PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#26
Record3-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Dallas Mavericks
16 Dec 2026
BKN v DAL
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
BKN114
DAL123
24 Mar 2025
BKN101
DAL120
06 Feb 2024
BKN107
DAL119
27 Oct 2022
BKN125
DAL129
16 Mar 2022
BKN111
DAL113
27 Feb 2021
BKN98
DAL115
05 Apr 2020
BKN v DAL
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
BKN127
DAL88
17 Mar 2018
BKN114
DAL106
19 Mar 2017
BKN104
DAL111
23 Dec 2015
BKN118
DAL119
05 Jan 2015
BKN88
DAL96
24 Jan 2014
BKN107
DAL106
01 Mar 2013
BKN90
DAL98
22 Jan 2011
BKN86
DAL87
02 Dec 2009
BKN101
DAL117
19 Dec 2008
BKN121
DAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
109-136
109
136
-27
96avg 96
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
114avg 96
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
94-110
94
110
-16
90avg 96
H30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 96
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 96
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-104
114
104
+10
108avg 96
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
121-124
121
124
-3
120avg 96
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
93-130
93
130
-37
77avg 96
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
145-111
145
111
+34
147avg 96
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
110-129
110
129
-19
99avg 96
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
30-41
24-37
29-34
31-26
30-30
21-30
35-31
28-21
21-35
17-36
28-18
20-19
23-21
28-22
27-28
21-27
23-24
35-24
11-28
21-24
29-33
30-23
34-24
37-27
33-39
25-22
26-36
26-33
20-33
25-34
22-30
39-25
44-41
24-15
38-30
23-38
31-33
30-32
26-26
226.0Avg total
109.8Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)110.2116.4226.6-6.225%
Season at home (4)105.0115.0220.0-10.025%
Season away (8)112.8117.1229.9-4.425%
Last 10 (10)109.8116.2226.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)116.6119.6236.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)101.5119.2220.7-17.75%
vs Similar (7)114.6112.7227.3+1.957%
vs Weaker (2)108.5107.0215.5+1.550%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 103
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 103
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 103
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 103
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 103
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 103
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 103
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 103
H10/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
94-133
94
133
-39
78avg 103
A13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
117-127
117
127
-10
100avg 103
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
26-34
26-33
17-36
25-30
33-33
20-38
38-34
26-22
225.6Avg total
113.8Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)113.5113.3226.8+0.254%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (6)111.0119.0230.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)113.8111.8225.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)115.6115.0230.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)115.2125.9241.1-10.722%
vs Similar (9)119.4116.8236.2+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)114.0102.7216.7+11.367%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
Brooklyn NetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A15/11
NBA
115.0Avg total
55.6Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.759.2110.9-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.957.7105.6-9.829%-
Last 30 away (16)55.160.4115.5-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)55.659.4115.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)60.665.2125.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.660.5110.1-10.924%-
vs Similar (7)58.956.3115.1+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)49.055.5104.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A15/11
NBA
114.1Avg total
55.0Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.261.1119.3-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)56.161.9118.1-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)55.059.1114.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)56.861.4118.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)56.463.6119.9-7.228%-
vs Similar (9)61.659.2120.8+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)58.752.3111.0+6.333%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.1
51.3%
54.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.614.3
34.4%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws27.220.3
74.6%
77.3%20.3
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.1%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
77.3%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
LWLLWLWLLL
Dallas Mavericks
LLWWWLLWWW
#26
League position
#14
-9.7
Net rating
+6.0
104.7
Offensive rating
112.7
114.4
Defensive rating
106.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
37.1%
65.4%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 112.7Defence114.4 · 106.8Shooting51.4% · 56.6%3-point %34.4% · 37.1%Ball care16.1% · 15.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brooklyn Nets wins
9
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies110-129
12/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans145-111
09/11/26ADallas Mavericks93-130
08/11/26AAtlanta Hawks121-124
05/11/26HCharlotte Hornets114-104
03/11/26ANew York Knicks90-103
01/11/26AIndiana Pacers98-90
30/10/26HDetroit Pistons94-110
27/10/26ABoston Celtics124-125 OT
25/10/26HIndiana Pacers109-136
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-127
13/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-133
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game110.2105.0112.8
Allowed / game116.4115.0117.1
Point differential-6.2-10.0-4.4
Avg total226.6220.0229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game113.5115.6111.0
Allowed / game113.3108.4119.0
Point differential+0.2+7.1-8.0
Avg total226.8224.0230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.