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Brasilia vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-72
20-25 19-14 17-14 17-19
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.7
Allowed / game76.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Cearense
04 Dec 2025
BRAS105
CEAR90
05 Nov 2024
BRAS73
CEAR72
11 Apr 2024
BRAS69
CEAR68
09 Jan 2023
BRAS80
CEAR82
11 Jan 2022
BRAS82
CEAR75
09 Feb 2021
BRAS87
CEAR67
25 Mar 2020
BRAS v CEAR
upcoming
05 Feb 2019
BRAS80
CEAR87
03 Feb 2017
BRAS88
CEAR52
12 Feb 2016
BRAS82
CEAR95
22 Dec 2014
BRAS81
CEAR68
21 Nov 2013
BRAS88
CEAR75
15 Jan 2013
BRAS92
CEAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 60
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 60
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 60
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
40avg 60
A12/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 60
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 60
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
70avg 60
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 60
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
79avg 60
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 60
A02/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
26-36
27-20
27-23
27-24
13-22
18-29
25-27
14-27
16-23
14-11
25-7
15-16
18-18
13-17
20-23
19-28
20-22
24-20
28-23
17-25
14-17
20-23
23-14
25-22
16-17
13-20
27-17
18-14
32-25
18-24
18-17
25-18
24-16
13-20
27-21
24-33
26-19
24-22
31-25
169.5Avg total
84.4Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.682.3166.9+2.357%
Season at home (2)83.578.0161.5+5.5100%
Season away (5)85.084.0169.0+1.040%
Last 10 (10)84.485.1169.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)87.081.8168.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)74.190.0164.1-15.88%
vs Similar (4)91.585.8177.2+5.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)86.080.0166.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 69
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 69
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 69
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 69
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 69
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 69
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
60-89
60
89
-29
44avg 69
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 69
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
38avg 69
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
67avg 69
H01/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-14
27-19
23-18
25-22
14-21
17-21
15-15
15-23
21-26
13-11
17-26
18-25
8-24
21-16
21-18
15-18
18-17
25-13
18-20
19-16
11-24
18-22
22-17
11-23
15-25
19-21
15-20
10-17
17-20
11-22
14-18
23-21
11-25
9-14
13-18
18-14
16-13
22-26
12-17
145.2Avg total
67.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)63.776.8140.5-13.217%
Season at home (5)64.474.4138.8-10.020%
Season away (1)60.089.0149.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)67.777.5145.2-9.820%
Last 5 (5)61.278.6139.8-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.579.9149.4-10.412%
vs Similar (14)75.478.2153.6-2.850%
vs Weaker (7)82.075.4157.4+6.671%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
BrasiliaCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A02/11
NBB
85.7Avg total
40.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.645.683.3-8.013%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.145.485.5-5.421%-
Last 30 away (16)35.545.881.3-10.36%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.285.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)36.046.282.2-10.24%-
vs Similar (4)44.843.888.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.039.089.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A22/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
NBB
72.8Avg total
32.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.774.4-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.938.071.9-4.135%-
Last 30 away (13)38.139.577.6-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)32.540.372.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.239.669.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.641.876.4-7.138%-
vs Similar (14)33.237.871.0-4.621%-
vs Weaker (7)42.135.978.0+6.386%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.114.3
47.5%
50.9%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.8
36.8%
33.0%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.6
78.7%
72.7%16.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.4
51.6%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.9
29.9%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.08.8
67.7%
72.7%8.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WWWWLLLWLL
Cearense
LLLLLWLLLW
#6
League position
#17
-0.7
Net rating
-12.1
111.2
Offensive rating
94.9
111.8
Defensive rating
107.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.8%
3-point %
29.9%
61.3%
Assist %
51.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 94.9Defence111.8 · 107.0Shooting51.6% · 48.7%3-point %36.8% · 29.9%Ball care14.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 25.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Brasilia   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brasilia wins
6
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
11/04/24Brasilia v Cearense69-68
29/12/23Cearense v Brasilia83-73
09/01/23Brasilia v Cearense80-82
19/10/22Cearense v Brasilia62-75
15/04/22Cearense v Brasilia77-65
11/01/22Brasilia v Cearense82-75
09/02/21Brasilia v Cearense87-67
06/12/20Cearense v Brasilia71-63
06/12/19Cearense v Brasilia91-56
05/02/19Brasilia v Cearense80-87
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24ACorinthians Paulista105-99
31/10/24APinheiros89-75
26/10/24HMogi86-80
23/10/24HSao Jose81-76
17/10/24AFranca74-79
15/10/24ABauru91-93
12/10/24AMinas66-74
11/04/24HCearense69-68
08/04/24HUnifacisa83-102
06/04/24HFranca100-105
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HVasco68-70
29/10/24HFlamengo56-78
27/10/24HBotafogo52-77
22/10/24APato60-89
18/10/24HUniao Corinthians70-79
15/10/24HCaxias do Sul76-68
09/05/24HFlamengo68-83
07/05/24HFlamengo66-86
03/05/24AFlamengo71-79
27/04/24HSao Jose90-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%100%40%
Points / game84.683.585.0
Allowed / game82.378.084.0
Point differential+2.3+5.5+1.0
Avg total166.9161.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %17%20%0%
Points / game63.764.460.0
Allowed / game76.874.489.0
Point differential-13.2-10.0-29.0
Avg total140.5138.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%78.663.9+14.8
2 Minas76186%82.468.7+13.7
3 Sao Paulo65183%81.776.2+5.5
4 Uniao Corinthians43175%80.075.0+5.0
5 Bauru64267%79.077.8+1.2
6 Brasilia74357%84.682.3+2.3
7 Franca74357%81.079.1+1.9
8 Vasco63350%66.064.8+1.2
9 Corinthians Paulista73443%79.479.9-0.4
10 Botafogo73443%71.374.7-3.4
11 Pinheiros73443%68.372.6-4.3
12 Mogi73443%70.481.3-10.9
13 Caxias do Sul52340%72.478.4-6.0
14 Pato83538%78.979.2-0.4
15 Unifacisa62433%77.079.8-2.8
16 Paulistano72529%79.678.3+1.3
17 Cearense61517%63.776.8-13.2
18 Sao Jose71614%69.377.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2019171773
Cearense2514141972
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