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Brindisi vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-68
20-22 10-21 19-15 27-10
Position#9
Record11-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#19
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game81.9
ItalySerie A2Round 18· PalaPentassuglia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brindisi v Pistoia
14 Apr 2027
BRI v PIS
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
BRI76
PIS68
29 Oct 2023
BRI72
PIS78
24 Nov 2019
BRI100
PIS67
10 Feb 2019
BRI80
PIS70
28 Jan 2018
BRI88
PIS74
29 Jan 2017
BRI86
PIS85
17 Jan 2016
BRI67
PIS71
04 Apr 2015
BRI89
PIS77
15 Dec 2013
BRI68
PIS60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 69
A28/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 69
H02/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 69
A08/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 69
H12/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
63avg 69
A16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
90-69
90
69
+21
84avg 69
H22/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H03/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
60avg 69
H07/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
80-95
80
95
-15
70avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
16-24
19-16
18-22
28-19
17-20
15-17
19-14
16-23
14-10
19-24
17-20
17-17
26-24
20-16
22-21
17-10
22-12
16-16
17-28
27-22
18-19
22-12
23-16
21-24
18-10
21-23
23-15
16-16
15-15
16-15
21-18
26-28
21-19
19-22
14-26
20-23
19-21
22-19
15-24
153.3Avg total
77.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.273.1151.3+5.165%
Season at home (8)80.871.2152.0+9.588%
Season away (9)75.974.8150.7+1.144%
Last 10 (10)77.076.3153.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)79.477.4156.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (21)73.774.8148.5-1.148%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.572.6157.1+11.975%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 68
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 68
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
74-89
74
89
-15
72avg 68
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 68
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 68
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 68
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
53avg 68
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 68
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 68
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 68
H14/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
18-23
10-22
27-26
17-17
12-17
23-30
24-17
23-21
23-22
15-19
13-27
19-21
21-22
19-27
18-22
15-21
19-17
23-18
24-17
9-30
22-13
18-15
22-19
14-24
12-14
17-19
22-21
26-17
24-17
14-23
27-23
27-19
18-29
19-21
8-16
23-25
25-18
14-20
16-18
157.6Avg total
75.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.881.9160.6-3.135%
Season at home (9)79.682.9162.4-3.333%
Season away (8)77.980.8158.6-2.938%
Last 10 (10)75.881.8157.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.785.0160.7-9.422%
vs Similar (7)80.983.7164.6-2.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
BrindisiPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A28/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A17/12
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
39.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.675.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.673.7+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.238.576.7-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.977.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (21)36.338.674.9-2.338%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.935.977.8+6.075%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/12
Serie A2
78.3Avg total
38.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.779.9-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.241.779.9-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)38.341.679.9-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.878.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.281.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.741.578.2-4.830%-
vs Similar (7)43.442.185.6+1.343%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.6
47.6%
50.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
74.4%11.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.415.3
48.7%
50.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.5
37.0%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.413.3
81.1%
74.4%13.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LLWWWWWLWL
Pistoia
LLWLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#19
-2.7
Net rating
-7.7
108.6
Offensive rating
107.1
111.3
Defensive rating
114.8
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
37.0%
57.4%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 107.1Defence111.3 · 114.8Shooting51.7% · 51.9%3-point %38.0% · 37.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Brindisi   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brindisi wins
4
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Pistoia v Brindisi90-96
29/10/23Brindisi v Pistoia72-78
24/11/19Brindisi v Pistoia100-67
10/02/19Brindisi v Pistoia80-70
28/10/18Pistoia v Brindisi74-90
28/01/18Brindisi v Pistoia88-74
09/10/17Pistoia v Brindisi83-77
29/01/17Brindisi v Pistoia86-85
09/10/16Pistoia v Brindisi89-81
17/01/16Brindisi v Pistoia67-71
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ASebastiani Rieti76-87
14/12/25ABlu Basket Bergamo80-95
07/12/25HPesaro68-64
03/12/25HMestre83-72
22/11/25HCento90-69
16/11/25ABasket Torino72-66
12/11/25HRimini85-78
08/11/25AFortitudo Bologna66-77
02/11/25HCividale79-70
28/10/25AVerona71-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HCividale78-81
08/12/25AForli72-85
30/11/25HCento91-80
26/11/25HAvellino Basket65-78
23/11/25AScafati71-77
16/11/25HRoseto81-73
12/11/25AUrania Milano77-92
09/11/25HMestre74-89
02/11/25HFortitudo Bologna76-81
29/10/25APesaro73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%88%44%
Points / game78.280.875.9
Allowed / game73.171.274.8
Point differential+5.1+9.5+1.1
Avg total151.3152.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game78.879.677.9
Allowed / game81.982.980.8
Point differential-3.1-3.3-2.9
Avg total160.6162.4158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1712571%81.976.9+4.9
2 Rimini1711665%81.976.4+5.5
3 Brindisi1711665%78.273.1+5.1
4 Verona1711665%77.973.9+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
7 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti1710759%80.377.6+2.7
9 Fortitudo Bologna1710759%75.172.7+2.4
10 Scafati179853%82.479.4+3.0
11 Basket Torino179853%73.573.8-0.3
12 Blu Basket Bergamo168850%82.481.1+1.3
13 Cento178947%78.679.4-0.7
14 Mestre178947%78.880.7-1.9
15 Pistoia1761135%78.881.9-3.1
16 Forli1761135%76.180.8-4.8
17 Urania Milano1761135%77.583.6-6.2
18 JuVi Cremona1761135%73.279.6-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1741324%74.685.0-10.4
20 Roseto1731418%79.886.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2010192776
Pistoia2221151068
← all games of the day
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