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Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-73
26-15 20-17 21-16 18-25
Position#5
Record5-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#6
Record8-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.3
United KingdomSLB· Mattioli Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers
12 Feb 2027
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
09 Oct 2026
LRI73
BRIS78
05 Apr 2026
LRI85
BRIS78
30 Dec 2025
LRI85
BRIS73
05 May 2025
LRI86
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
LRI94
BRIS59
27 Dec 2024
LRI83
BRIS74
27 Sep 2024
LRI91
BRIS69
04 Apr 2024
LRI77
BRIS89
05 Jan 2024
LRI95
BRIS74
28 Dec 2023
LRI81
BRIS87
07 May 2023
LRI75
BRIS79
31 Mar 2023
LRI106
BRIS89
28 Oct 2022
LRI91
BRIS73
25 Mar 2022
LRI87
BRIS82
24 Sep 2021
LRI84
BRIS85
05 May 2021
LRI92
BRIS79
03 May 2021
LRI85
BRIS56
30 Mar 2021
LRI54
BRIS80
18 Dec 2020
LRI85
BRIS73
08 Apr 2020
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
LRI64
BRIS63
13 May 2018
LRI76
BRIS68
20 Jan 2018
LRI86
BRIS57
06 Oct 2017
LRI79
BRIS59
25 Nov 2016
LRI79
BRIS65
26 Mar 2016
LRI90
BRIS52
22 Dec 2015
LRI76
BRIS64
26 Oct 2014
LRI83
BRIS54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leicester Riders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
63avg 74
A28/09
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
68avg 74
A05/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
96avg 74
H17/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 74
A24/10
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
95-93
95
93
+2
98avg 74
H31/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 74
A02/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 74
H21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 74
A07/12
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
78avg 74
A19/12
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
59avg 74
H27/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
14-23
14-18
14-19
22-16
18-23
14-20
18-28
39-16
20-20
18-22
14-19
24-26
25-19
12-19
19-14
29-29
27-23
19-17
20-24
20-21
17-24
6-20
27-17
25-24
24-19
13-16
23-20
19-20
28-24
17-23
25-21
21-30
24-25
18-10
22-33
19-21
19-19
15-22
22-21
165.1Avg total
81.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.184.2163.3-5.242%
Season at home (6)80.584.0164.5-3.550%
Season away (6)77.784.5162.2-6.833%
Last 10 (10)81.283.9165.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.886.0166.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.986.4163.3-9.629%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.082.5163.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (17)89.679.5169.1+10.276%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
87-83
87
83
+4
87avg 73
A31/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 73
A02/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 73
H14/11
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
63avg 73
H19/11
ENBL
London Lions
#1
W
68-54
68
54
+14
64avg 73
H21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
84-111
84
111
-27
77avg 73
A23/11
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 73
H05/12
SLB
Voluntari
#3
L
85-99
85
99
-14
82avg 73
A16/12
ENBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 73
H19/12
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#7
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
71avg 73
H28/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
18-22
17-24
29-23
24-20
13-18
19-16
13-22
24-19
29-24
20-28
30-23
18-30
13-20
19-22
26-21
17-11
12-20
20-9
19-14
21-32
20-27
23-31
20-21
17-28
28-14
14-21
19-21
27-31
17-23
16-23
25-22
21-14
17-19
24-18
25-16
21-19
18-22
17-23
21-13
167.1Avg total
82.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.179.3161.4+2.857%
Season at home (8)82.576.4158.9+6.162%
Season away (6)81.583.2164.7-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.384.8167.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)84.089.6173.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.081.7154.7-8.718%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.180.2160.3-0.250%
vs Weaker (7)88.777.3166.0+11.4100%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
Leicester RidersBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/09
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H17/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/10
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A07/12
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/12
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/12
SLB
89.8Avg total
46.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.784.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.840.585.3+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.982.9-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)46.243.689.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.488.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.644.684.1-5.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.242.285.3+1.067%-
vs Weaker (17)43.240.483.6+2.941%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H14/11
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H19/11
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A23/11
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H05/12
SLB
Voluntari
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/12
ENBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/12
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/12
SLB
82.5Avg total
39.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.179.5-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.939.577.4-1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)38.943.382.2-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.782.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.887.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.244.779.9-9.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.040.378.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker (7)43.936.980.7+7.086%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.8
35.8%
34.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
72.0%15.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.4
51.1%
52.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.4
35.6%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.412.5
64.4%
72.0%12.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leicester Riders
LLWWLWWWLL
Bristol Flyers
LWLLLWLWLW
#5
League position
#6
-2.8
Net rating
-3.8
104.9
Offensive rating
107.6
107.8
Defensive rating
111.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
35.6%
64.1%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 107.6Defence107.8 · 111.4Shooting52.4% · 52.0%3-point %35.8% · 35.6%Ball care20.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Leicester Riders   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HLondon Lions75-83
19/12/25ANewcastle Eagles85-98
07/12/25ACheshire Phoenix89-88
21/11/25HCaledonia Gladiators85-79
02/11/25ALondon Lions70-82
31/10/25HCheshire Phoenix95-93
24/10/25ASurrey 89ers80-78
17/10/25HNewcastle Eagles91-77
05/10/25AManchester Basketball72-87
28/09/25ABristol Flyers70-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HSurrey 89ers86-87 OT
19/12/25HCaledonia Gladiators87-67
16/12/25AVoluntari85-99
05/12/25HManchester Basketball78-84
23/11/25ACheshire Phoenix84-111
21/11/25HLondon Lions68-54
19/11/25HSyntainics MBC76-93
14/11/25HCaledonia Gladiators103-94
02/11/25ASheffield Sharks69-76
31/10/25ANewcastle Eagles87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leicester Riders
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.180.577.7
Allowed / game84.284.084.5
Point differential-5.2-3.5-6.8
Avg total163.3164.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bristol Flyers
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game82.182.581.5
Allowed / game79.376.483.2
Point differential+2.8+6.1-1.7
Avg total161.4158.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions1311285%81.473.1+8.3
2 Manchester Basketball138562%86.285.5+0.8
3 Sheffield Sharks127558%81.680.5+1.1
4 Bristol Flyers148657%82.179.3+2.8
5 Cheshire Phoenix169756%93.888.8+5.0
6 Leicester Riders125742%79.184.2-5.2
7 Newcastle Eagles135838%86.086.6-0.6
8 Surrey 89ers114736%84.189.2-5.1
9 Caledonia Gladiators1631319%79.887.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leicester Riders2620211885
Bristol Flyers1517162573
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