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Breogan vs Manresa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-89 (OT)
18-28 25-21 21-10 13-18 8-12
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Manresa 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game95.5
SpainACBRound 3· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Manresa
06 Mar 2027
BRE v MAN
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
BRE91
MAN78
02 Jan 2025
BRE79
MAN88
01 Oct 2023
BRE85
MAN89
14 May 2023
BRE81
MAN82
14 Apr 2022
BRE98
MAN94
26 Jan 2019
BRE71
MAN80
18 Nov 2017
BRE98
MAN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 64
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 64
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 64
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 64
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 64
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 64
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 64
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 64
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 64
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 64
A29/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
21-26
11-23
20-15
15-20
22-24
25-24
12-22
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
152.5Avg total
71.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.075.5149.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Season away (1)69.063.0132.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.880.7152.5-8.920%
Last 5 (5)75.078.6153.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.485.9157.3-14.58%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.078.1157.1+0.957%
vs Weaker (3)87.073.3160.3+13.767%
This opponent (Manresa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 75
A19/04
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 75
H23/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
88-99
88
99
-11
65avg 75
A26/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
62avg 75
A29/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 75
A03/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H07/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
65avg 75
A14/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-75
105
75
+30
106avg 75
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 75
A24/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 75
H29/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-25
18-19
18-20
14-19
25-23
28-20
26-21
24-22
19-27
15-35
30-15
14-24
19-12
22-25
21-19
22-21
21-16
19-28
26-32
22-23
22-13
23-21
20-25
22-19
14-23
23-19
23-20
22-17
26-13
29-24
28-21
24-22
20-17
22-38
26-20
26-22
16-21
25-30
21-21
174.3Avg total
87.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.095.5185.5-5.50%
Season at home (1)88.094.0182.0-6.00%
Season away (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)87.187.2174.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)90.885.8176.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.890.4173.1-7.619%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.583.3169.8+3.260%
vs Weaker (4)86.275.8162.0+10.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
BreoganManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
75.5Avg total
35.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.276.4-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.639.777.3-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)35.540.075.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.543.076.5-9.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.138.575.6-1.443%-
vs Weaker (3)43.335.779.0+7.733%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A19/04
Champions League
Murcia
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H23/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A26/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A03/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H29/09
ACB
80.7Avg total
40.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.283.2+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.638.882.4+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.543.483.9-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.980.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.444.485.8-3.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.337.880.1+4.560%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.280.8+6.275%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.120.1
46.6%
53.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.5
29.3%
34.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.611.1
63.1%
75.6%11.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.3
51.0%
53.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.513.8
78.9%
75.6%13.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLLLLLL
Manresa
LLWWWLLLWL
#16
League position
#9
-12.7
Net rating
-0.6
98.9
Offensive rating
107.3
111.6
Defensive rating
107.9
45.7%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.3%
3-point %
36.3%
49.2%
Assist %
57.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 107.3Defence111.6 · 107.9Shooting45.7% · 52.2%3-point %29.3% · 36.3%Ball care16.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
5
Manresa wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Breogan v Manresa81-82
29/10/22Manresa v Breogan70-106
14/04/22Breogan v Manresa98-94
14/11/21Manresa v Breogan86-75
26/01/19Breogan v Manresa71-80
25/11/18Manresa v Breogan72-63
11/03/18Manresa v Breogan90-78
18/11/17Breogan v Manresa98-81
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83
07/05/23HMurcia60-65
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
20/04/23HUnicaja74-90
15/04/23AGran Canaria66-77
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23HReal Madrid88-94
24/09/23AGran Canaria92-97
24/05/23HGran Canaria105-75
14/05/23ABreogan82-81
07/05/23HValencia87-82
03/05/23AUnicaja88-97
29/04/23ABilbao76-80
26/04/23ABasket Zaragoza88-99
23/04/23HMurcia93-83
19/04/23ATenerife72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game74.079.069.0
Allowed / game75.588.063.0
Point differential-1.5-9.0+6.0
Avg total149.5167.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manresa
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game90.088.092.0
Allowed / game95.594.097.0
Point differential-5.5-6.0-5.0
Avg total185.5182.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Obradoiro CAB110100%84.064.0+20.0
2 Real Madrid220100%97.579.0+18.5
3 Basquet Girona330100%93.080.0+13.0
4 Murcia330100%90.781.7+9.0
5 Barcelona220100%89.581.0+8.5
6 Baskonia32167%85.379.7+5.7
7 Valencia32167%87.083.7+3.3
8 Joventut Badalona32167%84.783.3+1.3
9 Bilbao21150%83.582.5+1.0
10 Breogan21150%74.075.5-1.5
11 Basket Zaragoza21150%85.096.5-11.5
12 Unicaja31233%88.785.7+3.0
13 Gran Canaria31233%78.789.7-11.0
14 Manresa2020%90.095.5-5.5
15 Granada3030%90.797.3-6.7
16 Palencia2020%73.584.0-10.5
17 MoraBanc Andorra2020%68.082.0-14.0
18 Tenerife3030%76.390.7-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Breogan18252113885
Manresa282110181289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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