628%79.388.2-8.8
17 Cerrado3582723%74.777.9-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3582723%72.681.4-8.8
19 Brasilia3543111%73.789.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1416142569
Cearense272311768
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.