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Bursaspor vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 94-59
29-11 14-13 33-17 18-18
Position#6
Record15-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#16
Record4-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game96.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bursaspor v Afyon Belediye
24 Apr 2022
BUR94
ABE59
21 Mar 2021
BUR81
ABE75
29 Dec 2019
BUR90
ABE81
18 Sep 2017
BUR75
ABE79
07 May 2017
BUR91
ABE67
29 Apr 2017
BUR60
ABE64
27 Apr 2017
BUR76
ABE61
21 Jan 2017
BUR99
ABE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
91-70
91
70
+21
96avg 76
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H23/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 76
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
86avg 76
A29/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
65avg 76
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 76
H05/04
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 76
H09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 76
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#3
W
103-95 OT
103
95
+8
no box
A20/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-18
18-15
24-15
17-22
21-18
22-22
21-26
28-23
17-22
28-15
21-23
17-21
32-15
21-19
18-20
15-18
25-12
21-22
10-14
12-22
12-19
28-25
28-28
18-17
18-14
22-14
25-26
15-24
16-29
29-19
17-12
22-17
29-24
12-27
23-18
21-19
20-20
17-18
27-22
20-24
166.7Avg total
85.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.978.7161.7+4.256%
Season at home (12)84.277.6161.8+6.783%
Season away (15)81.979.7161.5+2.233%
Last 10 (10)85.880.9166.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)87.685.4173.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.693.9182.4-5.329%
vs Similar (16)82.481.0163.4+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.469.9156.3+16.671%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
76-88
76
88
-12
27avg 60
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 60
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 60
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
66-86
66
86
-20
55avg 60
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
67-94
67
94
-27
56avg 60
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
L
87-109
87
109
-22
72avg 60
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
77-105
77
105
-28
54avg 60
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 60
A10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
61-95
61
95
-34
54avg 60
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
21-25
15-20
24-16
25-24
24-14
22-22
21-23
21-25
18-23
17-14
17-17
18-26
15-16
14-26
19-18
19-19
15-32
21-20
12-23
26-30
23-26
14-22
24-31
20-34
23-25
16-20
18-26
12-22
17-23
17-21
15-33
13-30
23-15
20-23
12-22
16-22
9-19
21-21
15-33
165.6Avg total
72.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.096.9167.9-25.814%
Season at home (14)71.196.0167.1-24.921%
Season away (14)71.097.7168.7-26.77%
Last 10 (10)72.892.8165.6-20.010%
Last 5 (5)70.899.6170.4-28.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)71.096.9167.9-25.814%
vs Similar (1)70.0110.0180.0-40.00%
vs Weaker (1)91.0114.0205.0-23.00%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -6.5-6.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -6.5-6.5
BursasporAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H23/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A29/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H05/04
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/04
Eurocup
82.7Avg total
44.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.884.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.839.482.2+3.367%-
Last 30 away (18)43.841.785.5+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.782.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.882.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.747.088.7-5.329%-
vs Similar (16)43.640.383.9+3.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.635.680.1+9.086%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.1Avg total
37.4Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.949.585.4-13.610%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.648.382.9-13.720%-
Last 30 away (15)37.350.787.9-13.40%-
Last 10 (10)37.447.785.1-10.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.449.285.6-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.249.284.4-14.111%-
vs Similar (1)44.052.096.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (1)49.054.0103.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.2
59.4%
53.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.0
37.2%
36.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.5
78.9%
75.6%13.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.217.4
45.5%
53.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
36.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.915.6
78.4%
75.6%15.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
WLWWLLWWWW
Afyon Belediye
LLLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#16
+8.5
Net rating
-27.0
119.7
Offensive rating
98.7
111.2
Defensive rating
125.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.2%
3-point %
32.1%
59.6%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 98.7Defence111.2 · 125.7Shooting57.9% · 46.5%3-point %37.2% · 32.1%Ball care16.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds32.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bursaspor wins
4
Afyon Belediye wins
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/22APartizan103-95 OT
16/04/22AAnadolu Efes85-88
13/04/22HKarsiyaka84-77
09/04/22HBahcesehir Kol.80-78
05/04/22HBuducnost86-89
02/04/22APetkim Spor68-70
29/03/22AUlm86-72
26/03/22HDarussafaka83-81
23/03/22HValencia92-89
21/03/22ABuyukcekmece91-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/22HGalatasaray61-95
10/04/22AAnadolu Efes68-90
01/04/22HFenerbahce61-99
27/03/22ABahcesehir Kol.77-105
24/03/22APetkim Spor87-109
20/03/22HKarsiyaka67-94
05/03/22HBesiktas66-86
12/02/22ADarussafaka73-79
05/02/22HMerkezefendi92-83
30/01/22ABuyukcekmece76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %56%83%33%
Points / game82.984.281.9
Allowed / game78.777.679.7
Point differential+4.2+6.7+2.2
Avg total161.7161.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)67% (6)0% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL21%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%21%7%
Points / game71.071.171.0
Allowed / game96.996.097.7
Point differential-25.8-24.9-26.7
Avg total167.9167.1168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2923679%83.873.1+10.7
2 Anadolu Efes2822679%90.680.0+10.6
3 Darussafaka29191066%79.073.6+5.4
4 Galatasaray28181064%86.579.7+6.8
5 Gaziantep28181064%80.575.8+4.7
6 Karsiyaka29171259%80.076.6+3.4
7 Bahcesehir Kol.28161257%86.081.7+4.3
8 Bursaspor27151256%82.978.7+4.2
9 Tofas28151354%85.382.2+3.0
10 Besiktas29151452%76.875.7+1.0
11 Turk Telekom28121643%76.175.5+0.6
12 Buyukcekmece29101934%79.686.1-6.4
13 Merkezefendi2882029%76.284.9-8.6
14 Yalovaspor2872125%74.380.9-6.6
15 Petkim Spor2872125%77.084.6-7.6
16 Afyon Belediye2842414%71.096.9-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2914331894
Afyon Belediye1113171859
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