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Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 110-113
Projected total 223.6
Scheduled
Position#26
Record3-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game116.4
Vs
42%
58%
■ BKN 42%■ PHI 58%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
3.2/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record10-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Philadelphia 76ers
25 Feb 2027
BKN v PHI
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
BKN v PHI
upcoming
28 Nov 2025
BKN103
PHI115
02 Nov 2025
BKN105
PHI129
12 Feb 2025
BKN100
PHI96
04 Jan 2025
BKN94
PHI123
05 Mar 2024
BKN112
PHI107
19 Nov 2023
BKN99
PHI121
22 Apr 2023
BKN88
PHI96
20 Apr 2023
BKN97
PHI102
09 Apr 2023
BKN105
PHI134
11 Feb 2023
BKN98
PHI101
30 Dec 2021
BKN102
PHI110
16 Dec 2021
BKN114
PHI105
07 Jan 2021
BKN122
PHI109
20 Jan 2020
BKN111
PHI117
15 Dec 2019
BKN109
PHI89
20 Apr 2019
BKN108
PHI112
18 Apr 2019
BKN115
PHI131
25 Nov 2018
BKN125
PHI127
04 Nov 2018
BKN122
PHI97
11 Mar 2018
BKN97
PHI120
31 Jan 2018
BKN116
PHI108
28 Mar 2017
BKN101
PHI106
08 Jan 2017
BKN95
PHI105
15 Mar 2016
BKN131
PHI114
10 Dec 2015
BKN100
PHI91
09 Jan 2015
BKN88
PHI90
12 Dec 2014
BKN88
PHI70
03 Feb 2014
BKN108
PHI102
16 Dec 2013
BKN130
PHI94
09 Apr 2013
BKN104
PHI83
23 Dec 2012
BKN95
PHI92
23 Apr 2012
BKN87
PHI105
10 Apr 2012
BKN88
PHI107
02 Feb 2011
BKN92
PHI106
14 Dec 2010
BKN77
PHI82
31 Jan 2010
BKN79
PHI83
11 Nov 2009
BKN79
PHI82
05 Apr 2009
BKN96
PHI67
23 Feb 2009
BKN98
PHI96
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Brooklyn Nets host Philadelphia 76ers on 16 November 2026 in the NBA, with the 76ers the clear favourite as the model predicts a 58% chance of victory against the Nets' 42% win probability, projecting a 110-113 score and 223.6 total points; the Nets' 6% overtime likelihood adds a touch of uncertainty. Brooklyn's season record of 2-8 shows 106.7 points scored and 115.7 allowed per game, with a 1-3 home record of 105.0 points and 115.0 allowed, and a 2-3 run in their last five games that included a 114-104 home win over Charlotte and two recent defeats to Dallas and Atlanta. Philadelphia, meanwhile, sits 9-3 overall, averaging 110.2 points and 109.2 allowed, and boasts a 5-1 road record of 110.5 points and 109.8 allowed, with a 3-2 stretch in the last five games that featured a 127-121 road win over Chicago and losses to Boston and Cleveland. Historically the 76ers lead the 10-game series 6-4, most recently defeating Brooklyn 104-97 on 14 March 2026, a result that underscores Philadelphia's edge in this matchup.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets win
41.9%fair 2.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Philadelphia 76ers win
58.1%fair 1.72
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:43 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
109-136
109
136
-27
96avg 97
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
114avg 97
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
94-110
94
110
-16
90avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 97
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-104
114
104
+10
108avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
121-124
121
124
-3
120avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
93-130
93
130
-37
77avg 97
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
145-111
145
111
+34
147avg 97
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
110-129
110
129
-19
no box
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
30-41
24-37
29-34
31-26
30-30
21-30
35-31
28-21
21-35
17-36
28-18
20-19
23-21
28-22
27-28
21-27
23-24
35-24
11-28
21-24
29-33
30-23
34-24
37-27
33-39
25-22
26-36
26-33
20-33
25-34
22-30
39-25
44-41
24-15
38-30
23-38
31-33
30-32
26-26
226.0Avg total
109.8Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)110.2116.4226.6-6.225%
Season at home (4)105.0115.0220.0-10.025%
Season away (8)112.8117.1229.9-4.425%
Last 10 (10)109.8116.2226.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)116.6119.6236.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)101.5119.2220.7-17.75%
vs Similar (7)114.6112.7227.3+1.957%
vs Weaker (2)108.5107.0215.5+1.550%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form76ers
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
93-106
93
106
-13
70avg 103
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 103
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 103
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
109-104
109
104
+5
72avg 103
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
126-107
126
107
+19
128avg 103
H03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 103
A05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
95-119
95
119
-24
78avg 103
A07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
127-121
127
121
+6
122avg 103
A08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
101-123
101
123
-22
90avg 103
H11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
123-112
123
112
+11
121avg 103
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
22-22
25-23
24-27
25-25
37-27
13-36
39-21
29-21
24-23
24-24
21-25
27-37
30-17
20-29
32-21
30-23
34-36
26-20
36-28
29-21
27-21
35-33
21-31
22-33
32-29
20-29
21-28
34-33
34-28
31-32
28-28
23-30
28-32
31-29
19-32
24-33
36-27
36-27
27-25
219.8Avg total
109.8Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)111.2109.4220.5+1.877%
Season at home (7)111.7109.0220.7+2.771%
Season away (6)110.5109.8220.3+0.783%
Last 10 (10)109.8110.0219.8-0.270%
Last 5 (5)111.6116.2227.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)102.1111.9214.1-9.835%
vs Similar (7)108.6107.9216.4+0.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)120.0108.0228.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1751%1801%1852%1904%1956%2007%2059%21010%21511%22011%22510%2308%2356%2405%2453%2502%2551%2601%2651%2700%2750%280
0%1751%1854%1957%20510%21511%2258%2355%2452%2551%2650%275
Pythia expects about 224 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 225-229 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
56.8%
Under 220
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
45.8%
Under 225
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
35.3%
Under 230
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Brooklyn Nets total 109.5
Over 109.5
52.6%
Under 109.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brooklyn Nets total 113.5
Over 113.5
39.5%
Under 113.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brooklyn Nets total 117.5
Over 117.5
27.5%
Under 117.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Philadelphia 76ers total 108
Over 108
67.3%
Under 108
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Philadelphia 76ers total 112
Over 112
53.9%
Under 112
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Philadelphia 76ers total 116
Over 116
40.0%
Under 116
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-391%-361%-331%-302%-273%-244%-215%-186%-157%-128%-99%-68%-36%+08%+37%+66%+95%+123%+153%+182%+211%+241%+270%+300%+33
1%-361%-303%-245%-187%-129%-66%+07%+65%+123%+181%+240%+30
Margin from Brooklyn Nets's side (positive = Brooklyn Nets win). Pythia's expected margin is -2.7; Brooklyn Nets win by 1+ in 36% of simulations.
Spread Brooklyn Nets -3
BKN -3
35.6%
PHI +3
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
BKN
No market prices yet.
PHI
No market prices yet.
Spread Brooklyn Nets 0
BKN 0
41.9%
PHI 0
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
BKN
No market prices yet.
PHI
No market prices yet.
Spread Brooklyn Nets +3
BKN +3
48.2%
PHI -3
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
BKN
No market prices yet.
PHI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Brooklyn NetsPhiladelphia 76ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A15/11
NBA
115.0Avg total
55.6Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.759.2110.9-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.957.7105.6-9.829%-
Last 30 away (16)55.160.4115.5-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)55.659.4115.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)60.665.2125.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.660.5110.1-10.924%-
vs Similar (7)58.956.3115.1+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)49.055.5104.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H13/11
NBA
112.1Avg total
56.9Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.259.1114.3-3.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.059.9113.9-5.933%-
Last 30 away (15)56.458.3114.7-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)56.955.2112.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.4115.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)53.460.6113.9-7.229%-
vs Similar (7)54.356.6110.9-2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)61.557.8119.3+3.783%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 106.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.1
51.0%
54.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.113.8
34.4%
35.1%41.4
🏀 Free throws28.021.1
75.4%
77.2%21.1
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.829.5
51.9%
54.0%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.0
33.4%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.820.4
79.1%
77.2%20.4
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
LWLLWLWLLL
Philadelphia 76ers
WLWLWWWWWL
#26
League position
#5
-8.6
Net rating
-0.4
103.7
Offensive rating
107.2
112.2
Defensive rating
107.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.3%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
11.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.4%
3-point %
33.4%
65.2%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 107.2Defence112.2 · 107.6Shooting51.3% · 51.3%3-point %34.4% · 33.4%Ball care16.6% · 11.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Philadelphia 76ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies110-129
12/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans145-111
09/11/26ADallas Mavericks93-130
08/11/26AAtlanta Hawks121-124
05/11/26HCharlotte Hornets114-104
03/11/26ANew York Knicks90-103
01/11/26AIndiana Pacers98-90
30/10/26HDetroit Pistons94-110
27/10/26ABoston Celtics124-125 OT
25/10/26HIndiana Pacers109-136
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HToronto Raptors123-112
11/11/26HBoston Celtics101-123
08/11/26AChicago Bulls127-121
07/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers95-119
05/11/26ADetroit Pistons112-106
03/11/26HChicago Bulls126-107
31/10/26ACharlotte Hornets109-104
30/10/26HNew York Knicks98-93
28/10/26AIndiana Pacers114-109
25/10/26HDetroit Pistons93-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game110.2105.0112.8
Allowed / game116.4115.0117.1
Point differential-6.2-10.0-4.4
Avg total226.6220.0229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game111.2111.7110.5
Allowed / game109.4109.0109.8
Point differential+1.8+2.7+0.7
Avg total220.5220.7220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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