Palencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Oct 2019

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 90-76

25-17 23-12 23-24 19-23

Position#7

Record1-1

FormWLWLW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game80.0

Palencia 🏆

Breogan

Position#5

Record2-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game61.0

Primera FEBRound 3

Other2019-20

Meetings · Palencia v Breogan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Breogan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Araberri

#18

94-82

+12

A13/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

55-52

A21/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

76-84

-8

H26/04

Primera FEB

Granada

60-73

-13

A03/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

73-93

-20

A10/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

86-77

A12/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

81-87

-6

H17/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

61-57

H19/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

69-81

-12

H27/09

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

80-79

A06/10

Primera FEB

23-24

26-16

22-18

13-12

15-9

17-15

10-16

18-16

19-20

20-22

19-26

18-18

13-18

12-18

17-19

19-23

19-18

20-26

15-26

17-22

20-15

26-13

23-27

21-22

20-24

16-13

24-28

18-19

22-13

10-12

11-13

19-16

21-21

18-32

11-12

15-20

22-10

29-24

14-25

150.0Avg total

73.5Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	74.5	80.0	154.5	-5.5	50%
Season at home (1)	69.0	81.0	150.0	-12.0	0%
Season away (1)	80.0	79.0	159.0	+1.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	76.5	150.0	-3.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	76.2	151.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	72.0	79.1	151.1	-7.1	40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	73.4	76.1	149.5	-2.7	46%
vs Weaker (7)	85.6	77.7	163.3	+7.9	71%

This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

75-92

-17

H07/04

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

62-95

-33

A14/04

ACB

Unicaja

83-75

H21/04

ACB

Real Madrid

89-94

-5

A27/04

ACB

Valencia

82-83

-1

A04/05

ACB

Tenerife

84-85

-1

H09/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

77-92

-15

H12/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

84-91

-7

A18/05

ACB

Castello

#10

91-68

+23

A28/09

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#16

72-54

+18

H05/10

Primera FEB

21-15

17-31

12-25

25-21

11-23

18-24

17-25

16-23

16-17

15-13

20-19

32-26

24-24

22-15

16-33

27-22

10-23

27-24

22-26

23-10

17-30

24-22

22-17

21-16

24-17

22-31

19-21

12-23

26-22

21-19

24-26

13-24

34-16

22-10

21-11

14-31

18-17

14-15

20-13

20-9

162.8Avg total

79.9Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	81.5	61.0	142.5	+20.5	100%
Season at home (1)	72.0	54.0	126.0	+18.0	100%
Season away (1)	91.0	68.0	159.0	+23.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	82.9	162.8	-3.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	78.0	159.6	+3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	78.1	84.4	162.4	-6.3	21%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	75.9	81.9	157.8	-6.0	44%
vs Weaker (2)	81.5	61.0	142.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaBreogan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.2	38.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.8	20.9	36.7	-5.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	16.5	42.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.5	36.5	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.8	17.2	34.9	+0.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	14%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	12.5	30.5	+5.5	50%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Araberri

#18

46-48

-2

A13/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

28-21

A21/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

37-36

H26/04

Primera FEB

Granada

31-36

-5

A03/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

38-41

-3

A10/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

37-37

A12/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

41-46

-5

H17/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

40-32

H19/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

40-37

H27/09

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

37-30

A06/10

Primera FEB

73.9Avg total

37.5Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.0	76.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	38.1	75.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	37.9	76.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	36.4	73.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.8	39.9	77.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.8	35.9	72.7	+0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	43%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

38-46

-8

H07/04

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

29-47

-18

A14/04

ACB

Unicaja

31-30

H21/04

ACB

Real Madrid

46-39

A27/04

ACB

Valencia

37-47

-10

A04/05

ACB

Tenerife

41-52

-11

H09/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

46-48

-2

H12/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

47-41

A18/05

ACB

Castello

#10

56-26

+30

A28/09

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#16

32-32

H05/10

Primera FEB

81.1Avg total

40.3Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.6	75.7	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	38.0	76.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	39.2	74.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.8	84.2	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.9	39.6	76.6	-2.7	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	29.0	73.0	+15.0	50%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.3	18.4	35.7	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	20.5	38.6	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	18.1	41.6	+5.3	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.1	43.1	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.4	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	12.0	32.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	21.1	38.8	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.5	36.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	20.8	37.7	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.5	40.9	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.6	36.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.3	22.5	42.7	-2.2	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.0	76.1	-2.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	40.3	77.3	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	37.7	74.9	-0.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	40.1	76.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.2	39.2	73.4	-5.0	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	35.7	39.9	75.6	-4.2	15%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	37.1	80.7	+6.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.7	82.4	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	40.5	79.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	45.0	84.9	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.1	81.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.2	75.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	41.1	44.7	85.8	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	32.0	69.5	+5.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.0	50.8%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.6%	33.7%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.3	70.0%	73.6%	13.3

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.4	56.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.9	38.7%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.1	75.3%	73.6%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.4	47.8%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.7%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.3%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.5	52.8%	51.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.7%	73.6%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Breogan wins

Date	Game	Score
04/03/18	Breogan v Palencia	80-82
10/11/17	Palencia v Breogan	70-74
20/01/17	Palencia v Breogan	97-89
18/10/16	Breogan v Palencia	89-87
10/01/16	Breogan v Palencia	70-79
09/10/15	Palencia v Breogan	74-85
01/05/15	Breogan v Palencia	88-86 OT
28/04/15	Palencia v Breogan	81-66
24/04/15	Breogan v Palencia	91-75
14/03/15	Breogan v Palencia	74-58

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/10/19	A	Fibwi Palma	80-79
27/09/19	H	Melilla	69-81
19/05/19	H	Bilbao	61-57
17/05/19	H	Bilbao	81-87
12/05/19	A	Bilbao	86-77
10/05/19	A	Bilbao	73-93
03/05/19	A	Granada	60-73
26/04/19	H	Melilla	76-84
21/04/19	A	Ourense	55-52
13/04/19	A	Araberri	94-82

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/19	H	Oviedo	72-54
28/09/19	A	Castello	91-68
18/05/19	A	MoraBanc Andorra	84-91
12/05/19	H	Gran Canaria	77-92
09/05/19	H	Tenerife	84-85
04/05/19	A	Valencia	82-83
27/04/19	A	Real Madrid	89-94
21/04/19	H	Unicaja	83-75
14/04/19	A	Estudiantes	62-95
07/04/19	H	Barcelona	75-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	74.5	69.0	80.0
Allowed / game	80.0	81.0	79.0
Point differential	-5.5	-12.0	+1.0
Avg total	154.5	150.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Breogan

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	81.5	72.0	91.0
Allowed / game	61.0	54.0	68.0
Point differential	+20.5	+18.0	+23.0
Avg total	142.5	126.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	2	2	0	100%	81.5	61.0	+20.5
2	Ourense	2	2	0	100%	80.0	66.0	+14.0
3	Valladolid	3	3	0	100%	84.3	72.3	+12.0
4	Huesca	2	2	0	100%	71.0	66.5	+4.5
5	Caceres	3	2	1	67%	72.3	64.0	+8.3
6	Alicante	3	2	1	67%	85.3	79.0	+6.3
7	Forca Lleida	3	2	1	67%	76.0	71.0	+5.0
8	Granada	2	1	1	50%	69.0	64.5	+4.5
9	Gipuzkoa	2	1	1	50%	67.5	67.5	+0.0
10	Oviedo	2	1	1	50%	62.0	66.5	-4.5
11	Palencia	2	1	1	50%	74.5	80.0	-5.5
12	Fibwi Palma	3	1	2	33%	71.7	74.7	-3.0
13	Melilla	3	1	2	33%	72.3	76.7	-4.3
14	Castello	3	1	2	33%	67.0	79.0	-12.0
15	Almansa	2	0	2	0%	73.5	80.0	-6.5
16	Real Canoe	3	0	3	0%	78.0	90.3	-12.3
17	Leyma Coruna	2	0	2	0%	66.0	79.5	-13.5
18	Peixegalego	2	0	2	0%	65.0	78.5	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	25	23	23	19	90
Breogan	17	12	24	23	76

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature