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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-88
23-25 12-17 16-19 24-27
Position#9
Record6-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#1
Record10-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.2
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Bologna
26 Jan 2026
CRE74
VIR84
26 Oct 2024
CRE69
VIR74
05 Nov 2023
CRE93
VIR83
12 Dec 2021
CRE75
VIR87
30 Jan 2021
CRE75
VIR88
29 Aug 2020
CRE66
VIR87
08 Dec 2019
CRE78
VIR66
09 Feb 2019
CRE87
VIR70
31 Mar 2018
CRE91
VIR78
06 Dec 2015
CRE73
VIR63
12 Apr 2015
CRE81
VIR76
20 Oct 2013
CRE82
VIR87
29 Sep 2012
CRE63
VIR74
11 Feb 2012
CRE83
VIR80
17 Apr 2011
CRE88
VIR95
03 Jan 2010
CRE69
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
85-56
85
56
+29
A06/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H09/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A16/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A20/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
H23/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A03/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
80-101
80
101
-21
H17/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H19/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A24/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
22-11
18-14
27-13
27-14
24-22
21-18
29-13
21-22
19-30
26-27
24-22
16-22
17-17
23-22
15-24
16-23
25-18
12-29
22-25
21-29
24-16
30-29
21-20
21-33
23-21
18-17
27-14
25-24
26-23
12-29
17-25
18-24
17-20
22-18
24-21
18-16
26-20
23-26
17-26
170.7Avg total
85.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.586.2169.7-2.738%
Season at home (7)82.784.3167.0-1.643%
Season away (9)84.187.7171.8-3.633%
Last 10 (10)85.285.5170.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)86.090.2176.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.384.5159.8-9.223%
vs Similar (14)85.687.9173.5-2.243%
vs Weaker (3)89.371.7161.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A20/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H27/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H30/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A09/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H13/01
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A17/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
A20/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H23/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H26/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
26-21
19-11
27-20
23-19
26-28
26-22
17-12
24-23
14-23
20-12
10-15
22-22
30-22
23-14
25-22
21-15
27-24
22-18
22-28
11-18
35-16
14-15
30-27
24-17
15-21
34-23
18-21
17-16
30-28
25-22
27-21
16-15
24-33
29-15
20-27
26-14
22-14
20-19
19-18
169.7Avg total
90.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.278.2163.5+7.062%
Season at home (8)83.282.6165.9+0.625%
Season away (8)87.273.9161.1+13.4100%
Last 10 (10)90.679.1169.7+11.580%
Last 5 (5)91.280.0171.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Similar (6)83.081.0164.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.175.6162.7+11.583%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A06/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H09/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A16/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H27/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A03/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/01
Lega A
84.7Avg total
42.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.984.8+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.541.682.1-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.384.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.289.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.839.679.5+0.246%-
vs Similar (14)42.943.586.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)48.337.786.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A20/12
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H27/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/01
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A20/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H23/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H26/01
Eurocup
86.8Avg total
45.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.082.8+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.041.184.1+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.539.081.5+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)45.940.986.8+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.482.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.743.581.2-5.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.538.983.4+5.674%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.7
53.7%
51.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.4
32.2%
35.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
75.8%15.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.5
42.1%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
75.8%15.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLLWWLLLWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWWLWW
#9
League position
#1
-0.6
Net rating
+15.5
108.4
Offensive rating
116.7
109.1
Defensive rating
101.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
59.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
42.1%
58.1%
Assist %
79.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 116.7Defence109.1 · 101.3Shooting51.6% · 59.3%3-point %32.2% · 42.1%Ball care13.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds22.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cremona wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21AVenezia84-88
19/01/21HOlimpia Milano81-83
17/01/21HTrieste80-101
03/01/21ABrescia89-85
27/12/20HBrindisi96-94
23/12/20HSassari75-95
20/12/20AFortitudo Bologna71-85
16/12/20ATreviso90-101
09/12/20HCantu101-67
06/12/20AReggiana85-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/21HBuducnost87-65
23/01/21HBrescia89-90
20/01/21AJL Bourg99-87
17/01/21ACantu91-82
13/01/21HCedevita Olimpija90-76
09/01/21ATrento92-85
30/12/20HPesaro100-80
27/12/20HOlimpia Milano68-73
22/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra92-81
20/12/20ATreviso98-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game83.582.784.1
Allowed / game86.284.387.7
Point differential-2.7-1.6-3.6
Avg total169.7167.0171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%25%100%
Points / game85.283.287.2
Allowed / game78.282.673.9
Point differential+7.0+0.6+13.4
Avg total163.5165.9161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%25%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1716194%89.173.6+15.4
2 Brindisi1511473%85.980.0+5.9
3 Sassari1712571%91.585.4+6.1
4 Venezia1711665%80.777.2+3.5
5 Virtus Bologna1610662%85.278.2+7.0
6 Pesaro179853%84.282.5+1.6
7 Trieste168850%79.679.4+0.2
8 Reggiana167944%76.680.1-3.6
9 Treviso167944%83.888.7-4.9
10 Trento1661038%78.280.1-1.9
11 Cremona1661038%83.586.2-2.7
12 Brescia1661038%80.183.6-3.6
13 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%78.982.6-3.7
14 Cantu1751229%78.484.5-6.2
15 Varese1441029%80.188.4-8.2
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2312162475
Virtus Bologna2517192788
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