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Darussafaka vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 65-80
16-25 18-19 15-16 16-20
Position#16
Record2-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#1
Record12-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v CSKA Moscow
09 Jan 2019
DAR65
CMO80
16 Nov 2016
DAR91
CMO83
05 Nov 2015
DAR75
CMO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A21/12
Euroleague
Sakarya BB
#15
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-24
15-23
20-16
16-22
16-21
21-14
14-18
14-17
28-10
22-14
18-24
19-15
20-18
14-16
18-26
18-30
25-15
14-24
27-16
22-18
14-12
19-13
27-14
24-12
18-19
18-22
19-22
15-22
15-25
15-23
16-21
16-29
11-25
18-19
20-24
20-25
23-20
22-17
29-25
154.5Avg total
75.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.285.9161.1-10.712%
Season at home (8)76.878.9155.6-2.125%
Season away (8)73.692.9166.5-19.20%
Last 10 (10)75.778.8154.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)76.281.4157.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.687.6162.2-13.06%
vs Similar (10)76.475.1151.5+1.340%
vs Weaker (4)88.878.8167.5+10.075%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H13/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
107-80
107
80
+27
A23/12
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A28/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A30/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A04/01
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H06/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-19
17-15
18-21
16-21
23-14
33-19
29-17
24-17
25-23
26-13
13-21
26-18
22-18
14-24
13-19
31-24
25-30
21-14
25-16
32-15
25-24
19-17
31-24
26-19
18-36
18-17
22-24
19-20
28-20
23-17
15-23
28-17
16-17
11-25
29-20
30-11
20-23
23-18
19-14
167.6Avg total
89.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.282.6170.8+5.675%
Season at home (6)88.778.3167.0+10.3100%
Season away (10)87.985.2173.1+2.760%
Last 10 (10)89.178.5167.6+10.670%
Last 5 (5)90.480.2170.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)90.083.7173.7+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.578.6171.1+13.989%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
DarussafakaCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A21/12
Euroleague
Sakarya BB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.8Avg total
37.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.079.8-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.578.6+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.443.881.1-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.776.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.477.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.143.681.8-5.531%-
vs Similar (10)38.137.075.1+1.140%-
vs Weaker (4)43.540.283.8+3.275%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A23/12
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A28/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A30/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H06/01
VTB United League
87.9Avg total
47.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.586.0+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.638.885.4+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)46.540.186.6+6.367%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.787.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.488.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)47.343.791.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.439.085.4+7.474%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.0
49.4%
52.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.9
31.6%
37.0%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.2
73.2%
76.7%14.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.5
52.0%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.9
44.0%
37.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.415.5
79.9%
76.7%15.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLLWWLLWLL
CSKA Moscow
WWWLWWLWWL
#16
League position
#1
-10.2
Net rating
+3.5
103.3
Offensive rating
119.6
113.5
Defensive rating
116.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
57.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.6%
3-point %
44.0%
63.4%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 119.6Defence113.5 · 116.2Shooting48.8% · 57.1%3-point %31.6% · 44.0%Ball care16.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Darussafaka   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darussafaka wins
5
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/19HTurk Telekom94-87
04/01/19ABarcelona65-97
30/12/18AFenerbahce61-91
27/12/18HOlympiacos79-75
24/12/18HSakarya BB82-57
21/12/18AKhimki M.84-85
19/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas71-75
16/12/18ABanvit82-65
14/12/18APanathinaikos67-75
09/12/18ABesiktas72-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HVEF Riga92-66
04/01/19AZalgiris Kaunas84-79
30/12/18ABC Kalev/Cramo85-80
28/12/18APanathinaikos84-96
23/12/18AVEF Riga107-80
20/12/18HAnadolu Efes102-84
18/12/18AFenerbahce75-79
13/12/18HKhimki M.88-74
10/12/18HEnisey101-71
07/12/18ABaskonia73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game75.276.873.6
Allowed / game85.978.992.9
Point differential-10.7-2.1-19.2
Avg total161.1155.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game88.288.787.9
Allowed / game82.678.385.2
Point differential+5.6+10.3+2.7
Avg total170.8167.0173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %6%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1715288%84.075.9+8.1
2 Real Madrid1714382%86.975.6+11.3
3 CSKA Moscow1612475%88.282.6+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes1711665%86.180.6+5.4
5 Olympiacos1711665%81.176.9+4.2
6 Barcelona169756%77.576.1+1.4
7 Olimpia Milano168850%87.586.2+1.3
8 Bayern168850%80.281.5-1.2
9 Panathinaikos167944%78.680.1-1.5
10 Baskonia1771041%81.582.2-0.6
11 Khimki M.1771041%79.380.0-0.7
12 Zalgiris Kaunas1771041%79.980.8-0.9
13 Gran Canaria1761135%79.787.8-8.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1651131%78.180.8-2.7
15 Buducnost1631319%73.985.9-12.1
16 Darussafaka1621412%75.285.9-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1618151665
CSKA Moscow2519162080
← all games of the day
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