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Brindisi vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 78-63
13-19 26-15 17-12 22-17
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.0
Brindisi 🏆
vs
Den Bosch
Position#21
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals· Gloria Sports Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 73
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
92-58
92
58
+34
86avg 73
H16/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
73avg 73
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
55avg 73
H23/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
53avg 73
A30/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
72avg 73
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
68-104
68
104
-36
55avg 73
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
95-109
95
109
-14
77avg 73
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
84avg 73
H19/05
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#42
W
77-74
77
74
+3
68avg 73
H27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
27-15
18-24
16-23
20-21
16-10
23-16
33-11
27-20
24-25
12-30
23-18
18-17
14-22
18-17
23-30
13-21
19-16
12-18
25-20
26-21
25-19
19-13
22-17
13-29
23-35
14-20
18-20
21-28
27-25
27-34
20-22
30-24
23-25
18-33
24-18
24-22
19-10
17-28
17-14
168.5Avg total
83.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.185.4168.5-2.330%
Last 5 (5)85.491.4176.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.597.7178.2-17.217%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.880.1159.9-0.336%
vs Weaker (9)89.274.7163.9+14.678%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Limburg
#10
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
H23/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A28/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
67avg 64
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
51avg 64
A12/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
65-78
65
78
-13
63avg 64
H14/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
54-67
54
67
-13
50avg 64
A16/05
DBL
Leuven Bears
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A21/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H23/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
63-74
63
74
-11
53avg 64
A23/09
BNXT League
Gottingen
#48
W
96-84
96
84
+12
102avg 64
H27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-16
23-21
17-22
19-22
15-21
18-21
28-23
26-21
19-24
10-15
16-8
15-17
20-16
10-22
15-14
21-24
13-14
13-22
18-18
18-16
13-12
10-20
13-19
15-21
21-20
13-22
21-17
26-20
15-22
14-17
16-15
14-27
23-20
17-14
9-13
23-20
30-21
20-23
23-20
149.1Avg total
72.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.276.9149.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)70.875.8146.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.374.3141.6-7.029%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.885.5155.2-15.80%
vs Weaker (18)78.371.9150.2+6.450%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
BrindisiDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H16/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A30/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A13/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H19/05
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#42
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H27/09
Champions League
86.0Avg total
43.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.781.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.980.5+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.581.5-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.886.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.247.693.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.751.092.7-9.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.237.675.9+0.643%-
vs Weaker (9)42.239.681.8+2.767%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A12/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A16/05
DBL
Leuven Bears
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A21/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/09
BNXT League
Gottingen
#48
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H27/09
Champions League
77.5Avg total
38.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.778.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.583.1+6.260%-
Last 30 away (15)34.138.973.0-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.277.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.879.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.938.175.0-1.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.544.578.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (18)40.937.478.4+3.556%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.0
45.1%
51.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.4
38.5%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
74.5%15.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.1
49.5%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.8
28.9%
34.9%20.2
🏀 Free throws16.913.5
80.0%
74.5%13.5
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLLLWLLLWL
Den Bosch
WLLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#21
-2.3
Net rating
-14.0
109.5
Offensive rating
96.1
111.8
Defensive rating
110.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
22.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.5%
3-point %
28.9%
49.6%
Assist %
72.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 96.1Defence111.8 · 110.1Shooting50.2% · 47.0%3-point %38.5% · 28.9%Ball care15.0% · 22.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Brindisi   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brindisi wins
0
Den Bosch wins
No previous meetings.
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23HCSM Oradea77-74
19/05/23HVirtus Bologna95-100
15/05/23AVirtus Bologna95-109
13/05/23AVirtus Bologna68-104
07/05/23HTrieste92-70
30/04/23ABrescia69-75
23/04/23HTrento73-86
19/04/23AVarese86-93
16/04/23HSassari92-58
11/04/23AScafati84-85
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23HGottingen96-84
23/09/23ADonar Groningen63-74
23/05/23HLeuven Bears71-74
21/05/23ALeuven Bears70-80
16/05/23ADonar Groningen54-67
14/05/23HDonar Groningen65-78
12/05/23ADonar Groningen60-69
10/05/23HDonar Groningen71-68
28/04/23ASpirou Charleroi80-87
23/04/23HLimburg92-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Den Bosch
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.096.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%104.560.5+44.0
2 Obradoiro CAB220100%82.061.0+21.0
3 Den Bosch110100%96.084.0+12.0
4 Norrkoping220100%80.073.0+7.0
5 Cholet220100%86.080.0+6.0
6 Strasbourg220100%81.076.0+5.0
7 Brindisi110100%77.074.0+3.0
8 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
9 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
10 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
11 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
12 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
13 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
14 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
15 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
16 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
17 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
18 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
19 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
20 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
21 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
22 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
23 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
24 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
25 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 25 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi1326172278
Den Bosch1915121763
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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