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Buducnost vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-74
16-14 20-28 22-11 17-21
Position#15
Record3-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game85.6
Buducnost 🏆
vs
Darussafaka
Position#16
Record2-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2018
Meetings · Buducnost v Darussafaka
11 Jan 2019
BUD75
DAR74
09 Mar 2018
BUD71
DAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A16/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A18/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H20/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A24/12
ABA League
Bayern
#12
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A28/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A30/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
94-111
94
111
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#9
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H06/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A09/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
14-30
23-26
28-13
18-15
16-17
23-26
20-25
20-29
21-20
12-32
15-25
20-26
20-14
15-27
10-22
5-18
14-16
24-18
21-17
21-14
28-24
21-27
18-28
11-23
29-23
23-17
9-23
22-36
23-20
21-26
28-29
17-23
26-23
24-12
29-12
18-12
19-22
23-25
16-22
166.8Avg total
78.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.085.6159.6-11.618%
Season at home (8)73.879.1152.9-5.438%
Season away (9)74.291.4165.7-17.20%
Last 10 (10)78.588.3166.8-9.810%
Last 5 (5)85.288.2173.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.786.1159.8-12.418%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.275.0145.2-4.825%
vs Weaker (9)85.075.2160.2+9.878%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A21/12
Euroleague
Sakarya BB
#15
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
16-21
21-14
14-18
14-17
28-10
22-14
18-24
19-15
20-18
14-16
18-26
18-30
25-15
14-24
27-16
22-18
14-12
19-13
27-14
24-12
18-19
18-22
19-22
15-22
15-25
15-23
16-21
16-29
11-25
18-19
20-24
20-25
23-20
22-17
29-25
16-25
18-19
15-16
16-20
153.7Avg total
75.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.685.5160.1-10.912%
Season at home (9)75.479.0154.4-3.622%
Season away (8)73.692.9166.5-19.20%
Last 10 (10)75.078.7153.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)72.886.0158.8-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.187.2161.2-13.16%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.274.7150.9+1.644%
vs Weaker (4)88.878.8167.5+10.075%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
BuducnostDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A16/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A24/12
ABA League
Bayern
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A28/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A03/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H06/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/01
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
38.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.977.3-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.437.375.7+1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.378.8-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.181.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.141.278.3-4.124%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.236.272.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)41.935.877.7+6.167%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A21/12
Euroleague
Sakarya BB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
Euroleague
76.7Avg total
36.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.079.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.678.9+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.443.881.1-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.976.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.279.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.943.681.5-5.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.836.475.2+2.344%-
vs Weaker (4)43.540.283.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.4
54.2%
52.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.0
32.9%
37.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
76.7%13.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.3
48.6%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.95.7
30.2%
37.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
76.7%13.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWLLLLLLLL
Darussafaka
LWLLWWLLWL
#15
League position
#16
-14.5
Net rating
-11.6
107.9
Offensive rating
100.7
122.4
Defensive rating
112.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.6%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.9%
3-point %
30.2%
55.6%
Assist %
62.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 100.7Defence122.4 · 112.3Shooting52.5% · 47.6%3-point %32.9% · 30.2%Ball care15.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds26.7% · 28.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Buducnost   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buducnost wins
3
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
16/10/18Darussafaka v Buducnost71-63
09/03/18Buducnost v Darussafaka71-78
06/03/18Darussafaka v Buducnost57-54
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-81
06/01/19HIgokea96-70
03/01/19AOlimpia Milano94-111
30/12/18ACrvena zvezda72-86
28/12/18ABayern88-93
24/12/18AKK Krka Novo mesto64-69
20/12/18HFenerbahce65-89
18/12/18AAnadolu Efes68-106
16/12/18ACibona77-83
14/12/18AGran Canaria85-95
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19HCSKA Moscow65-80
07/01/19HTurk Telekom94-87
04/01/19ABarcelona65-97
30/12/18AFenerbahce61-91
27/12/18HOlympiacos79-75
24/12/18HSakarya BB82-57
21/12/18AKhimki M.84-85
19/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas71-75
16/12/18ABanvit82-65
14/12/18APanathinaikos67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%38%0%
Points / game74.073.874.2
Allowed / game85.679.191.4
Point differential-11.6-5.4-17.2
Avg total159.6152.9165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLWL22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%22%0%
Points / game74.675.473.6
Allowed / game85.579.092.9
Point differential-10.9-3.6-19.2
Avg total160.1154.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1816289%83.775.1+8.6
2 Real Madrid1815383%87.375.8+11.6
3 CSKA Moscow1813572%87.182.2+4.8
4 Anadolu Efes1812667%85.880.2+5.6
5 Olympiacos1811761%80.977.8+3.1
6 Barcelona1710759%78.276.6+1.6
7 Olimpia Milano178947%87.486.4+0.9
8 Panathinaikos178947%78.579.3-0.8
9 Bayern178947%79.581.2-1.8
10 Baskonia1771041%81.582.2-0.6
11 Khimki M.1871139%78.980.1-1.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1871139%79.180.2-1.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas1871139%78.880.6-1.8
14 Gran Canaria1761135%79.787.8-8.1
15 Buducnost1731418%74.085.6-11.6
16 Darussafaka1721512%74.685.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1620221775
Darussafaka1428112174
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