Cearense vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 81-111

25-26 18-29 15-31 23-25

Position#14

Record2-8

FormWLWLL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game75.7

Cearense

Sao Paulo 🏆

Position#3

Record7-1

FormWWWLL

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game75.1

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Cearense v Sao Paulo

SAO 111

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#17

80-86

-6

H17/10

NBB

Brasilia

#15

62-75

-13

H19/10

NBB

Flamengo

60-80

-20

A25/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

74-83

-9

A27/10

NBB

Paulistano

55-78

-23

H02/11

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

72-57

+15

A15/11

NBB

Franca

62-78

-16

A17/11

NBB

Pato

#12

80-60

+20

H21/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

77-81 OT

-4

H24/11

NBB

Minas

71-79

-8

A29/11

NBB

24-24

12-27

22-14

22-21

6-23

14-15

17-12

25-25

15-23

13-14

19-24

13-19

20-16

14-26

23-17

17-24

14-13

13-26

18-15

10-24

13-8

16-18

28-15

15-16

14-18

17-19

10-23

21-18

16-8

22-18

15-11

27-23

12-27

26-15

22-12

11-17

16-15

18-21

18-24

19-19

145.0Avg total

69.3Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	69.3	75.7	145.0	-6.4	20%
Season at home (5)	70.8	76.0	146.8	-5.2	20%
Season away (5)	67.8	75.4	143.2	-7.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	69.3	75.7	145.0	-6.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	71.0	143.4	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	69.8	84.6	154.4	-14.8	6%
vs Similar (14)	74.6	72.8	147.4	+1.9	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tigrillos de Antioqui

#16

107-65

107

+42

H24/10

South American League

Pato

#12

99-90 OT

H28/10

NBB

Franca

69-82

-13

A29/10

NBB

Pinheiros

76-72

H01/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-72

H05/11

NBB

Bauru

82-73

H17/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

86-70

+16

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-71

+22

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

71-79

-8

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

81-85

-4

A30/11

South American League

29-26

30-11

21-10

27-18

23-21

20-17

19-27

20-17

19-30

17-22

24-19

9-11

13-23

28-15

13-17

22-17

21-20

21-13

12-12

24-27

22-12

21-11

18-29

21-21

22-18

19-16

28-12

17-24

16-21

25-19

33-13

19-18

21-26

21-10

14-24

15-19

20-13

20-26

22-14

19-32

160.1Avg total

84.2Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	85.1	75.1	160.2	+10.0	88%
Season at home (4)	83.8	76.8	160.5	+7.0	100%
Season away (4)	86.5	73.5	160.0	+13.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	75.9	160.1	+8.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	75.6	158.2	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	87.3	165.3	-9.3	0%
vs Similar (10)	75.0	74.0	149.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	89.8	72.2	162.0	+17.6	94%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearenseSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.4	17.9	34.3	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	17.8	33.9	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	17.5	32.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	15.2	29.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.1	16.3	32.4	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	22.7	45.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.2	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	20.1	35.7	-4.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.9	36.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.9	20.3	37.2	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	15.1	37.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	13.5	37.2	+10.2	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	14.1	35.0	+6.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.4	15.2	38.6	+8.1	88%	-

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#17

36-51

-15

H17/10

NBB

Brasilia

#15

20-38

-18

H19/10

NBB

Flamengo

28-37

-9

A25/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

34-42

-8

A27/10

NBB

Paulistano

27-39

-12

H02/11

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

29-26

A15/11

NBB

Franca

31-37

-6

A17/11

NBB

Pato

#12

38-26

+12

H21/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

38-42

-4

H24/11

NBB

Minas

34-36

-2

A29/11

NBB

68.9Avg total

31.5Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	33.4	38.3	71.7	-4.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	38.5	73.1	-3.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.3	38.1	70.4	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.5	37.4	68.9	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	33.4	67.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.6	39.5	73.1	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar (13)	33.1	36.8	69.9	-3.8	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tigrillos de Antioqui

#16

59-37

+22

H24/10

South American League

Pato

#12

43-38

H28/10

NBB

Franca

36-52

-16

A29/10

NBB

Pinheiros

41-38

H01/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-33

H05/11

NBB

Bauru

43-23

+20

H17/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

41-34

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-40

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

42-36

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

40-39

A30/11

South American League

79.8Avg total

42.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	34.4	77.3	+8.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.1	34.5	79.5	+10.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.2	34.4	75.6	+6.8	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	37.0	79.8	+5.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.4	75.8	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	33.7	72.1	+4.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.1	33.8	79.9	+12.4	100%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.3	16.8	37.2	+3.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	17.4	40.4	+5.6	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	22.2	41.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.1	22.4	39.4	-5.3	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	23.3	38.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	41.1	79.4	-2.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	41.0	79.9	-2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.2	78.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	37.3	74.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.6	72.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.2	43.5	78.7	-8.3	19%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.1	38.2	80.2	+3.9	85%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.6	79.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	38.8	77.6	-0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	40.2	81.5	+1.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.1	77.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.2	82.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	46.7	85.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.6	40.3	76.9	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.7	37.9	80.6	+4.8	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/22	Sao Paulo v Cearense	73-62
04/11/21	Cearense v Sao Paulo	68-81
13/03/21	Sao Paulo v Cearense	98-76
23/12/20	Cearense v Sao Paulo	92-85
30/11/19	Sao Paulo v Cearense	92-73

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/22	A	Minas	71-79
24/11/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	77-81 OT
21/11/22	H	Pato	80-60
17/11/22	A	Franca	62-78
15/11/22	A	Rio Claro	72-57
02/11/22	H	Paulistano	55-78
27/10/22	A	Sao Jose	74-83
25/10/22	A	Flamengo	60-80
19/10/22	H	Brasilia	62-75
17/10/22	H	Cerrado	80-86

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/22	A	San Martin	81-85
30/11/22	A	Boca Juniors	71-79
25/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-71
23/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	86-70
17/11/22	H	Bauru	82-73
05/11/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	78-72
01/11/22	H	Pinheiros	76-72
29/10/22	A	Franca	69-82
28/10/22	H	Pato	99-90 OT
24/10/22	H	Tigrillos de Antioqui	107-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	20%
Home	LLLWL	20%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Points / game	69.3	70.8	67.8
Allowed / game	75.7	76.0	75.4
Point differential	-6.4	-5.2	-7.6
Avg total	145.0	146.8	143.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	85.1	83.8	86.5
Allowed / game	75.1	76.8	73.5
Point differential	+10.0	+7.0	+13.0
Avg total	160.2	160.5	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	0%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	12	12	0	100%	89.7	76.1	+13.6
2	Flamengo	12	11	1	92%	82.2	67.8	+14.3
3	Sao Paulo	8	7	1	88%	85.1	75.1	+10.0
4	Corinthians Paulista	11	8	3	73%	81.8	73.5	+8.3
5	Minas	12	8	4	67%	86.6	78.2	+8.3
6	Bauru	9	5	4	56%	80.6	73.2	+7.3
7	Paulistano	11	6	5	55%	72.5	70.6	+1.8
8	Pinheiros	10	5	5	50%	76.9	79.3	-2.4
9	Sao Jose	11	5	6	45%	77.6	81.8	-4.2
10	Unifacisa	9	4	5	44%	77.6	84.0	-6.4
11	Caxias do Sul	12	5	7	42%	74.7	76.4	-1.8
12	Brasilia	10	4	6	40%	74.4	80.4	-6.0
13	Pato	12	4	8	33%	74.5	82.4	-7.9
14	Cearense	10	2	8	20%	69.3	75.7	-6.4
15	Uniao Corinthians	11	2	9	18%	76.0	84.4	-8.4
16	Rio Claro	12	2	10	17%	72.7	85.2	-12.5
17	Cerrado	10	1	9	10%	82.4	90.6	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cearense	25	18	15	23	81
Sao Paulo	26	29	31	25	111

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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