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Mega Basket vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-77
24-20 16-18 17-20 23-19
Position#6
Record5-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#9
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game89.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mega Basket v Zadar
11 Oct 2026
MEG88
ZAD82
12 Dec 2025
MEG90
ZAD89
30 Mar 2025
MEG75
ZAD74
05 Nov 2023
MEG91
ZAD81
23 Jan 2023
MEG80
ZAD77
19 Dec 2021
MEG70
ZAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
101avg 71
H06/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 71
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 71
H03/12
ABA League
Split
#10
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 71
A11/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
58-92
58
92
-34
50avg 71
A18/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 71
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
74avg 71
H02/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 71
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
no box
A14/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
18-17
32-16
31-26
31-24
19-21
27-18
24-22
21-25
17-15
23-28
21-26
20-21
25-8
24-21
17-24
19-25
20-26
14-15
22-13
16-25
17-19
18-18
7-30
16-19
18-21
17-21
15-18
17-28
23-22
18-18
24-28
18-19
19-18
19-22
21-13
24-28
19-21
27-22
32-31
169.7Avg total
84.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.687.5171.1-3.933%
Season at home (6)85.883.8169.7+2.050%
Season away (9)82.190.0172.1-7.922%
Last 10 (10)84.385.4169.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)79.689.6169.2-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.089.1163.1-15.115%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.780.5168.2+7.373%
vs Weaker (6)88.782.0170.7+6.767%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 76
H16/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
no box
A18/12
Premijer liga
Alkar
#16
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
A20/12
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 76
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
77-114
77
114
-37
68avg 76
A02/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
no box
A09/01
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A11/01
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 76
H15/01
ABA League
Split
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H17/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A20/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
28-19
20-20
21-24
25-9
30-29
25-15
29-26
26-17
20-15
27-20
24-18
17-21
24-22
14-21
13-11
25-34
24-29
15-27
13-24
34-35
17-16
16-21
22-17
22-13
22-12
20-24
21-22
23-16
30-18
25-15
19-28
25-15
27-30
13-18
16-21
28-21
19-18
18-24
20-10
172.0Avg total
89.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.589.7180.1+0.853%
Season at home (8)91.983.1175.0+8.862%
Season away (7)88.997.1186.0-8.343%
Last 10 (10)89.782.3172.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)89.681.2170.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.2102.8192.0-13.525%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.188.2176.3-0.156%
vs Weaker (16)88.876.1164.9+12.881%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
Mega BasketZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H03/12
ABA League
Split
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A11/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/01
ABA League
81.4Avg total
39.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.883.9-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.539.580.9+2.045%-
Last 30 away (19)40.844.785.6-3.932%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.781.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.081.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.646.883.4-10.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.239.583.7+4.655%-
vs Weaker (6)45.040.285.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A18/12
Premijer liga
Alkar
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/12
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A09/01
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A11/01
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H15/01
ABA League
Split
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H17/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A20/01
Premijer liga
90.0Avg total
49.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.340.385.6+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.239.085.2+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)44.441.485.9+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)49.540.590.0+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.888.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.848.895.5-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.843.987.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (16)45.736.782.4+9.081%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.4
56.0%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.8
27.3%
35.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.918.0
75.3%
75.8%18.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.0
56.4%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.5
34.2%
35.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.119.9
79.3%
75.8%19.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WWLLLLWLWW
Zadar
WLWWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#9
-4.4
Net rating
-1.2
105.4
Offensive rating
113.6
109.8
Defensive rating
114.8
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.3%
3-point %
34.2%
65.4%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 113.6Defence109.8 · 114.8Shooting49.9% · 53.9%3-point %27.3% · 34.2%Ball care17.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AIgokea115-109 OT
08/01/23HFMP Beograd77-72
02/01/23HCedevita Olimpija82-96
25/12/22ABuducnost66-79
18/12/22ACrvena zvezda58-92
11/12/22ASplit75-79
03/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-74
27/11/22AMZT Skopje82-94
20/11/22AMornar Bar101-85
06/11/22HStudentski Centar101-74
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23ADubrava85-73
17/01/23HSplit81-84
15/01/23HMornar Bar97-77
11/01/23ASkrljevo85-71
09/01/23AStudentski Centar100-101 OT
02/01/23APartizan77-114
23/12/22HCibona68-75
20/12/22AAlkar97-70
18/12/22ABosco109-79
16/12/22HMZT Skopje98-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %33%50%22%
Points / game83.685.882.1
Allowed / game87.583.890.0
Point differential-3.9+2.0-7.9
Avg total171.1169.7172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %13%17%11%
Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game90.591.988.9
Allowed / game89.783.197.1
Point differential+0.8+8.8-8.3
Avg total180.1175.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %13%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1514193%85.669.5+16.1
2 Partizan1614288%93.475.9+17.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija1512380%91.180.0+11.1
4 FMP Beograd1612475%93.184.9+8.2
5 Buducnost1610662%88.081.8+6.2
6 Zadar158753%90.589.7+0.8
7 Studentski Centar167944%83.990.8-6.9
8 Cibona1661038%79.890.2-10.4
9 Igokea1551033%83.986.7-2.8
10 Mega Basket1551033%83.687.5-3.9
11 Mornar Bar1551033%86.191.9-5.8
12 Split1651131%78.686.3-7.8
13 Borac Mozzart1641225%78.887.8-8.9
14 MZT Skopje1621412%78.690.9-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2416172380
Zadar2018201977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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