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Varese vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 93-86
20-27 25-24 30-12 18-23
Position#4
Record15-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game91.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record14-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Brindisi
10 Mar 2024
VAR81
BRI73
19 Apr 2023
VAR93
BRI86
07 Nov 2021
VAR71
BRI84
04 Feb 2021
VAR76
BRI74
27 Oct 2019
VAR102
BRI78
25 Nov 2018
VAR85
BRI67
29 Apr 2018
VAR69
BRI65
23 Oct 2016
VAR91
BRI81
20 Mar 2016
VAR80
BRI69
28 Mar 2015
VAR82
BRI93
17 Nov 2013
VAR71
BRI85
20 Jan 2013
VAR83
BRI71
14 Nov 2010
VAR73
BRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 83
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 83
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 83
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 83
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 83
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 83
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 83
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 83
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 83
A16/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
181.1Avg total
88.9Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.391.0182.3+0.458%
Season at home (13)92.389.4181.7+2.962%
Season away (13)90.492.5182.9-2.254%
Last 10 (10)88.992.2181.1-3.350%
Last 5 (5)86.491.2177.6-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.2100.6185.8-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.789.3178.0-0.650%
vs Weaker (10)97.791.6189.3+6.190%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 76
H29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 76
A05/02
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
102-68
102
68
+34
102avg 76
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-70
100
70
+30
97avg 76
A05/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
133avg 76
H12/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
88avg 76
A19/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
107-84
107
84
+23
101avg 76
H26/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
60avg 76
A02/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 76
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
92-58
92
58
+34
86avg 76
H16/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
24-22
13-23
31-14
17-19
14-19
23-16
22-21
25-19
23-21
22-19
32-9
15-15
26-10
27-24
32-21
15-29
26-23
17-27
21-19
24-25
19-26
22-18
31-11
22-21
30-16
29-20
26-27
17-22
22-17
13-25
25-17
23-23
27-15
18-24
16-23
20-21
16-10
23-16
33-11
166.7Avg total
89.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.681.6165.2+2.054%
Season at home (13)84.279.8164.0+4.369%
Season away (13)83.183.4166.5-0.338%
Last 10 (10)89.477.3166.7+12.170%
Last 5 (5)91.277.6168.8+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.889.0165.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.580.7162.2+0.953%
vs Weaker (11)86.575.8162.3+10.664%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +9.6+9.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +9.6+9.6
VareseBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
97.0Avg total
46.3Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.193.3-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.745.391.0+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)46.648.995.5-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)46.350.797.0-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.690.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.250.894.0-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.444.290.6+2.264%-
vs Weaker (10)48.449.698.0-1.240%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A05/02
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H12/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A19/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H26/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H16/04
Lega A
80.6Avg total
41.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.479.8-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.379.5-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.580.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.880.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.546.584.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.438.778.1+0.740%-
vs Weaker (11)40.040.580.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.8
53.1%
51.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.5
37.0%
36.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.0
76.6%
76.1%16.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.722.6
37.9%
51.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
76.1%16.1
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWWLWWLLL
Brindisi
WLLWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#9
-2.7
Net rating
+12.1
111.3
Offensive rating
104.3
113.9
Defensive rating
92.2
54.2%
Effective FG%
42.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
9.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.0%
3-point %
35.2%
61.4%
Assist %
46.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 104.3Defence113.9 · 92.2Shooting54.2% · 42.3%3-point %37.0% · 35.2%Ball care16.3% · 9.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Brindisi v Varese90-104
03/04/22Brindisi v Varese72-75
07/11/21Varese v Brindisi71-84
10/05/21Brindisi v Varese108-84
04/02/21Varese v Brindisi76-74
27/10/19Varese v Brindisi102-78
24/03/19Brindisi v Varese81-77
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23ATrieste83-80
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
02/04/23ATreviso97-95
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HSassari92-58
11/04/23AScafati84-85
02/04/23ATortona77-81
26/03/23HTreviso107-84
19/03/23ABasket Napoli96-80
12/03/23HOlimpia Milano79-98
05/03/23APesaro100-70
12/02/23HVerona102-68
05/02/23AVenezia76-75
29/01/23HReggiana81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%62%54%
Points / game91.392.390.4
Allowed / game91.089.492.5
Point differential+0.4+2.9-2.2
Avg total182.3181.7182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%69%38%
Points / game83.684.283.1
Allowed / game81.679.883.4
Point differential+2.0+4.3-0.3
Avg total165.2164.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2721678%84.177.6+6.5
2 Olimpia Milano2720774%82.773.0+9.7
3 Tortona2718967%80.977.6+3.3
4 Sassari27161159%85.480.4+5.0
5 Varese26151158%91.391.0+0.4
6 Venezia27151256%82.580.1+2.4
7 Brindisi26141254%83.681.6+2.0
8 Trento27131448%75.877.2-1.4
9 Brescia27121544%82.981.3+1.5
10 Pesaro27121544%84.087.2-3.2
11 Treviso27111641%81.286.0-4.8
12 Reggiana27101737%75.877.0-1.2
13 Scafati27101737%78.579.7-1.3
14 Trieste27101737%78.083.6-5.5
15 Basket Napoli2791833%78.284.3-6.1
16 Verona2791833%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2025301893
Brindisi2724122386
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