Brasilia vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 23:10

Final 86-65

25-14 19-20 31-15 11-16

Position#15

Record6-17

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game85.9

Brasilia 🏆

Cerrado

Position#17

Record4-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game92.2

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Brasilia v Cerrado

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cerrado winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

94-99

-5

A22/12

NBB

Pato

#12

79-66

+13

H03/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

88-101

101

-13

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

80-82

-2

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

88-101

101

-13

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

70-72

-2

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

83-94

-11

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-88

-10

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

74-96

-22

H04/02

NBB

Minas

79-110

110

-31

A17/02

NBB

16-29

16-22

26-23

36-25

24-13

20-13

21-17

14-23

25-34

22-26

19-21

22-20

22-14

21-20

17-27

20-21

18-39

22-24

29-17

19-21

15-21

11-18

28-27

16-6

17-27

13-26

25-27

28-14

20-17

17-21

22-28

19-22

24-28

19-12

17-31

14-25

15-32

21-28

24-19

19-31

172.2Avg total

81.3Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.5	85.9	164.4	-7.4	26%
Season at home (11)	77.8	87.5	165.4	-9.7	9%
Season away (12)	79.1	84.4	163.5	-5.3	42%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	90.9	172.2	-9.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	92.0	168.8	-15.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	78.0	88.3	166.3	-10.2	18%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.4	78.2	159.6	+3.1	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cerrado

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

90-93

-3

A22/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

89-79

+10

H03/01

NBB

Pato

#12

109-110

109

110

-1

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

88-68

+20

H11/01

NBB

Unifacisa

73-83

-10

H13/01

NBB

Pinheiros

65-95

-30

A16/01

NBB

Bauru

73-97

-24

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

91-98

-7

H30/01

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

99-107 OT

107

-8

H02/02

NBB

Minas

70-99

-29

A15/02

NBB

25-25

19-26

29-21

17-21

15-23

27-14

20-29

27-13

27-22

36-27

22-32

24-29

22-21

13-21

25-16

28-10

19-24

17-15

25-19

12-25

21-24

17-23

15-20

12-28

16-18

28-24

13-24

16-31

24-26

31-25

16-26

20-21

25-26

22-20

19-17

22-25

17-39

17-24

16-20

20-16

177.6Avg total

84.7Scored

92.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.8	92.2	176.0	-8.3	17%
Season at home (12)	90.2	92.9	183.1	-2.8	25%
Season away (11)	76.9	91.4	168.3	-14.5	9%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	92.9	177.6	-8.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	99.2	178.8	-19.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	81.3	91.3	172.7	-10.0	9%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	84.0	83.0	167.0	+1.0	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaCerrado

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.3	45.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.9	43.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	25.4	45.0	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	25.0	43.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	21.5	25.3	46.8	-3.8	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	24.2	42.1	-6.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	24.8	45.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.6	47.2	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.2	22.9	41.0	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.3	21.9	45.1	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.0	37.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	23.0	43.9	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	21.8	22.6	44.3	-0.8	52%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

32-51

-19

A22/12

NBB

Pato

#12

44-26

+18

H03/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

47-60

-13

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

43-34

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

40-63

-23

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

26-39

-13

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

30-53

-23

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

37-38

-1

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-40

H04/02

NBB

Minas

36-60

-24

A17/02

NBB

84.2Avg total

37.8Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	44.3	84.2	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	43.3	84.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	45.2	84.2	-6.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	46.4	84.2	-8.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	46.0	80.4	-11.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	39.5	46.9	86.4	-7.4	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

44-51

-7

A22/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-37

H03/01

NBB

Pato

#12

63-49

+14

H05/01

NBB

Cearense

#14

35-42

-7

H11/01

NBB

Unifacisa

36-39

-3

H13/01

NBB

Pinheiros

38-47

-9

A16/01

NBB

Bauru

44-42

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

55-51

H30/01

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

47-46

H02/02

NBB

Minas

34-63

-29

A15/02

NBB

90.5Avg total

43.8Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	44.6	85.3	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	42.2	84.8	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	47.2	86.0	-8.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	46.7	90.5	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	49.8	93.4	-6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	40.0	45.4	85.4	-5.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.4	41.7	85.1	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	22.1	39.3	-4.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.7	46.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	26.4	49.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.7	42.6	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.4	37.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.9	42.9	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.2	42.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.6	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	41.1	79.7	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	42.9	79.9	-5.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	39.4	79.6	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	44.5	88.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	46.0	88.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	38.5	41.4	79.9	-2.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	43.2	83.5	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	45.4	89.1	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	40.6	77.1	-4.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	44.3	84.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	45.6	79.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	40.6	44.2	84.8	-3.7	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.6	39.7	79.3	-0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Cerrado wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/22	Cerrado v Brasilia	88-96
08/04/22	Cerrado v Brasilia	86-90 OT
11/12/21	Brasilia v Cerrado	72-82
11/02/21	Brasilia v Cerrado	73-86
06/01/21	Cerrado v Brasilia	97-85

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/23	A	Minas	79-110
04/02/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	74-96
01/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	78-88
18/01/23	A	Pinheiros	83-94
16/01/23	A	Bauru	70-72
11/01/23	H	Unifacisa	88-101
09/01/23	H	Cearense	80-82
05/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-101
03/01/23	H	Pato	79-66
22/12/22	A	Franca	94-99

Cerradolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/23	A	Minas	70-99
02/02/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	99-107 OT
30/01/23	H	Caxias do Sul	91-98
18/01/23	A	Bauru	73-97
16/01/23	A	Pinheiros	65-95
13/01/23	H	Unifacisa	73-83
11/01/23	H	Cearense	88-68
05/01/23	H	Pato	109-110
03/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	89-79
22/12/22	A	Rio Claro	90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	26%
Home	LLLLL	9%
Away	WLLLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	26%	9%	42%
Points / game	78.5	77.8	79.1
Allowed / game	85.9	87.5	84.4
Point differential	-7.4	-9.7	-5.3
Avg total	164.4	165.4	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	9%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cerrado

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LWLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	17%	25%	9%
Points / game	83.8	90.2	76.9
Allowed / game	92.2	92.9	91.4
Point differential	-8.3	-2.8	-14.5
Avg total	176.0	183.1	168.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	13%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	25	25	0	100%	90.2	77.2	+13.0
2	Flamengo	25	22	3	88%	82.7	68.7	+14.0
3	Sao Paulo	24	18	6	75%	87.5	79.6	+7.9
4	Minas	24	17	7	71%	85.7	77.7	+8.0
5	Paulistano	24	15	9	62%	76.0	72.7	+3.3
6	Corinthians Paulista	24	14	10	58%	82.1	79.5	+2.6
7	Bauru	24	13	11	54%	78.0	71.8	+6.2
8	Pinheiros	24	13	11	54%	80.0	78.8	+1.3
9	Unifacisa	25	12	13	48%	78.9	81.0	-2.0
10	Sao Jose	25	11	14	44%	80.0	82.1	-2.1
11	Caxias do Sul	23	10	13	43%	75.0	76.7	-1.7
12	Uniao Corinthians	22	7	15	32%	78.6	82.0	-3.4
13	Brasilia	23	6	17	26%	78.5	85.9	-7.4
14	Pato	25	6	19	24%	77.6	87.0	-9.4
15	Cearense	25	6	19	24%	72.5	83.8	-11.4
16	Rio Claro	23	5	18	22%	75.6	87.8	-12.2
17	Cerrado	23	4	19	17%	83.8	92.2	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	25	19	31	11	86
Cerrado	14	20	15	16	65

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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