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Split vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-77
21-14 19-26 21-19 17-18
Position#11
Record4-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.0
Split 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game66.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2020
Meetings · Split v Buducnost
18 Jan 2025
SPL48
BUD83
10 Feb 2024
SPL75
BUD81
05 Jan 2023
SPL87
BUD85
23 Apr 2022
SPL61
BUD72
09 Jan 2021
SPL78
BUD77
01 Dec 2012
SPL71
BUD69
10 Jan 2009
SPL64
BUD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#8
L
96-111
96
111
-15
A02/12
Premijer liga
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A06/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H11/12
ABA League
Gorica
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A15/12
Croatian Cup
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A19/12
ABA League
Skrljevo
#5
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A23/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A27/12
ABA League
Alkar
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
A30/12
Premijer liga
Partizan
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H03/01
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H05/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
18-25
24-29
29-25
22-29
11-11
11-21
31-30
22-20
10-20
25-14
21-26
23-16
24-28
20-18
23-18
–
–
–
–
21-23
21-13
25-10
9-20
24-23
19-30
18-13
8-24
22-25
21-14
26-20
23-10
21-24
21-24
22-22
10-16
16-18
20-21
27-15
29-16
150.5Avg total
76.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.576.0146.5-5.531%
Season at home (6)80.080.8160.8-0.833%
Season away (7)62.471.9134.3-9.429%
Last 10 (10)76.274.3150.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)80.676.2156.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.786.7161.3-12.011%
vs Similar (6)75.876.7152.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (14)84.172.2156.4+11.979%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#20
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H22/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/12
ABA League
Ulm
#13
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A08/12
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H11/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H13/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H16/12
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A20/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H25/12
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A03/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
14-19
22-7
22-19
26-17
27-14
20-20
14-17
17-20
27-19
12-16
11-10
12-24
25-11
18-14
22-24
17-29
21-12
14-16
19-16
17-27
26-18
20-14
18-15
17-22
25-25
16-18
20-19
18-27
10-19
21-14
23-18
24-15
11-9
20-21
15-17
–
–
–
–
134.1Avg total
69.8Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.566.4140.9+8.190%
Season at home (6)80.870.3151.2+10.5100%
Season away (4)65.060.5125.5+4.575%
Last 10 (10)69.864.3134.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)64.259.6123.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.084.0155.0-13.050%
vs Similar (11)82.280.8163.0+1.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.472.4152.8+8.069%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
SplitBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A02/12
Premijer liga
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H11/12
ABA League
Gorica
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/12
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A27/12
ABA League
Alkar
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/12
Premijer liga
Partizan
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/01
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/01
Premijer liga
84.1Avg total
40.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.341.382.6+0.048%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.340.883.1+1.554%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.782.1-1.244%-
Last 10 (9)40.144.084.1-3.933%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.342.280.6-3.933%-
vs Similar (6)36.342.278.5-5.833%-
vs Weaker (13)45.240.085.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H22/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A06/12
ABA League
Ulm
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/12
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H16/12
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A20/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H25/12
ABA League
77.7Avg total
39.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.238.881.0+3.469%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.438.682.0+4.859%-
Last 30 away (12)40.539.279.7+1.383%-
Last 10 (9)39.038.777.7+0.344%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.779.3+1.873%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.538.682.1+4.967%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.4
51.0%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.7
34.7%
36.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
75.0%16.5
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.0
47.3%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.3
34.1%
36.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
75.0%16.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWLWWWLLL
Buducnost
WWLLWLWWWW
#11
League position
#2
-11.0
Net rating
+2.1
103.6
Offensive rating
104.0
114.6
Defensive rating
101.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.7%
3-point %
34.1%
61.4%
Assist %
49.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 104.0Defence114.6 · 101.9Shooting51.4% · 48.5%3-point %34.7% · 34.1%Ball care18.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
4
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
01/12/12Split v Buducnost71-69
10/01/09Split v Buducnost64-75
11/10/08Buducnost v Split85-68
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/21HSonik Puntamika92-70
03/01/21HPartizan74-86
30/12/20AAlkar92-69
27/12/20ABorac Mozzart69-90
23/12/20ASkrljevo76-66
19/12/20APrimorska20-0
15/12/20AGorica90-80
11/12/20HKK Krka Novo mesto78-80
06/12/20AMega Soccerbet75-91
02/12/20AGKK Sibenka96-111
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21APrimorska20-0
25/12/20HKK Krka Novo mesto70-62
20/12/20AMega Soccerbet72-78
16/12/20HMornar Bar78-84
13/12/20HMornar Bar81-74
11/12/20HLevallois71-73
08/12/20AUlm77-73
06/12/20ACrvena zvezda67-65
22/11/20HCibona87-68
20/11/20ABrescia75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game70.580.062.4
Allowed / game76.080.871.9
Point differential-5.5-0.8-9.4
Avg total146.5160.8134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game74.580.865.0
Allowed / game66.470.360.5
Point differential+8.1+10.5+4.5
Avg total140.9151.2125.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost109190%74.566.4+8.1
2 Mornar Bar1311285%79.871.7+8.1
3 Crvena zvezda1210283%80.265.1+15.1
4 Igokea129375%74.270.5+3.8
5 Cedevita Olimpija107370%83.774.8+8.9
6 Mega Soccerbet139469%77.872.4+5.4
7 Partizan147750%76.974.4+2.6
8 KK Krka Novo mesto125742%66.868.7-1.9
9 Borac Mozzart124833%75.878.0-2.2
10 FMP Beograd134931%72.677.2-4.6
11 Split134931%70.576.0-5.5
12 Cibona113827%70.278.8-8.6
13 Zadar92722%65.070.8-5.8
14 Primorska140140%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2119211778
Buducnost1426191877
← all games of the day
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