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Buducnost vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-99
25-23 22-30 18-24 24-22
Position#12
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#1
Record13-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game74.8
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2020
Meetings · Buducnost v Virtus Bologna
03 Nov 2021
BUD86
VIR82
03 Feb 2021
BUD89
VIR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
57avg 70
H25/12
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
44avg 70
A09/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#16
W
108-80
108
80
+28
105avg 70
H12/01
Eurocup
Partizan
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 70
H16/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 70
A19/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
68avg 70
A21/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 70
A23/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
47avg 70
A26/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
99-88
99
88
+11
100avg 70
A30/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
11-9
20-21
15-17
–
–
–
–
14-21
26-19
19-21
18-17
26-17
29-24
29-25
24-14
20-21
21-15
13-18
26-18
16-14
18-19
21-20
16-21
19-16
17-26
20-33
28-20
25-21
19-16
18-12
14-23
14-26
14-22
19-20
18-19
38-25
25-16
22-18
14-29
145.8Avg total
75.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.679.6159.2+0.046%
Season at home (6)81.579.3160.8+2.250%
Season away (7)78.079.9157.9-1.943%
Last 10 (10)75.070.8145.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)79.083.2162.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.582.2151.8-12.825%
vs Similar (11)83.481.6165.0+1.764%
vs Weaker (14)76.970.0146.9+6.971%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 86
H22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 86
H27/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-80
100
80
+20
104avg 86
H30/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
101avg 86
A09/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 86
H13/01
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 86
A17/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
102avg 86
A20/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
83avg 86
H23/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
87-65
87
65
+22
95avg 86
H26/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
85avg 86
A30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-28
26-22
17-12
24-23
14-23
20-12
10-15
22-22
30-22
23-14
25-22
21-15
27-24
22-18
22-28
11-18
35-16
14-15
30-27
24-17
15-21
34-23
18-21
17-16
30-28
25-22
27-21
16-15
24-33
29-15
20-27
26-14
22-14
20-19
19-18
25-23
17-12
19-16
27-24
169.0Avg total
89.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.574.8162.3+12.6100%
Season at home (7)88.976.0164.9+12.9100%
Season away (6)85.873.5159.3+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)89.679.4169.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)90.879.8170.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)83.081.0164.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.175.6162.7+11.583%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
BuducnostVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H25/12
ABA League
Split
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#16
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H12/01
Eurocup
Partizan
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H16/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A19/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A26/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A30/01
ABA League
79.8Avg total
41.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.339.080.3+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.581.1+4.160%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.679.4+0.364%-
Last 10 (9)41.838.079.8+3.867%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.281.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.042.580.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (11)41.439.380.6+2.164%-
vs Weaker (13)42.638.380.9+4.362%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H27/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/01
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A20/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H23/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H26/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/01
Lega A
85.2Avg total
44.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.782.8+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.041.184.1+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.381.5+4.880%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.385.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.681.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.743.581.2-5.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.438.883.2+5.775%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.8
52.0%
51.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.96.7
35.4%
36.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.619.1
80.9%
75.4%19.1
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.1
58.9%
51.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.2
39.9%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
75.4%15.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
WLWLLWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#1
+0.9
Net rating
+13.9
113.3
Offensive rating
116.7
112.5
Defensive rating
102.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
59.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
39.9%
57.7%
Assist %
78.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 116.7Defence112.5 · 102.7Shooting52.4% · 59.3%3-point %35.4% · 39.9%Ball care15.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 29.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Buducnost   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buducnost wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
26/01/21Virtus Bologna v Buducnost87-65
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21AFMP Beograd99-88
26/01/21AVirtus Bologna65-87
23/01/21ABorac Mozzart76-72
21/01/21ACedevita Olimpija84-95
19/01/21ACedevita Olimpija71-74
16/01/21HPartizan80-72
12/01/21HJL Bourg108-80
09/01/21ASplit77-78
03/01/21APrimorska20-0
25/12/20HKK Krka Novo mesto70-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21ACremona88-75
26/01/21HBuducnost87-65
23/01/21HBrescia89-90
20/01/21AJL Bourg99-87
17/01/21ACantu91-82
13/01/21HCedevita Olimpija90-76
09/01/21ATrento92-85
30/12/20HPesaro100-80
27/12/20HOlimpia Milano68-73
22/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game79.681.578.0
Allowed / game79.679.379.9
Point differential+0.0+2.2-1.9
Avg total159.2160.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.588.985.8
Allowed / game74.876.073.5
Point differential+12.6+12.9+12.3
Avg total162.3164.9159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna13130100%87.574.8+12.6
2 Joventut Badalona1411379%86.581.2+5.3
3 Unics Kazan1410471%82.576.2+6.3
4 Levallois1410471%80.077.1+2.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija139469%83.276.1+7.2
6 Lokomotiv Kuban139469%88.281.3+6.9
7 Monaco149564%81.372.9+8.4
8 Gran Canaria138562%81.277.4+3.8
9 Trento148657%75.574.7+0.8
10 Partizan137654%77.775.4+2.3
11 Unicaja137654%85.883.7+2.1
12 Buducnost136746%79.679.6+0.0
13 JL Bourg136746%82.282.9-0.8
14 Mornar Bar146843%78.682.9-4.2
15 Ulm104640%79.478.4+1.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra135838%73.275.6-2.4
17 Nanterre135838%82.885.7-2.9
18 Bursaspor103730%86.391.6-5.3
19 Bahcesehir Kol.102820%81.483.7-2.3
20 Brescia102820%76.284.0-7.8
21 Lietkabelis102820%72.183.1-11.0
22 Promitheas102820%75.788.0-12.3
23 Venezia102820%75.488.6-13.2
24 Antwerp Giants101910%73.487.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost2522182489
Virtus Bologna2330242299
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