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Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-73
21-32 46-41
Position#352
Record5-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#333
Record7-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game81.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Buffalo
31 Dec 2025
NORT67
BUFF81
11 Feb 2025
NORT67
BUFF73
13 Feb 2024
NORT72
BUFF68
28 Feb 2023
NORT75
BUFF85
24 Feb 2022
NORT68
BUFF79
23 Feb 2021
NORT74
BUFF102
23 Jan 2021
NORT v BUFF
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#74
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A01/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-35
29-33
39-57
31-51
42-48
27-36
29-35
37-36
27-39
43-33
40-29
36-37
33-37
37-43
35-50
50-39
31-38
46-46
39-28
25-38
148.5Avg total
69.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.376.3147.7-5.022%
Season at home (11)75.766.6142.4+9.145%
Season away (12)67.385.2152.6-17.90%
Last 10 (10)69.778.8148.5-9.110%
Last 5 (5)74.477.0151.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)65.281.8146.9-16.510%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.770.0137.7-2.317%
vs Weaker (3)94.762.7157.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
58-90
58
90
-32
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-37
59-51
20-24
29-44
28-32
33-47
53-39
32-37
25-40
33-50
45-42
32-48
30-34
45-35
32-45
44-44
32-42
42-45
31-38
44-42
152.5Avg total
70.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.681.8154.4-9.330%
Season at home (11)75.278.9154.1-3.745%
Season away (12)70.284.5154.7-14.317%
Last 10 (10)70.981.6152.5-10.720%
Last 5 (5)75.483.0158.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)70.081.8151.7-11.819%
vs Similar ◀ (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
Northern IllinoisBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#74
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A01/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H08/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
33.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.537.370.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.832.369.1+4.550%-
Last 30 away (16)30.641.772.2-11.119%-
Last 10 (10)33.639.673.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.740.571.2-9.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.832.865.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (3)47.730.378.0+17.3100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H08/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
31.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.738.571.2-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.836.968.6-5.119%-
Last 30 away (14)33.740.474.1-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)31.637.368.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.274.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.638.670.2-7.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northern Illinois wins
5
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette64-66
05/02/25ABowling Green77-84
01/02/25AToledo85-89
29/01/25HAkron70-80
25/01/25HBall State76-66
22/01/25AWestern Michigan70-72
18/01/25HCentral Michigan66-71
15/01/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
11/01/25AOhio70-108
08/01/25HKent State50-68
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HGeorgia State75-80
05/02/25AToledo74-87
01/02/25HBall State76-89
29/01/25HCentral Michigan75-69
25/01/25AEastern Michigan77-90
22/01/25HAkron58-90
18/01/25AWestern Michigan85-76
15/01/25ABowling Green61-79
10/01/25HKent State49-68
08/01/25HOhio79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLWLL45%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%45%0%
Points / game71.375.767.3
Allowed / game76.366.685.2
Point differential-5.0+9.1-17.9
Avg total147.7142.4152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL45%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%45%17%
Points / game72.675.270.2
Allowed / game81.878.984.5
Point differential-9.3-3.7-14.3
Avg total154.4154.1154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2318578%83.772.6+11.2
2 Miami (Ohio)2318578%81.472.3+9.1
3 Kent State2315865%70.364.9+5.4
4 Toledo2315865%78.877.5+1.3
5 Ohio23121152%79.675.0+4.6
6 Central Michigan23111248%74.470.3+4.1
7 Ball State23111248%76.074.1+1.9
8 Eastern Michigan23111248%72.377.1-4.8
9 UMass24111346%75.874.2+1.5
10 Bowling Green2391439%75.175.3-0.2
11 Western Michigan2371630%70.476.2-5.7
12 Buffalo2371630%72.681.8-9.3
13 Northern Illinois2351822%71.376.3-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois214667
Buffalo324173
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