Cearense vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 76-63

17-14 22-15 19-24 18-10

Position#11

Record2-8

FormWLLLW

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game77.2

Cearense 🏆

Brasilia

Position#10

Record2-7

FormLLWLW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game88.1

NBB

Other2018-19

Meetings · Cearense v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

54-73

-19

H13/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

86-92 OT

-6

A17/10

NBB

Mogi

72-100

100

-28

A20/10

NBB

Paulistano

60-72

-12

A22/10

NBB

Franca

82-91

-9

H31/10

NBB

Bauru

82-73

H02/11

NBB

Joinville

#13

69-72

-3

A07/11

NBB

Pinheiros

86-88 OT

-2

A10/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

55-57

-2

A12/11

NBB

Botafogo

65-54

+11

H16/11

NBB

17-23

9-16

13-14

15-20

19-22

22-16

12-27

27-15

21-25

23-25

14-20

14-30

12-26

17-14

19-16

12-16

19-26

14-14

21-34

28-17

21-13

17-21

20-22

24-17

11-22

22-23

20-14

16-13

22-14

12-15

14-23

29-25

13-12

17-22

9-11

16-12

14-14

20-15

14-15

17-10

148.3Avg total

71.1Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	71.1	77.2	148.3	-6.1	20%
Season at home (4)	70.8	72.8	143.5	-2.0	50%
Season away (6)	71.3	80.2	151.5	-8.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.1	77.2	148.3	-6.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	68.8	140.2	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	71.8	78.7	150.5	-6.8	40%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	73.1	74.1	147.3	-1.0	29%
vs Weaker (3)	68.0	70.7	138.7	-2.7	33%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

78-80

-2

A30/04

NBB

Vasco

#14

76-77

-1

H13/10

NBB

Flamengo

69-94

-25

H15/10

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

79-91

-12

A25/10

NBB

Mogi

82-97

-15

A27/10

NBB

Bauru

105-113 OT

105

113

-8

H01/11

NBB

Franca

73-101

101

-28

H02/11

NBB

Botafogo

82-64

+18

H14/11

NBB

Pinheiros

61-79

-18

A21/11

NBB

Joinville

#13

84-77

A23/11

NBB

22-20

13-19

21-24

22-17

14-21

25-16

19-24

18-16

19-27

16-22

22-27

12-18

26-27

18-23

16-21

19-20

26-24

18-27

18-23

20-23

23-24

24-26

20-25

22-14

14-30

18-19

18-25

23-27

21-16

16-13

24-21

21-14

16-24

11-13

13-20

21-22

18-19

19-18

27-20

20-20

166.2Avg total

78.9Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.0	88.1	167.1	-9.1	22%
Season at home (5)	81.0	89.8	170.8	-8.8	20%
Season away (4)	76.5	86.0	162.5	-9.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	87.3	166.2	-8.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	86.8	167.8	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.2	85.0	162.2	-7.8	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	81.2	85.3	166.6	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker (10)	80.4	74.7	155.1	+5.7	70%

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearenseBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	18.9	35.5	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.3	35.6	-1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.0	31.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.1	16.9	34.0	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	15.7	31.7	+0.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	23.6	44.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.6	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.7	35.6	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	20.3	36.3	-4.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	20.4	37.6	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	60%	-

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

26-39

-13

H13/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

41-38

A17/10

NBB

Mogi

44-50

-6

A20/10

NBB

Paulistano

29-40

-11

A22/10

NBB

Franca

33-40

-7

H31/10

NBB

Bauru

38-34

H02/11

NBB

Joinville

#13

33-45

-12

A07/11

NBB

Pinheiros

34-29

A10/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

30-34

-4

A12/11

NBB

Botafogo

34-29

H16/11

NBB

72.0Avg total

34.2Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.9	37.3	71.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.1	37.6	70.7	-4.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	37.0	71.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	37.8	72.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	34.2	68.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	33.0	37.9	70.8	-4.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.3	36.1	73.4	+1.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	32.0	36.0	68.0	-4.0	33%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bauru

35-39

-4

A30/04

NBB

Vasco

#14

39-37

H13/10

NBB

Flamengo

35-49

-14

H15/10

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

44-50

-6

A25/10

NBB

Mogi

44-51

-7

A27/10

NBB

Bauru

47-50

-3

H01/11

NBB

Franca

32-49

-17

H02/11

NBB

Botafogo

37-29

H14/11

NBB

Pinheiros

27-37

-10

A21/11

NBB

Joinville

#13

37-37

A23/11

NBB

80.5Avg total

37.7Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.6	77.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	40.6	76.7	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	42.8	80.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.4	76.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.9	42.5	80.4	-4.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.2	41.5	78.8	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	60%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.0	32.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.1	20.7	35.9	-5.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.3	16.7	32.0	-1.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.2	38.4	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.4	35.8	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.9	19.9	39.7	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.9	15.6	35.4	+4.3	86%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	16.3	32.7	+0.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.1	40.1	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.6	75.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	37.9	75.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	39.2	75.7	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	37.1	72.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	32.4	68.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	38.4	40.2	78.7	-1.9	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	35.0	36.3	71.3	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	31.7	33.0	64.7	-1.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.9	82.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	41.6	83.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.1	81.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.6	83.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.4	42.5	81.9	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.5	40.8	82.2	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.4	39.7	82.1	+2.7	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/17	Brasilia v Cearense	88-52
17/11/16	Cearense v Brasilia	72-81
12/02/16	Brasilia v Cearense	82-95
17/11/15	Cearense v Brasilia	81-85
13/03/15	Cearense v Brasilia	96-84
22/12/14	Brasilia v Cearense	81-68
30/01/14	Cearense v Brasilia	88-77
21/11/13	Brasilia v Cearense	88-75
26/02/13	Cearense v Brasilia	100-104 OT
15/01/13	Brasilia v Cearense	92-77

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/18	H	Botafogo	65-54
12/11/18	A	Corinthians Paulista	55-57
10/11/18	A	Pinheiros	86-88 OT
07/11/18	A	Joinville	69-72
02/11/18	H	Bauru	82-73
31/10/18	H	Franca	82-91
22/10/18	A	Paulistano	60-72
20/10/18	A	Mogi	72-100
17/10/18	A	Sao Jose	86-92 OT
13/10/18	H	Flamengo	54-73

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/18	A	Joinville	84-77
21/11/18	A	Pinheiros	61-79
14/11/18	H	Botafogo	82-64
02/11/18	H	Franca	73-101
01/11/18	H	Bauru	105-113 OT
27/10/18	A	Mogi	82-97
25/10/18	A	Corinthians Paulista	79-91
15/10/18	H	Flamengo	69-94
13/10/18	H	Vasco	76-77
30/04/17	A	Bauru	78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	20%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Points / game	71.1	70.8	71.3
Allowed / game	77.2	72.8	80.2
Point differential	-6.1	-2.0	-8.8
Avg total	148.3	143.5	151.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	-	0% (3)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

Brasilia

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	22%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	22%	20%	25%
Points / game	79.0	81.0	76.5
Allowed / game	88.1	89.8	86.0
Point differential	-9.1	-8.8	-9.5
Avg total	167.1	170.8	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	12	10	2	83%	87.1	78.8	+8.3
2	Flamengo	11	8	3	73%	78.3	69.5	+8.8
3	Pinheiros	11	8	3	73%	82.5	77.2	+5.4
4	Paulistano	10	7	3	70%	81.0	76.7	+4.3
5	Mogi	10	6	4	60%	87.5	82.8	+4.7
6	Minas	10	6	4	60%	79.6	76.9	+2.7
7	Botafogo	11	6	5	55%	75.5	76.0	-0.5
8	Joinville	9	4	5	44%	73.8	75.9	-2.1
9	Corinthians Paulista	10	4	6	40%	76.6	76.5	+0.1
10	Vasco	10	4	6	40%	73.1	82.8	-9.7
11	Bauru	11	3	8	27%	73.5	79.5	-6.0
12	Brasilia	9	2	7	22%	79.0	88.1	-9.1
13	Sao Jose	10	2	8	20%	77.2	81.6	-4.4
14	Cearense	10	2	8	20%	71.1	77.2	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cearense	17	22	19	18	76
Brasilia	14	15	24	10	63

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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