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Buducnost vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-68
13-23 26-17 22-16 15-12
Position#3
Record13-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#9
Record9-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game88.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2022
Meetings · Buducnost v Zadar
01 Nov 2025
BUD98
ZAD87
01 Feb 2025
BUD84
ZAD77
13 Apr 2024
BUD100
ZAD69
30 Sep 2023
BUD103
ZAD73
04 Mar 2023
BUD76
ZAD68
13 Nov 2021
BUD84
ZAD69
06 Mar 2021
BUD98
ZAD75
04 Mar 2019
BUD75
ZAD69
30 Sep 2017
BUD87
ZAD85
02 Oct 2016
BUD105
ZAD89
09 Oct 2015
BUD78
ZAD47
07 Feb 2015
BUD71
ZAD63
08 Oct 2013
BUD90
ZAD68
17 Nov 2012
BUD76
ZAD60
20 Nov 2010
BUD105
ZAD92
05 Dec 2009
BUD97
ZAD81
21 Nov 2008
BUD85
ZAD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A21/01
ABA League
Promitheas
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 76
A25/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
80-58
80
58
+22
no box
A29/01
ABA League
London Lions
#14
W
78-68
78
68
+10
67avg 76
H01/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#5
W
84-58
84
58
+26
no box
H04/02
ABA League
Paris
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
79avg 76
A08/02
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
W
91-58
91
58
+33
91avg 76
H11/02
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar
#4
W
100-80
100
80
+20
no box
H15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Podgorica
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H16/02
Montenegrin Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
22-22
23-16
25-38
18-20
15-21
17-22
22-18
17-13
18-15
31-22
14-8
13-7
24-19
17-18
24-24
21-22
22-14
22-6
19-16
19-27
23-27
25-32
20-17
12-14
26-20
30-11
23-13
22-21
26-13
27-26
19-23
17-25
27-20
29-17
27-18
21-10
17-30
19-14
19-13
159.4Avg total
85.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.578.1165.6+9.568%
Season at home (9)84.267.7151.9+16.689%
Season away (10)90.587.4177.9+3.150%
Last 10 (10)85.274.2159.4+11.080%
Last 5 (5)89.678.2167.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.581.2149.8-12.825%
vs Similar (10)81.979.2161.1+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.077.1168.1+13.987%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 77
A23/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 77
H27/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
59-76
59
76
-17
no box
A29/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
H01/02
Premijer liga
Split
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 77
A03/02
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A06/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
93-70
93
70
+23
no box
H10/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
65avg 77
H12/02
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#3
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
H28/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-16
20-17
19-23
26-16
25-14
12-24
22-21
10-20
18-12
11-22
20-22
16-15
20-28
23-6
20-21
27-17
24-19
18-28
16-25
19-19
24-14
22-13
17-25
26-22
23-23
18-11
26-14
18-22
13-25
25-26
20-22
20-20
15-18
21-19
14-14
23-21
22-14
18-18
20-15
155.4Avg total
78.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.488.6177.1-0.247%
Season at home (10)89.683.5173.1+6.160%
Season away (9)87.194.3181.4-7.233%
Last 10 (10)78.976.5155.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.875.0155.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)86.6101.2187.8-14.620%
vs Similar (9)85.382.9168.2+2.444%
vs Weaker (15)85.573.6159.1+11.980%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
BuducnostZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
ABA League
Promitheas
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A29/01
ABA League
London Lions
#14
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H01/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/02
ABA League
Paris
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A08/02
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/02
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Podgorica
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H16/02
Montenegrin Cup
77.0Avg total
40.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.281.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.976.8+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)43.941.285.1+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.077.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.839.573.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (10)41.839.581.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.939.383.3+4.660%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H27/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A29/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H01/02
Premijer liga
Split
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A03/02
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A06/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H12/02
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
Premijer liga
78.6Avg total
40.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.884.2+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.839.985.8+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)43.439.683.0+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.978.6+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.648.492.0-4.840%-
vs Similar (9)45.341.486.8+3.944%-
vs Weaker (15)44.136.480.5+7.773%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.0
53.0%
55.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.0
34.0%
35.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
75.8%14.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
55.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
35.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.518.2
80.9%
75.8%18.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
WWWWLWWWLW
Zadar
WLLWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#9
+12.4
Net rating
-0.8
113.1
Offensive rating
112.1
100.8
Defensive rating
112.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.0%
3-point %
34.9%
51.4%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 112.1Defence100.8 · 112.9Shooting52.3% · 53.1%3-point %34.0% · 34.9%Ball care16.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buducnost wins
3
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Zadar v Buducnost103-104
05/03/22Zadar v Buducnost65-63
13/11/21Buducnost v Zadar84-69
16/03/21Zadar v Buducnost62-76
06/03/21Buducnost v Zadar98-75
04/03/19Buducnost v Zadar75-69
26/11/18Zadar v Buducnost69-89
15/12/17Zadar v Buducnost78-69
30/09/17Buducnost v Zadar87-85
26/12/16Zadar v Buducnost78-76
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HPodgorica76-67
15/02/23HMornar Bar100-80
14/02/23ASutjeska94-83
11/02/23HIgokea91-58
08/02/23AParis87-103
04/02/23HFMP Beograd84-58
01/02/23HLondon Lions78-68
29/01/23ACedevita Olimpija80-58
25/01/23APromitheas72-81
21/01/23AMZT Skopje90-86
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23HCibona83-68
15/02/23ACibona70-71
12/02/23HCrvena zvezda76-95
10/02/23HZabok93-70
06/02/23AGorica82-71
03/02/23ASplit85-89
01/02/23HDinamo Zagreb79-70
29/01/23ACedevita Junior59-76
27/01/23HBorac Mozzart85-75
23/01/23AMega Basket77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game87.584.290.5
Allowed / game78.167.787.4
Point differential+9.5+16.6+3.1
Avg total165.6151.9177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%78%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)-33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game88.489.687.1
Allowed / game88.683.594.3
Point differential-0.2+6.1-7.2
Avg total177.1173.1181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1817194%87.970.8+17.1
2 Partizan2018290%95.077.3+17.6
3 Cedevita Olimpija1813572%88.179.9+8.2
4 Buducnost1913668%87.578.1+9.5
5 FMP Beograd2012860%89.685.7+3.9
6 Zadar1991047%88.488.6-0.2
7 Studentski Centar1991047%85.490.3-4.8
8 Mega Basket1981142%85.386.7-1.4
9 Split2081240%81.286.1-5.0
10 Cibona1971237%79.290.6-11.5
11 Mornar Bar1861233%85.191.6-6.4
12 Igokea1851328%81.988.2-6.2
13 Borac Mozzart1941521%79.188.8-9.7
14 MZT Skopje2041620%79.690.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1326221576
Zadar2317161268
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