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Breogan vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-65
16-16 17-19 15-12 25-18
Position#16
Record7-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game79.9
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#18
Record5-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game87.3
SpainACBRound 28· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Palencia
06 Apr 2024
BRE73
PAL65
28 Feb 2021
BRE84
PAL76
01 Feb 2020
BRE75
PAL74
04 Mar 2018
BRE80
PAL82
18 Oct 2016
BRE89
PAL87
10 Jan 2016
BRE70
PAL79
01 May 2015
BRE88
PAL86
24 Apr 2015
BRE91
PAL75
14 Mar 2015
BRE74
PAL58
22 Mar 2014
BRE92
PAL81
06 Apr 2013
BRE69
PAL64
19 Oct 2011
BRE76
PAL66
08 Apr 2011
BRE72
PAL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#27
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 65
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 65
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 65
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
48avg 65
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 65
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 65
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
61avg 65
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 65
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 65
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 65
H30/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-21
17-19
20-24
14-18
25-18
28-16
26-23
12-15
16-25
23-22
17-21
17-11
11-20
12-16
21-16
24-15
18-24
15-15
16-26
14-16
16-24
19-20
21-18
13-17
20-17
13-22
19-20
26-23
20-24
21-25
21-13
14-25
13-16
23-21
22-21
9-16
23-21
16-19
20-24
152.3Avg total
73.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.979.9153.8-6.126%
Season at home (13)76.879.5156.4-2.731%
Season away (14)71.180.3151.4-9.221%
Last 10 (10)73.478.9152.3-5.520%
Last 5 (5)72.680.4153.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.183.9154.0-13.811%
vs Similar (19)79.080.1159.1-1.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)62.075.5137.5-13.50%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
83avg 72
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
83avg 72
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
94-102
94
102
-8
89avg 72
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 72
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 72
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 72
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 72
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 72
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 72
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 72
H30/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
17-23
24-19
28-21
17-17
24-22
25-22
22-34
16-29
27-23
25-18
26-32
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
172.6Avg total
83.9Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.687.3165.9-8.719%
Season at home (14)76.379.9156.2-3.629%
Season away (13)81.195.2176.3-14.28%
Last 10 (10)83.988.7172.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)82.491.8174.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.687.3165.9-8.718%
vs Similar (6)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (2)76.560.0136.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
BreoganPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/03
ACB
73.2Avg total
34.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.676.4-4.923%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.238.676.8-0.438%-
Last 30 away (17)33.942.276.1-8.312%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.873.2-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.873.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.642.479.0-5.922%-
vs Similar (19)36.340.076.3-3.726%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)27.538.566.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
81.8Avg total
40.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.279.1-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.675.2+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.345.383.6-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.581.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.542.380.8-3.832%-
vs Similar (6)38.342.080.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (2)30.527.057.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.6
47.3%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
75.6%14.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.7
53.4%
53.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.0
35.9%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
75.6%14.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLLLLLWL
Palencia
LLLWLWLLLW
#16
League position
#18
-7.7
Net rating
-6.4
101.7
Offensive rating
110.5
109.4
Defensive rating
116.9
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
35.9%
63.6%
Assist %
60.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 110.5Defence109.4 · 116.9Shooting47.8% · 53.5%3-point %32.3% · 35.9%Ball care18.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Breogan   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Breogan wins
5
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Palencia v Breogan74-59
28/02/21Breogan v Palencia84-76
13/12/20Palencia v Breogan65-76
01/02/20Breogan v Palencia75-74
11/10/19Palencia v Breogan90-76
04/03/18Breogan v Palencia80-82
10/11/17Palencia v Breogan70-74
20/01/17Palencia v Breogan97-89
18/10/16Breogan v Palencia89-87
10/01/16Breogan v Palencia70-79
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HBilbao68-80
23/03/24AObradoiro CAB72-83
17/03/24ABarcelona88-85
09/03/24HUnicaja65-76
02/03/24AJoventut Badalona70-78
11/02/24HReal Madrid73-80
03/02/24ABasket Zaragoza61-63
27/01/24AManresa68-83
21/01/24HBasquet Girona93-75
17/01/24AKarsiyaka76-86
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HTenerife68-89
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
28/01/24ABarcelona94-102
20/01/24HManresa88-95
13/01/24ABasquet Girona86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeWWLLL31%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%31%21%
Points / game73.976.871.1
Allowed / game79.979.580.3
Point differential-6.1-2.7-9.2
Avg total153.8156.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %19%29%8%
Points / game78.676.381.1
Allowed / game87.379.995.2
Point differential-8.7-3.6-14.2
Avg total165.9156.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2723485%88.078.2+9.8
2 Unicaja2722581%88.376.6+11.6
3 Barcelona2718967%87.980.4+7.4
4 Murcia27171063%84.179.9+4.2
5 Tenerife27171063%84.680.7+3.9
6 Gran Canaria28171161%84.181.2+2.8
7 Valencia27161159%81.980.3+1.6
8 Manresa27161159%84.083.4+0.6
9 Baskonia27151256%87.187.0+0.1
10 Joventut Badalona27141352%81.185.4-4.3
11 Bilbao28131546%79.480.8-1.3
12 Basket Zaragoza28111739%83.085.9-2.9
13 Basquet Girona27101737%81.086.5-5.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra2791833%82.284.6-2.4
15 Granada2781930%81.387.0-5.6
16 Breogan2772026%73.979.9-6.1
17 Obradoiro CAB2872125%80.485.3-4.9
18 Palencia2752219%78.687.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1617152573
Palencia1619121865
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