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Breogan vs Manresa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game101.0
SpainACBRound 23· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Breogan v Manresa
06 Mar 2027
BRE v MAN
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
BRE91
MAN78
02 Jan 2025
BRE79
MAN88
01 Oct 2023
BRE85
MAN89
14 May 2023
BRE81
MAN82
14 Apr 2022
BRE98
MAN94
26 Jan 2019
BRE71
MAN80
18 Nov 2017
BRE98
MAN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 91
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 91
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 91
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 91
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 91
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 91
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 91
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 91
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
205.1Avg total
105.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.8100.1204.9+4.662%
Season at home (4)108.5102.2210.8+6.275%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
82avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 79
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
108-88
108
88
+20
103avg 79
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 79
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
76-65
76
65
+11
75avg 79
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#4
L
83-106
83
106
-23
79avg 79
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
no box
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
24-21
22-23
22-24
16-22
19-26
22-16
15-20
32-21
25-25
25-24
26-18
20-34
17-18
26-29
18-18
25-17
14-19
15-14
22-15
22-30
18-20
24-33
19-23
24-14
21-14
22-17
13-21
19-19
16-17
20-12
18-25
24-20
16-22
24-25
22-15
32-25
22-21
23-25
21-21
175.3Avg total
87.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.0101.0189.0-13.025%
Season at home (4)87.095.8182.8-8.825%
Season away (4)89.0106.2195.2-17.225%
Last 10 (10)87.288.1175.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)89.489.0178.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)87.795.9183.5-8.233%
vs Similar (9)88.188.7176.8-0.656%
vs Weaker (6)88.380.3168.7+8.083%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
BreoganManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/11
ACB
94.8Avg total
50.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.091.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.744.392.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.690.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)50.544.394.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (11)43.745.989.6-2.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)51.142.193.2+9.082%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A15/11
ACB
86.3Avg total
42.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.487.6-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.488.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.386.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.786.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.547.589.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.178%-
vs Weaker (6)46.338.785.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.8
60.4%
55.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.0%16.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLWWWLW
Manresa
WWWWLWLWLL
#6
League position
#16
+11.0
Net rating
-8.7
114.3
Offensive rating
94.2
103.4
Defensive rating
103.0
64.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
44.8%
3-point %
31.7%
59.9%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 94.2Defence103.4 · 103.0Shooting64.1% · 54.8%3-point %44.8% · 31.7%Ball care15.2% · 18.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Breogan wins
5
Manresa wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Manresa v Breogan95-101
28/03/26Breogan v Manresa91-78
10/01/26Manresa v Breogan104-99
03/05/25Manresa v Breogan93-104
02/01/25Breogan v Manresa79-88
27/01/24Manresa v Breogan83-68
01/10/23Breogan v Manresa85-89 OT
14/05/23Breogan v Manresa81-82
29/10/22Manresa v Breogan70-106
14/04/22Breogan v Manresa98-94
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos119-110
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AForca Lleida98-92
10/11/26HKK Bosna86-82
07/11/26HObradoiro CAB100-99 OT
04/11/26ALietkabelis80-66
01/11/26ABaskonia83-106
27/10/26ABalkan76-65
24/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-99
20/10/26HBC Roma108-88
17/10/26HUnicaja72-84
13/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game104.8108.5101.0
Allowed / game100.1102.298.0
Point differential+4.6+6.2+3.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manresa
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game88.087.089.0
Allowed / game101.095.8106.2
Point differential-13.0-8.8-17.2
Avg total189.0182.8195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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