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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 68-73
24-23 14-23 20-12 10-15
Position#1
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#2
Record11-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game71.7
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 86
H07/11
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H20/11
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
94avg 86
A22/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
75avg 86
H06/12
Lega A
Monaco
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
71avg 86
A09/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
77-60
77
60
+17
75avg 86
A13/12
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
92-73
92
73
+19
99avg 86
H16/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 86
A20/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 86
H22/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-26
25-26
23-22
27-22
22-22
16-24
24-15
21-17
16-17
28-12
17-27
25-22
22-19
20-17
24-13
12-27
26-19
16-14
24-23
10-25
12-15
25-16
27-12
20-7
23-18
16-17
18-18
26-21
31-17
16-21
19-14
26-20
26-21
19-11
27-20
23-19
26-28
26-22
17-12
162.3Avg total
86.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.076.5160.5+7.564%
Season at home (5)81.883.6165.4-1.820%
Season away (6)85.870.7156.5+15.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.176.2162.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)86.670.8157.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.381.5167.8+4.883%
vs Weaker (23)84.873.5158.3+11.383%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-55
75
55
+20
75avg 79
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 79
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 79
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 79
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 79
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 79
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 79
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
64avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 79
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 79
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
23-9
22-19
11-14
22-18
20-12
18-24
17-26
20-18
35-14
22-18
19-20
28-20
26-27
18-21
30-25
15-23
28-16
18-21
10-27
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
26-25
22-22
24-28
30-11
19-23
22-22
16-18
22-21
161.8Avg total
83.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.871.7161.4+18.192%
Season at home (7)90.973.1164.0+17.786%
Season away (5)88.269.6157.8+18.6100%
Last 10 (10)83.578.3161.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)82.879.6162.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.483.7165.1-2.343%
vs Weaker (22)86.273.4159.6+12.986%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +8.4+8.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +8.4+8.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H07/11
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A11/11
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/11
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A22/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/12
Lega A
Monaco
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A09/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A13/12
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H16/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A20/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H22/12
Eurocup
84.0Avg total
43.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.779.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.480.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.038.279.2+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.684.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.282.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.042.880.8-4.817%-
vs Weaker (23)42.337.479.7+4.970%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
45.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.981.0+7.180%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.936.480.2+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)44.337.782.0+6.685%-
Last 10 (10)45.536.481.9+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.882.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.439.379.7+1.171%-
vs Weaker (22)45.136.581.6+8.782%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.4
57.4%
51.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
75.8%13.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.4
48.9%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.110.4
45.0%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.213.1
80.9%
75.8%13.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWLWWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+12.7
Net rating
+7.7
109.2
Offensive rating
114.1
96.5
Defensive rating
106.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.9%
3-point %
45.0%
73.2%
Assist %
59.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 114.1Defence96.5 · 106.4Shooting55.4% · 55.7%3-point %34.9% · 45.0%Ball care20.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra92-81
20/12/20ATreviso98-72
16/12/20HAntwerp Giants92-73
13/12/20ATrieste77-60
09/12/20AMonaco74-68
06/12/20HSassari78-83
22/11/20AFortitudo Bologna91-71
20/11/20HLietkabelis82-73
11/11/20ALokomotiv Kuban89-83
07/11/20HBrindisi88-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/20HBaskonia79-84
20/12/20HSassari102-86
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88
11/12/20ABarcelona71-87
08/12/20AKhimki M.102-93
06/12/20AVarese96-70
03/12/20HPanathinaikos77-80
01/12/20HAlba Berlin75-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%20%100%
Points / game84.081.885.8
Allowed / game76.583.670.7
Point differential+7.5-1.8+15.2
Avg total160.5165.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%20%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %92%86%100%
Points / game89.890.988.2
Allowed / game71.773.169.6
Point differential+18.1+17.7+18.6
Avg total161.4164.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%71%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1211192%89.871.7+18.1
2 Brindisi1210283%86.978.5+8.4
3 Virtus Bologna117464%84.076.5+7.5
4 Sassari138562%90.086.5+3.5
5 Pesaro127558%81.678.0+3.6
6 Venezia127558%78.376.2+2.1
7 Reggiana116555%77.077.1-0.1
8 Trento126650%78.679.2-0.6
9 Treviso126650%84.790.8-6.1
10 Brescia135838%78.381.7-3.4
11 Cantu135838%77.581.6-4.1
12 Cremona114736%82.484.4-2.0
13 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
14 Trieste103730%73.978.7-4.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna123925%79.884.8-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2414201068
Olimpia Milano2323121573
← all games of the day
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