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Ball State vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-76
35-37 42-39
Position#243
Record10-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#324
Record10-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#74
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
39-36
33-38
39-42
42-26
49-43
35-45
36-41
40-44
35-49
33-41
49-39
29-40
37-36
36-41
35-33
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
154.7Avg total
76.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.074.0150.0+2.045%
Season at home (11)78.471.7150.1+6.645%
Season away (11)73.576.3149.8-2.745%
Last 10 (10)76.578.2154.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)76.277.4153.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.277.5149.8-5.225%
vs Similar (11)72.777.9150.6-5.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)73.268.6141.8+4.646%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H10/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H11/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A26/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
33-36
39-40
45-27
45-30
31-46
33-42
29-33
39-39
38-38
31-35
36-24
26-39
35-31
41-37
27-44
36-23
36-45
28-31
30-29
144.4Avg total
71.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.075.0147.0-3.042%
Season at home (12)75.270.7145.9+4.675%
Season away (12)68.779.3148.0-10.78%
Last 10 (10)71.772.7144.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)65.267.6132.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.677.2146.8-7.730%
vs Similar (8)70.671.6142.2-1.050%
vs Weaker (2)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -1.3-1.3
Ball StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#74
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
36.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.469.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.132.668.7+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)33.436.069.4-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.674.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (11)33.436.670.0-3.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.231.765.9+2.554%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A27/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A05/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.736.970.6-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.333.568.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)31.940.872.6-8.90%-
Last 10 (10)35.635.471.0+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.065.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.038.271.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (8)33.035.068.0-2.012%-
vs Weaker (2)43.531.575.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ball State wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
18/01/25HToledo75-93
15/01/25AOhio71-86
11/01/25HBowling Green91-69
08/01/25HMiami (Ohio)72-80
04/01/25AKent State75-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AAppalachian State58-60
01/02/25HGeorgia Southern72-68
30/01/25HArkansas State68-81
27/01/25ATroy61-70
26/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette67-59
18/01/25ATexas State82-85 OT
16/01/25ASouth Alabama62-75
11/01/25HTexas State92-88 OT
10/01/25HLouisiana Monroe84-67
04/01/25AOld Dominion71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game76.078.473.5
Allowed / game74.071.776.3
Point differential+2.0+6.6-2.7
Avg total150.0150.1149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%75%8%
Points / game72.075.268.7
Allowed / game75.070.779.3
Point differential-3.0+4.6-10.7
Avg total147.0145.9148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)2318578%81.472.3+9.1
2 Akron2217577%83.972.9+11.0
3 Kent State2214864%70.064.4+5.6
4 Toledo2214864%79.177.9+1.2
5 Ohio22121055%80.575.2+5.4
6 Central Michigan22101245%74.070.3+3.6
7 Ball State22101245%76.074.0+2.0
8 Eastern Michigan22101245%72.277.5-5.3
9 UMass23101343%75.775.1+0.6
10 Bowling Green2281436%75.576.3-0.8
11 Buffalo2271532%72.581.9-9.5
12 Western Michigan2371630%70.476.2-5.7
13 Northern Illinois2251723%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2418675%78.669.6+9.0
2 South Alabama2416867%72.162.2+9.9
3 Troy2415962%72.965.3+7.5
4 James Madison2415962%72.868.5+4.3
5 Appalachian State2314961%69.263.3+5.9
6 Marshall25151060%75.571.4+4.2
7 Georgia Southern25131252%74.676.7-2.1
8 Texas State24121250%76.172.7+3.4
9 Old Dominion24111346%68.071.3-3.3
10 Southern Miss24101442%72.075.0-3.0
11 Georgia State2491538%74.579.5-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina2481633%67.071.2-4.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette2471729%66.574.6-8.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2561924%68.673.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State354277
Southern Miss373976
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