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Brescia vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 75-69
21-13 16-19 18-12 20-25
Position#8
Record13-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game80.9
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record14-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brescia v Brindisi
05 May 2024
BRE94
BRI75
30 Apr 2023
BRE75
BRI69
16 Jan 2022
BRE88
BRI67
28 Mar 2021
BRE68
BRI74
26 Jan 2020
BRE82
BRI86
17 Mar 2019
BRE97
BRI80
05 Mar 2018
BRE74
BRI60
11 Mar 2017
BRE81
BRI91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 72
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 72
H26/03
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 72
A28/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 72
A01/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 72
H08/04
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 72
A13/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
90-77 OT
90
77
+13
no box
A16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-17
22-24
20-29
24-16
28-20
17-21
15-25
11-21
26-14
23-15
23-24
19-16
11-24
24-28
22-18
19-16
17-16
19-10
17-27
26-23
24-22
24-17
14-17
15-17
23-19
20-23
11-18
24-20
20-19
14-17
13-15
19-15
22-24
15-21
18-19
13-15
14-18
19-21
28-15
156.9Avg total
78.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.580.9163.4+1.646%
Season at home (14)84.279.4163.6+4.957%
Season away (14)80.982.4163.3-1.636%
Last 10 (10)78.978.0156.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)79.076.2155.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.477.8155.2-0.440%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.880.3157.1-3.540%
vs Weaker (9)83.675.6159.1+8.067%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
102-68
102
68
+34
102avg 75
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-70
100
70
+30
97avg 75
A05/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
133avg 75
H12/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
88avg 75
A19/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
107-84
107
84
+23
101avg 75
H26/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
60avg 75
A02/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 75
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
92-58
92
58
+34
86avg 75
H16/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
73avg 75
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
55avg 75
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
23-21
22-19
32-9
15-15
26-10
27-24
32-21
15-29
26-23
17-27
21-19
24-25
19-26
22-18
31-11
22-21
30-16
29-20
26-27
17-22
22-17
13-25
25-17
23-23
27-15
18-24
16-23
20-21
16-10
23-16
33-11
27-20
24-25
12-30
23-18
18-17
14-22
18-17
23-30
169.9Avg total
89.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.382.2165.5+1.150%
Season at home (14)83.480.3163.6+3.164%
Season away (14)83.384.1167.4-0.836%
Last 10 (10)89.680.3169.9+9.350%
Last 5 (5)82.480.6163.0+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.091.0166.0-16.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.381.7163.0-0.447%
vs Weaker (10)88.176.0164.1+12.170%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +7.6+7.6
BresciaBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/03
Lega A
Bursaspor
#15
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/04
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A23/04
Lega A
76.2Avg total
39.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.076.5+2.477%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.137.578.6+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.036.674.6+1.475%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.076.2+2.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.835.674.4+3.2100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.439.376.7-1.953%-
vs Weaker (9)42.634.977.4+7.7100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H12/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A19/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H26/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H16/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/04
Lega A
83.0Avg total
43.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.280.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.179.3-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.480.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.783.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.746.784.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.639.178.8+0.541%-
vs Weaker (10)41.040.281.2+0.860%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.0
47.6%
51.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.2
38.5%
36.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
76.1%14.9
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.422.2
36.8%
51.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
36.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.1%15.6
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLWLWWLWWL
Brindisi
LLWLLWWLWW
#8
League position
#9
-2.8
Net rating
+8.8
110.9
Offensive rating
104.4
113.7
Defensive rating
95.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
42.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.4%
Turnover %
9.2%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.5%
3-point %
36.9%
65.5%
Assist %
45.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 104.4Defence113.7 · 95.6Shooting52.2% · 42.2%3-point %38.5% · 36.9%Ball care14.4% · 9.2%Off. rebounds22.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Brindisi v Brescia82-81
06/03/22Brindisi v Brescia83-88
16/01/22Brescia v Brindisi88-67
28/03/21Brescia v Brindisi68-74
22/11/20Brindisi v Brescia74-71
26/01/20Brescia v Brindisi82-86
05/10/19Brindisi v Brescia88-78
17/03/19Brescia v Brindisi97-80 OT
18/11/18Brindisi v Brescia72-65
05/03/18Brescia v Brindisi74-60
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23AReggiana74-69
19/04/23HVenezia74-79
16/04/23ATortona90-77 OT
13/04/23ATurk Telekom69-77
08/04/23HVerona88-79
01/04/23ABasket Napoli72-69
28/03/23ABursaspor76-86
26/03/23HOlimpia Milano83-74
21/03/23HCedevita Olimpija84-82
18/03/23APesaro79-88
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HTrento73-86
19/04/23AVarese86-93
16/04/23HSassari92-58
11/04/23AScafati84-85
02/04/23ATortona77-81
26/03/23HTreviso107-84
19/03/23ABasket Napoli96-80
12/03/23HOlimpia Milano79-98
05/03/23APesaro100-70
12/02/23HVerona102-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW46%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%57%36%
Points / game82.584.280.9
Allowed / game80.979.482.4
Point differential+1.6+4.9-1.6
Avg total163.4163.6163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)33% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %14%7%21%
Brindisi
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game83.383.483.3
Allowed / game82.280.384.1
Point differential+1.1+3.1-0.8
Avg total165.5163.6167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2822679%84.177.2+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%83.073.2+9.9
3 Tortona28181064%80.577.8+2.7
4 Sassari28161257%84.880.6+4.2
5 Venezia28161257%82.880.1+2.7
6 Varese28161257%91.090.8+0.2
7 Brindisi28141450%83.382.2+1.1
8 Trento28141450%76.177.0-0.9
9 Brescia28131546%82.580.9+1.6
10 Pesaro29131645%84.487.4-3.0
11 Scafati28111739%78.879.7-0.9
12 Treviso28111739%81.186.2-5.1
13 Basket Napoli29111838%79.083.9-4.9
14 Reggiana28101836%75.676.9-1.3
15 Trieste28101836%78.283.9-5.7
16 Verona2891932%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2116182075
Brindisi1319122569
← all games of the day
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