PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bursaspor vs Galatasaray Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game79.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 18· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bursaspor v Galatasaray
29 Jan 2027
BUR v GAL
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
BUR91
GAL87
13 Dec 2024
BUR82
GAL105
17 Mar 2024
BUR65
GAL81
19 Nov 2022
BUR88
GAL93
12 Feb 2022
BUR99
GAL78
27 Dec 2020
BUR73
GAL92
19 Apr 2020
BUR v GAL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 71
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 71
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 71
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 71
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
94avg 71
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 71
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 71
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 71
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
59-78
59
78
-19
no box
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
14-16
34-15
18-31
16-22
22-26
17-16
17-22
20-18
26-19
10-20
15-18
18-21
20-20
25-21
21-19
27-28
20-20
16-21
31-28
13-21
15-20
13-23
17-22
19-18
19-21
20-21
18-24
26-20
15-23
21-20
11-16
12-19
15-24
12-21
23-10
21-21
158.7Avg total
76.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.482.6157.0-8.212%
Season at home (4)72.883.0155.8-10.20%
Season away (4)76.082.2158.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)76.082.7158.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)71.482.6154.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.889.6168.4-10.821%
vs Similar (11)85.588.2173.6-2.736%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#10
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
62avg 76
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
76-96
76
96
-20
72avg 76
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 76
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 76
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 76
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
105avg 76
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 76
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Korfez Basket
#13
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
21-17
14-15
17-15
24-24
18-26
19-21
15-25
20-20
21-25
19-21
28-27
22-19
17-25
21-20
20-19
21-16
21-17
20-23
21-21
21-19
17-15
30-11
34-23
17-17
24-12
23-21
23-24
21-14
11-20
26-19
14-26
24-13
16-26
19-20
31-22
14-20
23-24
23-26
21-12
164.1Avg total
83.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.679.8167.4+7.950%
Season at home (4)95.580.2175.8+15.275%
Season away (4)79.879.2159.0+0.525%
Last 10 (10)83.081.1164.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.476.8163.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.384.3164.6-4.043%
vs Similar (8)74.984.6159.5-9.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.582.2169.7+5.360%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
BursasporGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.284.5-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.545.286.8-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.845.181.9-8.314%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.876.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.645.984.5-7.416%-
vs Similar (11)40.543.884.4-3.327%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Korfez Basket
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.281.1-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.241.883.9+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.140.878.9-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.341.982.1-1.643%-
vs Similar (8)35.940.576.4-4.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.741.383.1+0.453%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.3
55.9%
54.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
75.9%12.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
54.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.018.2
72.8%
75.9%18.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLLLLWLLLW
Galatasaray
LWLWWWLLLL
#16
League position
#6
-2.9
Net rating
+3.8
95.3
Offensive rating
99.9
98.2
Defensive rating
96.1
56.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.41
38.7%
3-point %
33.6%
69.4%
Assist %
60.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 99.9Defence98.2 · 96.1Shooting56.9% · 52.7%3-point %38.7% · 33.6%Ball care18.3% · 12.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bursaspor wins
6
Galatasaray wins
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABesiktas71-76
07/11/26HFenerbahce59-78
01/11/26HKarsiyaka83-86
23/10/26ACayirova64-83
17/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.80-90
12/10/26AGalatasaray93-88
03/10/26HTurk Telekom69-78
27/09/26ATrabzonspor76-82
10/05/26AKarsiyaka82-84
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKorfez Basket81-82
08/11/26HEsenler Erokspor90-81
04/11/26ALegia72-79
31/10/26ADenizli Basket87-74
25/10/26HBordo Bandirma102-68
20/10/26HStrasbourg83-77
18/10/26ABesiktas80-83
12/10/26HBursaspor88-93
06/10/26ACibona76-96
02/10/26AKarsiyaka71-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game74.472.876.0
Allowed / game82.683.082.2
Point differential-8.2-10.2-6.2
Avg total157.0155.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game87.695.579.8
Allowed / game79.880.279.2
Point differential+7.9+15.2+0.5
Avg total167.4175.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce86275%85.679.0+6.6
4 Anadolu Efes85362%84.679.1+5.5
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.