Cerrado vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 22:15

Final 101-94

17-17 31-27 28-24 25-26

Position#17

Record1-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game90.8

Cerrado 🏆

Sao Paulo

Position#3

Record9-1

FormWLLWW

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game75.5

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Cerrado v Sao Paulo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cerrado

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

86-80

A17/10

NBB

Pinheiros

93-95 OT

-2

H22/10

NBB

Bauru

69-80

-11

H28/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

81-92

-11

A03/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

67-82

-15

A05/11

NBB

Minas

102-112 OT

102

112

-10

H17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

88-96

-8

H26/11

NBB

Flamengo

80-91

-11

A29/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

79-88

-9

A01/12

NBB

Paulistano

80-93

-13

H13/12

NBB

24-24

27-12

14-22

21-22

15-17

18-23

23-24

34-26

18-12

15-23

26-30

10-15

16-23

30-28

14-22

21-19

9-31

22-20

15-15

21-16

21-20

25-20

30-30

21-27

29-25

24-25

19-22

16-24

22-15

12-29

27-27

19-20

12-30

29-22

23-12

15-24

11-25

19-17

25-27

25-24

173.4Avg total

82.5Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	82.2	90.8	173.0	-8.6	9%
Season at home (5)	86.4	95.2	181.6	-8.8	0%
Season away (6)	78.7	87.2	165.8	-8.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	90.9	173.4	-8.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	96.0	181.8	-10.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	77.3	85.8	163.1	-8.4	10%
vs Similar (10)	82.7	84.5	167.2	-1.8	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

69-82

-13

A29/10

NBB

Pinheiros

76-72

H01/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-72

H05/11

NBB

Bauru

82-73

H17/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

86-70

+16

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-71

+22

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

71-79

-8

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

81-85

-4

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

111-81

111

+30

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

82-73

A10/12

NBB

19-30

17-22

24-19

9-11

13-23

28-15

13-17

22-17

21-20

21-13

12-12

24-27

22-12

21-11

18-29

21-21

22-18

19-16

28-12

17-24

16-21

25-19

33-13

19-18

21-26

21-10

14-24

15-19

20-13

20-26

22-14

19-32

26-25

29-18

31-15

25-23

23-18

13-16

26-9

20-30

158.7Avg total

82.9Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.4	75.5	162.9	+11.9	90%
Season at home (4)	83.8	76.8	160.5	+7.0	100%
Season away (6)	89.8	74.7	164.5	+15.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	75.8	158.7	+7.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	77.8	165.4	+9.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	87.3	165.3	-9.3	0%
vs Similar (10)	75.0	74.0	149.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.1	73.3	164.4	+17.8	94%

This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CerradoSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.8	39.3	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.1	38.8	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	22.8	39.9	-5.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	22.2	39.9	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.5	21.6	39.0	-4.1	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	18.5	39.2	+2.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	22.7	45.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.7	19.1	41.8	+3.6	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	15.4	37.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	13.5	37.2	+10.2	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	14.1	35.0	+6.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.9	15.6	39.5	+8.2	88%	-

CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

51-36

+15

A17/10

NBB

Pinheiros

33-40

-7

H22/10

NBB

Bauru

33-35

-2

H28/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

46-51

-5

A03/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

31-51

-20

A05/11

NBB

Minas

46-40

H17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

53-50

H26/11

NBB

Flamengo

34-44

-10

A29/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

41-52

-11

A01/12

NBB

Paulistano

30-42

-12

H13/12

NBB

83.9Avg total

39.8Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	40.7	78.8	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	38.3	77.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	43.4	80.4	-6.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	44.1	83.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	45.6	86.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.7	43.0	79.8	-6.3	15%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.9	36.0	76.9	+4.9	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

36-52

-16

A29/10

NBB

Pinheiros

41-38

H01/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-33

H05/11

NBB

Bauru

43-23

+20

H17/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

41-34

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-40

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

42-36

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

40-39

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

55-43

+12

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

36-34

A10/12

NBB

78.9Avg total

41.7Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	35.0	78.1	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.1	34.5	79.5	+10.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.7	35.4	77.1	+6.4	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	37.2	78.9	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.4	81.2	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	33.7	72.1	+4.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.6	34.7	81.3	+11.9	100%	-

This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.4	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	23.4	44.1	-2.6	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.6	48.4	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.0	22.1	38.1	-6.1	10%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.2	18.1	41.3	+5.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	16.4	38.5	+5.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	15.0	40.2	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.5	16.2	39.6	+7.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	23.3	38.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.0	81.1	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	45.3	85.8	-4.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	38.2	75.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	44.8	86.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	47.4	91.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.2	41.7	82.0	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.7	42.6	79.3	-5.9	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.7	80.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	38.8	77.6	-0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.1	40.4	82.5	+1.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	39.4	84.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	46.7	85.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.6	40.3	76.9	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.5	38.1	81.6	+5.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cerrado wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
27/01/22	Cerrado v Sao Paulo	86-84
26/10/21	Sao Paulo v Cerrado	76-78 OT
01/04/21	Cerrado v Sao Paulo	80-86
15/12/20	Sao Paulo v Cerrado	91-83

Cerradolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/22	H	Paulistano	80-93
01/12/22	A	Sao Jose	79-88
29/11/22	A	Flamengo	80-91
26/11/22	H	Brasilia	88-96
17/11/22	H	Minas	102-112 OT
05/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	67-82
03/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	81-92
28/10/22	H	Bauru	69-80
22/10/22	H	Pinheiros	93-95 OT
17/10/22	A	Cearense	86-80

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/22	A	Unifacisa	82-73
08/12/22	A	Cearense	111-81
30/11/22	A	San Martin	81-85
30/11/22	A	Boca Juniors	71-79
25/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-71
23/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	86-70
17/11/22	H	Bauru	82-73
05/11/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	78-72
01/11/22	H	Pinheiros	76-72
29/10/22	A	Franca	69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	9%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	9%	0%	17%
Points / game	82.2	86.4	78.7
Allowed / game	90.8	95.2	87.2
Point differential	-8.6	-8.8	-8.5
Avg total	173.0	181.6	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	18%	40%	0%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	90%	100%	83%
Points / game	87.4	83.8	89.8
Allowed / game	75.5	76.8	74.7
Point differential	+11.9	+7.0	+15.2
Avg total	162.9	160.5	164.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	0%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	10%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	12	12	0	100%	89.7	76.1	+13.6
2	Flamengo	12	11	1	92%	82.2	67.8	+14.3
3	Sao Paulo	10	9	1	90%	87.4	75.5	+11.9
4	Corinthians Paulista	12	9	3	75%	82.6	74.6	+8.0
5	Minas	12	8	4	67%	86.6	78.2	+8.3
6	Pinheiros	13	8	5	62%	81.7	80.2	+1.5
7	Paulistano	12	7	5	58%	74.2	71.4	+2.8
8	Bauru	10	5	5	50%	79.3	73.5	+5.8
9	Caxias do Sul	12	5	7	42%	74.7	76.4	-1.8
10	Sao Jose	12	5	7	42%	78.7	83.2	-4.5
11	Unifacisa	12	5	7	42%	77.8	83.8	-6.1
12	Brasilia	10	4	6	40%	74.4	80.4	-6.0
13	Pato	12	4	8	33%	74.5	82.4	-7.9
14	Uniao Corinthians	12	2	10	17%	76.8	84.9	-8.1
15	Cearense	12	2	10	17%	70.6	80.2	-9.7
16	Rio Claro	12	2	10	17%	72.7	85.2	-12.5
17	Cerrado	11	1	10	9%	82.2	90.8	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cerrado	17	31	28	25	101
Sao Paulo	17	27	24	26	94

← all games of the day

Cerrado vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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