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Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-73
11-18 23-18 22-10 26-27
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#19
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 8· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia
30 Dec 2026
PES v PIS
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PES82
PIS73
13 Apr 2024
PES89
PIS82
13 Apr 2020
PES v PIS
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
PES83
PIS77
08 Apr 2018
PES80
PIS72
27 Dec 2016
PES57
PIS59
11 Oct 2015
PES73
PIS74
26 Apr 2015
PES82
PIS86
09 Mar 2014
PES75
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 77
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 77
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 77
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 77
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 77
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 77
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 77
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 77
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 77
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 77
A26/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
25-26
20-18
32-19
23-13
25-20
21-21
16-18
18-32
24-24
22-19
21-19
10-17
20-16
17-20
15-25
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
28-23
21-28
16-24
25-9
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
163.2Avg total
82.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.079.4161.4+2.671%
Season at home (3)79.377.7157.0+1.767%
Season away (4)84.080.8164.8+3.275%
Last 10 (10)82.980.3163.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)85.281.4166.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (21)82.080.4162.4+1.552%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.481.5175.9+12.988%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 69
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
65-89
65
89
-24
47avg 69
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 69
A11/05
Lega A
Verona
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 69
A21/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
76avg 69
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 69
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 69
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 69
A12/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 69
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 69
H26/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
25-16
27-25
21-33
15-21
19-27
14-22
17-19
20-22
16-18
22-22
14-24
16-16
17-20
21-22
15-16
21-18
19-20
25-26
28-19
16-15
19-19
21-20
21-23
18-13
17-27
16-27
18-23
18-25
17-19
20-22
27-10
22-22
29-18
21-22
16-11
26-24
19-18
18-22
26-27
165.0Avg total
81.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.082.0165.0+1.057%
Season at home (3)83.788.0171.7-4.333%
Season away (4)82.577.5160.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)81.183.9165.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)83.883.4167.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.189.1167.2-11.019%
vs Similar (4)96.092.5188.5+3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
PesaroPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
82.0Avg total
41.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.285.2+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.438.283.6+7.264%-
Last 30 away (16)42.843.886.6-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.782.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (21)41.940.682.5+1.348%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.043.192.1+5.975%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/05
Lega A
Verona
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A21/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
Serie A2
78.3Avg total
38.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.683.7-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.746.386.0-6.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.981.5-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.478.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.344.382.6-6.027%-
vs Similar (4)44.846.591.2-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.3
60.3%
50.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.3
34.6%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.812.3
77.8%
74.4%12.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
50.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
74.4%16.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWWWWLLWW
Pistoia
LWWLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#19
+3.1
Net rating
-5.7
109.4
Offensive rating
103.4
106.4
Defensive rating
109.2
56.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.6%
3-point %
35.6%
61.5%
Assist %
44.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 103.4Defence106.4 · 109.2Shooting56.2% · 51.6%3-point %34.6% · 35.6%Ball care17.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds21.9% · 23.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pesaro wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Pesaro v Pistoia89-82
17/12/23Pistoia v Pesaro73-74
22/12/19Pistoia v Pesaro91-79
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25ARimini65-86
19/10/25HMestre90-84
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
30/09/25HLibertas Livorno62-78
06/05/25AFortitudo Bologna85-94
03/05/25HBasket Torino85-72
27/04/25AVerona85-81
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HJuVi Cremona89-91
19/10/25ASebastiani Rieti88-73
12/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia82-76
08/10/25HLibertas Livorno69-90
05/10/25ABasket Torino91-87 OT
28/09/25HBlu Basket Bergamo93-83
21/09/25AVerona69-74
11/05/25AReggiana72-86
04/05/25HCremona65-89
27/04/25AVenezia93-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game82.079.384.0
Allowed / game79.477.780.8
Point differential+2.6+1.7+3.2
Avg total161.4157.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game83.083.782.5
Allowed / game82.088.077.5
Point differential+1.0-4.3+5.0
Avg total165.0171.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Verona86275%78.473.0+5.4
2 Pesaro75271%82.079.4+2.6
3 Brindisi85362%78.870.6+8.1
4 Fortitudo Bologna85362%79.673.4+6.2
5 Rimini74357%83.178.3+4.9
6 Libertas Livorno74357%76.073.0+3.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti74357%76.674.3+2.3
8 Blu Basket Bergamo74357%85.083.7+1.3
9 Pistoia74357%83.082.0+1.0
10 Scafati74357%81.981.1+0.7
11 JuVi Cremona74357%75.479.3-3.9
12 Basket Torino84450%71.476.6-5.2
13 Avellino Basket73443%75.073.0+2.0
14 Cividale73443%77.077.4-0.4
15 Cento73443%76.478.1-1.7
16 Mestre73443%79.181.3-2.1
17 Roseto72529%84.188.7-4.6
18 Forli72529%73.781.3-7.6
19 Ruvo Di Puglia72529%73.482.0-8.6
20 Urania Milano71614%79.084.4-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1123222682
Pistoia1818102773
← all games of the day
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