Brasilia vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 89-96

24-28 17-31 20-21 28-16

Position#15

Record4-7

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game80.5

Brasilia

Sao Paulo 🏆

Position#3

Record9-2

FormLLWWL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game77.8

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Brasilia v Sao Paulo

SAO 104

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

75-62

+13

A19/10

NBB

Pinheiros

68-71

-3

H24/10

NBB

Bauru

66-86

-20

H26/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

74-72

A01/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

76-86

-10

A03/11

NBB

Minas

74-94

-20

H19/11

NBB

Cerrado

#17

96-88

A26/11

NBB

Flamengo

50-72

-22

A01/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

94-89

A03/12

NBB

Paulistano

72-82

-10

H15/12

NBB

23-6

15-14

12-17

25-25

14-15

16-15

12-20

26-21

24-19

19-22

11-23

12-22

24-15

19-26

19-15

12-16

21-18

24-33

8-16

23-19

24-29

11-23

14-18

25-24

25-29

25-24

22-19

24-16

21-16

14-29

11-10

4-17

25-25

23-15

20-30

26-19

27-28

18-16

9-26

18-12

154.7Avg total

74.5Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	74.2	80.5	154.7	-6.4	36%
Season at home (4)	70.0	83.2	153.2	-13.2	0%
Season away (7)	76.6	79.0	155.6	-2.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	80.2	154.7	-5.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	85.0	162.2	-7.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	77.0	86.5	163.4	-9.5	20%
vs Similar (10)	80.4	77.8	158.2	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

76-72

H01/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-72

H05/11

NBB

Bauru

82-73

H17/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

86-70

+16

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-71

+22

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

71-79

-8

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

81-85

-4

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

111-81

111

+30

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

82-73

A10/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

94-101

101

-7

A15/12

NBB

13-23

28-15

13-17

22-17

21-20

21-13

12-12

24-27

22-12

21-11

18-29

21-21

22-18

19-16

28-12

17-24

16-21

25-19

33-13

19-18

21-26

21-10

14-24

15-19

20-13

20-26

22-14

19-32

26-25

29-18

31-15

25-23

23-18

13-16

26-9

20-30

17-17

27-31

24-28

26-25

163.1Avg total

85.4Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.0	77.8	165.8	+10.2	82%
Season at home (4)	83.8	76.8	160.5	+7.0	100%
Season away (7)	90.4	78.4	168.9	+12.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	77.7	163.1	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	83.8	171.6	+4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	87.3	165.3	-9.3	0%
vs Similar (10)	75.0	74.0	149.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.4	75.3	166.7	+16.1	88%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	25.4	49.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	22.1	22.1	44.2	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.3	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.4	18.4	38.9	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	22.7	45.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	15.9	38.3	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.8	13.3	37.2	+10.5	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	14.1	35.0	+6.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.2	16.6	40.8	+7.6	82%	-

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

38-20

+18

A19/10

NBB

Pinheiros

30-30

H24/10

NBB

Bauru

43-41

H26/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-41

A01/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

45-51

-6

A03/11

NBB

Minas

35-52

-17

H19/11

NBB

Cerrado

#17

50-53

-3

A26/11

NBB

Flamengo

35-45

-10

A01/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

48-40

A03/12

NBB

Paulistano

45-44

H15/12

NBB

82.9Avg total

41.2Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	41.3	81.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.4	38.7	80.1	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.0	43.3	83.3	-3.3	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.7	82.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	46.8	89.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.4	43.1	83.5	-2.8	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.1	37.7	78.8	+3.4	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

41-38

H01/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-33

H05/11

NBB

Bauru

43-23

+20

H17/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

41-34

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-40

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

42-36

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

40-39

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

55-43

+12

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

36-34

A10/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

44-48

-4

A15/12

NBB

79.3Avg total

42.5Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	35.5	78.5	+7.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.8	34.8	79.5	+10.0	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.8	36.1	77.9	+5.8	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	36.8	79.3	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.0	83.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	33.7	72.1	+4.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.3	35.7	82.0	+10.6	94%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.6	20.4	36.0	-4.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	19.8	37.1	-2.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.8	19.4	33.2	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.4	20.9	36.4	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	18.9	37.2	-0.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.3	18.6	41.9	+4.7	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.3	39.4	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.5	16.9	40.5	+6.6	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	55%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.3	22.4	41.7	-3.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	25.8	46.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	23.3	38.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	40.9	77.5	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.0	42.0	77.0	-7.0	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	38.5	71.8	-5.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.2	72.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.7	41.7	77.4	-6.0	10%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.2	39.4	77.6	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.3	81.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.8	39.1	77.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.6	41.1	83.6	+1.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.9	83.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	43.8	88.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	46.7	85.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.6	40.3	76.9	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.1	39.1	83.2	+5.0	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/22	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	86-90 OT
29/10/21	Sao Paulo v Brasilia	85-66
10/03/21	Sao Paulo v Brasilia	92-46
11/12/20	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	80-104
13/02/20	Brasilia v Sao Paulo	73-96
08/11/19	Sao Paulo v Brasilia	81-69

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/22	H	Paulistano	72-82
03/12/22	A	Sao Jose	94-89
01/12/22	A	Flamengo	50-72
26/11/22	A	Cerrado	96-88
19/11/22	H	Minas	74-94
03/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	76-86
01/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	74-72
26/10/22	H	Bauru	66-86
24/10/22	H	Pinheiros	68-71
19/10/22	A	Cearense	75-62

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/22	A	Cerrado	94-101
10/12/22	A	Unifacisa	82-73
08/12/22	A	Cearense	111-81
30/11/22	A	San Martin	81-85
30/11/22	A	Boca Juniors	71-79
25/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-71
23/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	86-70
17/11/22	H	Bauru	82-73
05/11/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	78-72
01/11/22	H	Pinheiros	76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	36%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	WLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	36%	0%	57%
Points / game	74.2	70.0	76.6
Allowed / game	80.5	83.2	79.0
Point differential	-6.4	-13.2	-2.4
Avg total	154.7	153.2	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	82%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	82%	100%	71%
Points / game	88.0	83.8	90.4
Allowed / game	77.8	76.8	78.4
Point differential	+10.2	+7.0	+12.0
Avg total	165.8	160.5	168.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	0%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	9%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	12	12	0	100%	89.7	76.1	+13.6
2	Flamengo	12	11	1	92%	82.2	67.8	+14.3
3	Sao Paulo	11	9	2	82%	88.0	77.8	+10.2
4	Corinthians Paulista	12	9	3	75%	82.6	74.6	+8.0
5	Minas	12	8	4	67%	86.6	78.2	+8.3
6	Paulistano	13	8	5	62%	74.8	71.5	+3.3
7	Pinheiros	13	8	5	62%	81.7	80.2	+1.5
8	Bauru	11	6	5	55%	79.5	71.4	+8.2
9	Caxias do Sul	12	5	7	42%	74.7	76.4	-1.8
10	Sao Jose	12	5	7	42%	78.7	83.2	-4.5
11	Unifacisa	12	5	7	42%	77.8	83.8	-6.1
12	Brasilia	11	4	7	36%	74.2	80.5	-6.4
13	Pato	12	4	8	33%	74.5	82.4	-7.9
14	Cerrado	12	2	10	17%	83.8	91.1	-7.3
15	Uniao Corinthians	12	2	10	17%	76.8	84.9	-8.1
16	Rio Claro	12	2	10	17%	72.7	85.2	-12.5
17	Cearense	13	2	11	15%	69.0	80.4	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	24	17	20	28	89
Sao Paulo	28	31	21	16	96

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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