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Brasilia vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 73-95
15-22 19-28 21-25 18-20
Position#19
Record4-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game85.4
Brasilia
Brazil
vs
Cerrado 🏆
Brazil
Position#17
Record7-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.5
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Cerrado
01 Mar 2024
BRAS73
CERR95
02 Mar 2023
BRAS86
CERR65
11 Dec 2021
BRAS72
CERR82
11 Feb 2021
BRAS73
CERR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
63-72
63
72
-9
51avg 56
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 56
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 56
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-77
65
77
-12
57avg 56
H06/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
68-111
68
111
-43
49avg 56
H17/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 56
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
92-88
92
88
+4
82avg 56
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 56
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 56
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 56
H17/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
20-15
12-28
14-16
13-18
16-32
20-24
20-19
15-18
18-20
21-20
19-25
19-15
16-26
15-12
15-24
19-34
16-25
22-22
11-30
8-28
21-18
22-18
13-23
24-21
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-23
7-19
20-15
14-16
14-23
19-23
20-14
14-19
28-20
11-19
14-23
21-24
154.3Avg total
69.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.785.4156.2-14.716%
Season at home (11)73.085.3158.3-12.318%
Season away (14)68.985.6154.5-16.614%
Last 10 (10)69.484.9154.3-15.510%
Last 5 (5)71.282.6153.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.986.6157.5-15.814%
vs Similar (2)69.091.5160.5-22.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 66
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
60avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 66
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 66
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 66
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
56-73
56
73
-17
43avg 66
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
103-75
103
75
+28
100avg 66
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 66
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
89avg 66
H15/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
25-18
21-17
17-23
12-25
19-15
20-24
25-23
23-15
15-26
18-23
24-28
15-22
21-13
16-26
23-21
20-24
11-23
25-20
15-17
12-29
14-18
14-15
21-22
4-19
27-15
12-19
13-20
25-17
22-13
27-21
29-24
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
19-25
24-23
22-22
18-16
158.2Avg total
77.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.576.5151.0-2.028%
Season at home (12)74.572.8147.2+1.833%
Season away (13)74.580.0154.5-5.523%
Last 10 (10)77.380.9158.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)77.878.0155.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.683.4154.9-11.86%
vs Similar (8)74.877.0151.8-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.270.7156.8+15.567%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
BrasiliaCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A27/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H17/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/02
NBB
78.4Avg total
34.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.044.380.3-8.317%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.742.580.2-4.823%-
Last 30 away (17)34.845.780.5-10.912%-
Last 10 (10)34.543.978.4-9.410%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.679.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.143.980.0-7.818%-
vs Similar (2)35.049.584.5-14.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
NBB
75.8Avg total
36.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.575.8-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.636.374.9+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.576.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.441.677.0-6.212%-
vs Similar (8)35.637.573.1-1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.331.776.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.516.9
45.1%
51.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.610.1
69.2%
72.6%10.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.2
51.5%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.011.7
68.8%
72.6%11.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLWLLLLLL
Cerrado
LWWLLLLLLW
#19
League position
#17
-21.9
Net rating
-5.2
93.0
Offensive rating
105.0
114.9
Defensive rating
110.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.5%
3-point %
36.5%
53.6%
Assist %
50.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 105.0Defence114.9 · 110.2Shooting46.0% · 52.8%3-point %31.5% · 36.5%Ball care17.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds23.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brasilia wins
4
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Cerrado v Brasilia84-53
02/03/23Brasilia v Cerrado86-65
26/11/22Cerrado v Brasilia88-96
08/04/22Cerrado v Brasilia86-90 OT
11/12/21Brasilia v Cerrado72-82
11/02/21Brasilia v Cerrado73-86
06/01/21Cerrado v Brasilia97-85
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HFlamengo74-86
09/02/24ACaxias do Sul67-79
07/02/24AUniao Corinthians59-73
24/01/24APinheiros92-88
22/01/24ACorinthians Paulista64-87
17/01/24HMinas68-111
06/01/24HPato65-77
29/12/23ACearense73-83
27/12/23AUnifacisa69-93
23/12/23HSao Paulo63-72
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HFlamengo83-86
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
05/02/24AUniao Corinthians103-75
24/01/24ACorinthians Paulista56-73
22/01/24APinheiros61-84
19/01/24HMinas71-84
08/01/24HPato75-82
29/12/23AUnifacisa80-92
27/12/23ACearense76-87
21/12/23HSao Paulo82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL16%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %16%18%14%
Points / game70.773.068.9
Allowed / game85.485.385.6
Point differential-14.7-12.3-16.6
Avg total156.2158.3154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL28%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%33%23%
Points / game74.574.574.5
Allowed / game76.572.880.0
Point differential-2.0+1.8-5.5
Avg total151.0147.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2621581%87.373.5+13.8
4 Vasco2518772%75.671.8+3.8
5 Paulistano2517868%74.470.6+3.8
6 Bauru26161062%79.778.2+1.5
7 Unifacisa27161159%83.579.4+4.1
8 Sao Jose26151158%81.576.9+4.6
9 Cearense26141254%78.877.0+1.8
10 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
11 Corinthians Paulista25121348%79.378.5+0.8
12 Pinheiros26111542%75.678.4-2.8
13 Pato27111641%76.779.6-2.9
14 Uniao Corinthians27101737%74.882.6-7.8
15 Caxias do Sul2681831%72.480.0-7.6
16 Cerrado2571828%74.576.5-2.0
17 Botafogo2862221%77.386.7-9.4
18 Brasilia2542116%70.785.4-14.7
19 Mogi2642215%72.381.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1519211873
Cerrado2228252095
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