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Breogan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-82
20-16 21-27 35-22 23-17
Position#10
Record9-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game80.5
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#3
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game79.1
SpainACBRound 22
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Breogan v Valencia
24 Jan 2027
BRE v VAL
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
BRE90
VAL113
13 Oct 2024
BRE75
VAL87
15 Oct 2023
BRE59
VAL61
06 Nov 2022
BRE83
VAL88
13 Feb 2022
BRE99
VAL82
20 Jan 2019
BRE65
VAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
71avg 77
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 77
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 77
H12/12
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
98-97
98
97
+1
93avg 77
A19/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 77
H27/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 77
H16/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H19/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
83-100
83
100
-17
68avg 77
A23/01
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 77
A05/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
16-23
22-20
22-12
15-24
16-22
17-18
27-22
19-14
19-20
23-19
22-21
22-17
10-17
20-25
23-24
29-19
21-17
25-14
23-47
20-20
22-21
24-28
31-20
21-13
13-24
23-21
30-32
19-24
31-23
19-15
20-21
27-29
13-22
21-25
22-24
21-14
19-28
26-23
15-19
169.6Avg total
84.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.980.5163.4+2.450%
Season at home (9)87.378.7166.0+8.778%
Season away (9)78.682.3160.9-3.822%
Last 10 (10)84.485.2169.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)87.489.2176.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.078.5148.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.980.1160.9+0.858%
vs Weaker (9)85.673.9159.4+11.767%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#11
W
86-68
86
68
+18
87avg 79
H06/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
88avg 79
A09/01
ACB
Ulm
#15
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 79
A12/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#18
W
71-68
71
68
+3
71avg 79
A19/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
103-76
103
76
+27
107avg 79
H25/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
83avg 79
H28/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
77avg 79
A30/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
A01/02
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
94-93
94
93
+1
87avg 79
A06/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 79
H09/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-7
19-20
20-21
24-20
17-20
27-12
22-16
21-34
10-19
17-23
25-13
24-15
15-14
21-21
16-22
19-11
25-17
28-16
22-22
28-21
23-17
27-13
18-14
23-18
19-21
25-17
18-26
18-14
18-20
18-18
21-19
24-24
31-30
20-18
23-23
20-22
24-17
16-21
12-25
31-14
162.6Avg total
86.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.879.1162.9+4.767%
Season at home (9)84.880.6165.3+4.244%
Season away (9)82.877.7160.4+5.189%
Last 10 (10)86.176.5162.6+9.690%
Last 5 (5)87.680.2167.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.593.0179.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.884.8171.6+1.958%
vs Weaker (16)84.274.8159.0+9.581%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
BreoganValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/12
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H16/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H19/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A23/01
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/02
ACB
79.1Avg total
38.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.276.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.278.8+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)35.538.173.6-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.279.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.684.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.438.678.0+0.853%-
vs Weaker (9)36.436.773.1-0.256%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H06/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/01
ACB
Ulm
#15
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A12/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#18
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H25/01
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A01/02
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A06/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/02
Eurocup
78.4Avg total
42.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.280.1+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.382.3+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.838.278.0+1.667%-
Last 10 (10)42.336.178.4+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.482.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.840.280.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (16)41.237.879.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.9
53.1%
52.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.5
35.7%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
75.5%15.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.123.0
58.8%
52.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.415.9
82.0%
75.5%15.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLWWLWLW
Valencia
WWLWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#3
-1.1
Net rating
+16.6
110.3
Offensive rating
117.2
111.3
Defensive rating
100.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
32.0%
56.5%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 117.2Defence111.3 · 100.6Shooting53.3% · 54.6%3-point %35.7% · 32.0%Ball care17.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 36.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Breogan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22AReal Betis81-84
23/01/22AObradoiro CAB83-100
19/01/22HBaskonia89-83
16/01/22HJoventut Badalona87-90
27/12/21HFuenlabrada97-89
19/12/21AValencia98-97
16/12/21ABilbao75-83
12/12/21HMoraBanc Andorra83-74
14/11/21AManresa75-86
06/11/21HGran Canaria76-66
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/22HVirtus Bologna83-77
06/02/22AReal Madrid94-93
01/02/22AGran Canaria90-91 OT
30/01/22ATenerife80-78
28/01/22HGran Canaria91-62
25/01/22HBuducnost103-76
19/01/22APromitheas71-68
12/01/22AUlm76-70
09/01/22AUnicaja87-82
06/01/22HBursaspor86-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%78%22%
Points / game82.987.378.6
Allowed / game80.578.782.3
Point differential+2.4+8.7-3.8
Avg total163.4166.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW44%
AwayWLWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%44%89%
Points / game83.884.882.8
Allowed / game79.180.677.7
Point differential+4.7+4.2+5.1
Avg total162.9165.3160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)20% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1714382%81.972.9+9.1
2 Real Madrid2016480%83.572.7+10.8
3 Valencia1812667%83.879.1+4.7
4 Manresa2114767%85.981.9+4.0
5 Tenerife1911858%81.979.2+2.7
6 Joventut Badalona1911858%80.778.8+1.9
7 Murcia1810856%85.982.1+3.8
8 Baskonia2011955%80.579.4+1.1
9 Bilbao1910953%82.185.1-3.1
10 Breogan189950%82.980.5+2.4
11 Gran Canaria1991047%78.281.6-3.4
12 Unicaja1871139%81.980.6+1.3
13 Basket Zaragoza2181338%77.583.4-5.9
14 MoraBanc Andorra2071335%79.481.2-1.8
15 Fuenlabrada2071335%83.786.9-3.2
16 Obradoiro CAB2071335%80.385.9-5.6
17 Real Betis1951426%75.286.0-10.8
18 San Pablo Burgos1841422%76.183.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2021352399
Valencia1627221782
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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